SINGAPORE: Chicago wheat slid to its lowest in two-and-a-half years on Wednesday, with the market declining for an eighth consecutive month as improved US crop condition and concerns over global economic growth weighed on prices.
Corn and soybeans edged lower on expectations of abundant world supplies. “Ideas that Russia will stay very competitive on exporting on the world market, plus continued good weather for the US crop helped put pressure (on prices),” commodities research firm Hightower said in a report.
The most-active wheat contract on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) was down 1.1% at $5.84-3/4 a bushel, as of 0258 GMT, after dropping earlier in the session to its weakest since Dec. 2020 at 5.84 a bushel.
Corn fell 0.8% to $5.89-1/2 a bushel and soybeans gave up 0.8% to $12.86 a bushel.
The condition of the drought-hit US winter wheat crop has improved more than analysts expected.
The US government in a weekly crop progress report on Tuesday rated 34% of winter wheat in “good-to-excellent’ condition, as of Sunday, up 3 percentage points from last week following rains in the southern Plains.
Analysts on average had expected the rating to rise to 32%, according to a Reuters survey.
French soft wheat crop rating steady
For May, wheat is down 7.8%, falling for an eighth month in a row, corn has risen 0.7% after closing sharply lower in April and soybean are down 9.4%, a second month of losses. On the macroeconomic front, commodity markets are facing headwinds over a global recession.
Asia’s stockmarkets slid toward a second month of losses in a row on Wednesday, and even the glittering Nikkei paused, as weak Chinese factory activity fed growing doubts about the post-pandemic recovery in the world’s second biggest economy.
Wheat is facing additional pressure from weak export demand for US supplies. Export prices of Russian wheat are softening further in anticipation of a new harvest and amid low demand from global importers, analysts said.
Buyers in the United States are believed to have last week purchased about 60,000 tonnes of European Union origin wheat expected to be sourced about half each from Poland and Germany, European traders said, underscoring high prices for domestic US wheat.
The European Commission has increased its monthly forecasts for this year’s European Union soft wheat and rapeseed harvests, while lowering its outlook for barley and maize, data posted by the EU’s executive showed.
Ukraine is seeking guarantees from Moscow and the UN that a deal on the safe export of Black Sea grain will work normally if Kyiv allows Russian ammonia to transit Ukrainian territory, a Ukrainian official said on Tuesday.
Meanwhile, planting of the US 2023 corn and soybean crops is advancing ahead of the normal pace while producers and traders monitor dry conditions in portions of the Midwest.
After the CBOT close, the US Department of Agriculture’s (USDA) first corn condition ratings for 2023 pegged 69% of the US crop in “good-to-excellent” condition, below an average of analyst expectations for 71% and down from 73% a year ago.
US corn planting is 92% complete, ahead of the five-year average of 84%, and soybean planting is 83% complete, ahead of its five-year average of 65%, the USDA said.
The government has projected supplies of corn and soybeans will rise in the 2023/24 marketing year due to forecasts for record harvests.
Commodity funds were net sellers of CBOT soybean, soyoil, wheat, corn and soymeal futures contracts on Tuesday, traders said.
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