Brent falls, US crude rises as global demand seen weak

Brent crude oil fell and US crude rose as ample global supply and lacklustre demand pressured the global benchmark while positive US economic data supported oil prices in the world's largest oil consumer. US gross domestic product expanded at a 4.2 percent annual rate instead of the previously reported 4.0 percent pace, the Commerce Department said on Thursday, reflecting upward revisions to business spending and exports.
-- Atlantic oil market over-supplied
-- US oil production rise more than offsets supply losses
-- Fire hits BP's largest US refinery, at Whiting, Indiana
"There's better demand here in the US than versus Europe," said Phil Flynn, an analyst with the Price Futures Group in Chicago, Illinois. Oil supply is expected to exceed demand this year, analysts forecast, and crude oil benchmarks on both sides of the Atlantic Basin are on track to post a second monthly decline.
October Brent crude fell by 26 cents to settle at $102.46 a barrel. Last week, the contract hit a 14-month intraday low of $101.07 and it has been unable this week to break out of the $101-$104 range. US crude for October rose 67 cents to settle at $94.55 a barrel. The spread between the two benchmarks widened to $9.15 during the session, then narrowed to settle at $7.91.
"Brent-US crude pushed above $9 again and that's a pretty lofty premium given that we don't have a supply disruption," said Gene McGillian, an analyst with Tradition Energy in Stamford, Connecticut. Political instability in Iraq and Libya continued to weigh on investors' minds, even though oil exports from the two countries have actually risen in recent months. Libya's National Oil Corp (NOC) said on Thursday the country's oil production had risen to 665,000 barrels per day (bpd) from 650,000 bpd earlier this week.
Analysts say a revival of Libya's oil industry may be short-lived as armed groups and two parliaments fight for control of the North African country. An Islamist insurgency in Iraq also threatens to derail long-term output plans set by Opec's second largest producer. Rapid rises in North American oil production over the last three years have more than compensated for output losses due to conflicts in the Middle East and North Africa, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) says.
US oil production grew by more than 4 million barrels per day (bpd) between January 2011 and July 2014. During the same period, 2.8 million bpd of global oil production was knocked out by unplanned supply outages, the EIA said on Wednesday. Global oil demand has increased less than expected over the last few years and analysts say the developing trade dispute over the Ukraine crisis could also help curb fuel consumption.