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Thai raw sugar premiums could defy pressure from rising futures in New York this week, while global benchmark Tokyo rubber futures may extend gains after the US Federal Reserve launched a new stimulus package to boost the economy. Among other soft commodities, top robusta producer Vietnam has started to offer beans from the crop which will be harvested in October, and firm demand from chocolate makers is likely to keep butter ratios at their highest since early 2011.
Thai high polarisation, or hipol, raw sugar for next year's delivery was likely to stay at premiums of between 75 and 80 points to New York's March contract, which rallied more than 4 percent last week. Premiums and futures usually move in opposite directions, and sellers could push up the value if New York futures change direction and turn lower. Prompt sugar has been offered at high premiums of more than 300 points to futures before Thai crushing starts again in November or December. The Tokyo market was closed on Monday for a holiday.

Copyright Reuters, 2012

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