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Alarms bells have rung as speakers at a recent seminar, “Disaster Resilient Pakistan” organized by the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) have raised voices to avert 2022-like floods this monsoon season. The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PDM) has predicted above-normal rains in the country.

Besides extreme weather, torrential and unseasonal rains are also clear signs of climate change. April 24 was the wettest month in Pakistan in 6 decades when the country saw significantly above-average rainfall and lightning leading to loss of land and life.

Pakistan ranks among the ten most vulnerable countries in the world to climate change despite accounting for only 0.9 percent of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The economic survey of Pakistan 2024-25 mentions unpredictable weather patterns, resulting in flash floods, droughts, glacial lake outbursts, intense heat waves, and erratic rainfall as destructive effects of climate change.

The survey has highlighted some key striking impacts of climate change in the country. The annual expected damage from riverine floods is projected to surge by at least around 47 percent by 2050. As for heatwaves, the fraction of the population exposed yearly is expected to increase by at least 32 percent by 2050. Moreover, labor productivity is projected to decline across the board because of escalating heat stress by around 7 percent. These changes in the climate over the years have also been impacting agriculture adversely. The Economic Survey of Pakistan 2023-24 points out that climate change will lower agriculture performance with annual mean wheat yield declining by at least one percent by 2050. Air and water pollution is another area that will aggravate human health especially those living in vulnerable areas.

Comments

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KU Jun 21, 2024 01:30pm
As per IMF, Pakistan's per capita annual water availability has reduced from 1500 to 1017 cubic meters, n will get worse by 2025, lack of govt’s interest in reservoirs proves disinterest in people.
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KU Jun 21, 2024 01:31pm
Most crops grow in 18 C to 28 C, but in 45 C plus heat or warm temperatures they cannot survive or produce low yields. Negligence on new techniques in agri is criminal n death due to food insecurity.
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KU Jun 21, 2024 01:32pm
We have 30 day water storage capacity against South Asian avg. of 220 days, 7 million-acre feet of water is lost to sea annually, in drought scenario 207 million people will face water scarcity.
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KU Jun 21, 2024 04:19pm
This survey relies only on secondary data n references, our own data or research on climate events is wanting. Besides, the timeline of 2050 has been revised to 2030, especially for sub-continent.
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