US factory activity expanded at a healthy pace in June as new orders, output and exports rose, new industry data showed on Friday, providing another sign that US economic growth was regaining its footing after weakness early this year. Automakers reported robust sales of light trucks and sport-utility vehicles on Friday, putting the industry on track toward its best June sales in more than a decade and indicating strong confidence by consumers in their future job prospects.
Ford Motor Co and Fiat Chrysler reported June sales gains of 6.4 percent and 6.5 percent, respectively, while General Motors Co reported a 1.6 percent decline. But the positive for manufacturing and autos was dampened by a second straight monthly drop in US construction spending in May. Despite signs of strength in other sectors of the economy,
the weaker construction data could prompt some economists to trim back their second-quarter growth estimates and could help reinforce the Federal Reserve's view that there is currently too much uncertainty over global and US growth to raise interest rates in the near term.
"Net-net it is a certainly a bit of a mixed picture, a mixed bag, but I think in terms of direction, what is evidenced here, is that growth momentum has rebounded," said Millan Mulraine, deputy chief economist at TD Securities in New York. He added that a major "asterisk" to the improvement is that the data surveys predate Britain's vote last week to leave the European Union, which has injected a big source of uncertainty to the global growth outlook.
The Institute for Supply Management said its national factory index rose to 53.2 in June, the highest since February last year, from 51.3 in May. A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector, which accounts for about 12 percent of the US economy. The ISM new factory orders index in June showed a reading of 57.0 compared with 55.7 in May, while export orders showed 53.5 versus 52.5. The order backlog index rose to 52.5 from 47.0, while production rose to 54.7 from 52.6.
The employment index rose to 50.4 in June from 49.2 in May, for its first reading over 50 since November. US stocks rose after the ISM data, putting the S&P 500 on track for its best weekly gains since October and recovering nearly all of the ground lost since the "Brexit" vote. The dollar was trading lower against a basket of currencies.
While the International Monetary Fund anticipates that uncertainty over Britain's departure from the EU will dampen near-term global growth, it remains unclear how much Brexit might affect US demand. In addition to its factory index, ISM on Friday released a survey that showed 61 percent of businesses saw a negligible impact from Britain's EU vote for the remainder of this year. It showed only six percent forecasting a negative impact, and there was little difference between manufacturing and non-manufacturing firms.
Manufacturing remains constrained by the lingering effects of the dollar's surge and the oil price plunge between June 2014 and December 2015. The sector has also been hurt by business efforts to reduce an inventory glut, which has curtailed orders. The Commerce Department said on Friday that May construction spending fell 0.8 percent after a downwardly revised 2.0 percent drop in April. The revised April drop was the largest since January 2011.
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast construction spending rising 0.6 percent after a previously reported April drop of 1.8 percent. May construction outlays were up 2.8 percent from a year earlier. May construction spending was held down by a 2.3 percent drop in public construction spending. Outlays on state and local construction projects, the largest of the public sector segment, tumbled 3.0 percent, while federal construction spending rose 7.5 percent. Private construction spending fell by 0.3 percent after a downwardly revised 1.9 percent fall in April. Outlays on private residential construction were flat, while spending on private non-residential construction was down 0.7 percent.
Comments
Comments are closed.