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Markets

Copper hits 10-year peak on supply worries, falling stocks

  • Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange was up 1.9% at $9,736 a tonne at 1140 GMT. Prices of the industrial metal earlier hit $9,750 a tonne, the highest since August 2011.
  • Stocks of copper in LME registered warehouses at 155,100 tonnes have fallen about 10% over the past couple of weeks.
Published April 26, 2021

LONDON: Copper prices soared on Monday to 10-year highs as concerns about supplies from Chile, sliding inventories, a lower dollar and expectations of stronger demand from top consumer China triggered fresh buying.

Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange was up 1.9% at $9,736 a tonne at 1140 GMT. Prices of the industrial metal earlier hit $9,750 a tonne, the highest since August 2011.

"The Chile news helped, but there was already a lot of momentum based on a few things including stocks and the dollar," a metals trader said. "Chinese demand moving into the seasonally strong period is another factor."

CHILE: Mining unions in Chile have threatened to protest if the government does not drop a bid to block Chileans from drawing down more of their pensions savings early, while port workers have called for a general strike.

INVENTORIES: Stocks of copper in LME registered warehouses at 155,100 tonnes have fallen about 10% over the past couple of weeks.

Cancelled warrants, metal earmarked for delivery, at 53% indicate more copper will soon be leaving LME warehouses.

This alongside one large holding of copper warrants and cash contracts have fuelled worry about supplies on the LME market and created a premium for the cash over the three-month contract.

DEMAND: China accounts for around half of global copper consumption estimated at around 24 million tonnes this year. Its demand rises in the second quarter ahead of a pick up in construction activity over the summer months.

Surveys of purchasing managers in China's manufacturing sector later this week and early next week will be closely watched for clues to demand prospects.

DOLLAR: A lower UScurrency makes dollar-denominated metals cheaper for holders of other currencies, which could boost demand. This is a relationship used by funds to generate buy and sell signals from numerical models.

OTHER METALS: Aluminium was up 1.4% at $2,398 a tonne, zinc rose 1.1% to $2,884, lead gained 1.1% to $2,081, tin climbed 0.6% to $26,950 and nickel added 0.7% to $16,505.

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