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EDITORIAL: Surely, the new prime minister, and his cabinet would have liked to settle in to better news than the danger of missing this year’s wheat production target.

It turns out that, unless things get worse, the country is only likely to produce 29 out of the targeted 32 million tons of the commodity this season. Wheat is the people’s staple food, after all, so the chain reaction of market shortage, higher price, unscheduled imports, and yet higher price is now certain to play out.

And since this news has come on the heels of the usual Ramazan effect, with food prices driving inflation higher once again, the new government will find public goodwill in very short supply.

The reason for this expected shortfall, according to the press, is a combination of “high energy costs and manipulation of urea price”. Rising input cost, because of IMF’s (International Monetary Fund’s) power and gas tariffs, etc., is not surprising and somebody from the PDM (Pakistan Democratic Movement) or the caretaker administration must now answer why it was not factored in when the annual projection was made. But the urea price issue is an entirely different matter. It’s been reported that farmers were forced to pay double the actual price, as high as Rs5,000 per bag, because of the “alleged monopoly of the fertiliser sector”, and that the industry “could not take action against price manipulation”. Also, the best that the caretaker setup cared to do was refer a “case against fertiliser manufacturers to the Competition Commission of Pakistan (CCP)”.

It’s a shame that the mechanism in place to check monopolistic practices and price management is clearly completely dysfunctional. At the end of the day, farmers will earn less, people will pay more, and the same old highwaymen will laugh all the way to the bank, as always, with the government still not bothered enough to break this pattern. On top of this, the food chain will be disrupted even more because provinces are just not willing to set uniform prices of wheat, which will give nightmares to Passco (Pakistan Agriculture Storage and Supplies Corporation) in its commodity procurement drive very soon. In December last year, ECC (Economic Coordination Committee) of the cabinet approved a “profitable” support price of Rs3,900 per 40kg for the wheat crop of 2023-24. But Sindh and Balochistan governments revised it up to Rs4,000 and Rs4,300 per 40kg, respectively, effectively preventing Passco from buying from them and leaving farmers to suffer even more because they will not be able to fetch “fair returns”.

This, then, is yet another one of those self-inflicted wounds for which only the government of Pakistan is to blame. Politicians that bend over backwards to protect democracy and represent us as well as bureaucrats in the civil service are both too incompetent and/or corrupt to manage the people’s affairs and/or protect their interests. Now, just because of the lot that runs this country, its citizens will be forced to pay more than fair price for less than their fair share of food.

Copyright Business Recorder, 2024

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Prof amar bhutts Mar 13, 2024 08:43am
Pakistan is a COUNTRY with most Fertile Agriculture lands. But unfortunately being RAPIDLY destroying by mafia, millions of acres of fertile land is now housing colonies. Foods SECURITY is not good.
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KU Mar 13, 2024 11:35am
To date, farmers have spent around Rs. 43,000 per acre on fertilizers, fuel, etc., and still a month to harvest costs. Poor agriculture policy is criminal, high input costs has made it unfeasible.
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Taha Mar 13, 2024 07:29pm
29 m tons is a huge harvest for Pakistan. Nothing to scoff at, whilst paper target of 32 m tons will have to be answered by the gov as to what actions it took to achieve the target in the first place.
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Az_Iz Mar 14, 2024 10:22pm
Targets set by the government doesn't mean anything. They do this all the time, and rarely ever achieve them.
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