MUMBAI: Indian government bond yields inched down after opening flattish on Thursday, as investors bought longer-duration bonds on speculation of an interest-rate hedge by mortgage lender Housing Development Finance Corp.
However, the decline was kept in check as traders waited for a fresh supply of debt on Friday.
The benchmark 10-year yield was at 7.3411% as of 10:00 a.m., after closing at 7.3484% on Wednesday.
“As seen yesterday, the trend of buying longer-duration bonds could persist today as well,” a trader with a private bank said.
Indian bond yields tad lower on short covering after inflation data
The anticipation of HDFC, India’s largest mortgage lender, executing an interest-rate hedge once it completes its mega bond sale this week, is driving longer-duration bond yields lower, traders said on Wednesday.
The lender aims to raise at least 50 billion rupees ($603.4 million) through the sale of 10-year bonds on Thursday, with an option to retain an additional 200 billion rupees.
To convert the fixed coupon payments on these bonds to floating payments – to match the interest rate profile on the loans it issues – HDFC is considering total return swaps, bankers with direct knowledge of the matter told Reuters.
New Delhi aims to raise 280 billion rupees ($3.39 billion) through the sale of bonds on Friday, in its penultimate debt auction of this financial year.
The auction will include 120 billion rupees of 7.26% 2033 bond, which will soon replace the existing benchmark bond. Market sentiment had turned cautious after a spike in India and US retail inflation rates, cementing bets of more rate hikes.
The US Federal Reserve has raised interest rates by 450 basis points (bps) since March 2022 and is widely expected to further raise them by 50 bps over the next three months, while the Reserve Bank of India has raised rates by 250 bps since last May.
Last week, the RBI raised the repo rate for the sixth consecutive time by 25 bps to 6.50% and kept the door open for more tightening after saying that core inflation stayed “sticky”.
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