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The Indian rupee rose on Thursday tracking continued gains in Asian emerging currencies and other risk assets, but an unexpected slump in domestic industrial output capped gains by reinforcing concerns about domestic growth. Data released showed India's factory output contracted 1.8 percent in June, adding to pressure on new Finance Minister Palaniappan Chidambaram to move quickly with fiscal reforms or other measures to attract foreign investment.
Moses Harding, head of asset-liability management at IndusInd Bank, however, said the general weakness in the global dollar will help support the rupee. "IIP print was not a surprise; data was expected to be weak. As of now, weak USD against major currencies and mild bullish undertone on domestic stock market will support rupee," said Harding.
The partially convertible rupee closed at 55.27/28 per dollar as per the SBI closing rate versus its previous close of 55.42/43. It fell to as low 55.0450 in early trades. The one-month offshore non-deliverable forward contracts were at 55. 5 5, while the three-month was at 56. 2 2. In the currency futures market, the most-traded near-month dollar/rupee contracts on the National Stock Exchange, the MCX-SX and the United Stock Exchange all closed at around 55.42 with the total traded volume at around $4. 2 billion.

Copyright Reuters, 2012

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