Languishing Asian emerging currencies got a lift on Thursday as the US dollar took a breather ahead of the Federal Reserve’s Jackson Hole conference, with the Thai baht leading the pack despite a growing political crisis.
The baht appreciated 0.4% and stocks rose 0.5%, a day after Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-ocha was suspended from his official duties while a court considers whether he can remain in office.
Prayuth first came to office in a 2014 coup and has survived a disputed election, mass protests and no-confidence votes. An opposition party seeking his ouster says he has already held office for his full, legally mandated term.
“The THB reaction could imply that markets may be looking past such bouts of political uncertainty to focus on other key drivers such as Thailand’s current account outlook and the Fed’s tone out of Jackson Hole,” Maybank analysts said in a note.
Other regional units got a fillip from the US dollar index easing 0.2% from near a two-decade peak as investors awaited the upcoming Jackson Hole symposium wherein a speech by Federal Chair Jerome Powell could provide fresh clues on future policy tightening.
The Federal Reserve’s annual monetary policy conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming is scheduled to start on Friday.
South Korea’s won firmed 0.4%, following a 25 basis points (bps) hike, as expected, by the country’s central bank to tame inflation that is now at an almost 24-year high.
Thai baht, yuan lead losses among Asian currencies ahead of Fed conference
Bank of Korea (BOK), one of the first central banks to abandon pandemic-era monetary stimulus, also raised this year’s inflation forecast to 5.2% - the fastest rate since 1998.
“If CPI inflation doesn’t moderate by October and the KRW continues to weaken, then the possibility of an additional 25bp hike in November will grow,” ING analysts said.
Singapore’s dollar, Malaysia ringgit appreciated 0.2% each, while Indonesia’s rupiah rose 0.1%and Philippine’s peso was flat.
Stock markets in the region were mixed, with Singapore’s benchmark index leading declines by retreating 2.1%. Equities in Seoul and stocks in Kuala Lumpur advanced 1% and 1.3%, respectively.
China’s yuan rose 0.1% and rebounded from a two-year low against the dollar after a higher-than-expected guidance, which market participants viewed as a signed authorities are becoming increasingly uncomfortable with rapid yuan losses.
The yuan has lost more than 1.6% against the dollar so far in August.
Highlights:
** Thailand expects 4.5 mln foreign tourists from Jan to Aug - govt
** China regulator warns banks against yuan selling - sources
** Technology giant Samsung Electronics and peer SK Hynix among top gainers on South Korea’s benchmark index
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