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Markets

Dollar gains after strong ADP jobs data, Italy weighs on euro

NEW YORK: The US dollar gained on Wednesday as data supported the view that the US economy is in strong shape and as
Published October 3, 2018

NEW YORK: The US dollar gained on Wednesday as data supported the view that the US economy is in strong shape and as concerns about Italy's budget negotiations continued to weigh on the euro.

Private employers added 230,000 jobs in September, the most since February, according to the ADP National Employment Report on Wednesday. That was more than economists' expectations of 185,000 jobs.

The data is consistent with the Federal Reserve's message last week and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's comments on Tuesday that the US central bank is "still very much committed to a gradual path when it comes to rate hikes going forward," said Bipan Rai, head of North American foreign exchange strategy at CIBC Capital Markets in Toronto.

Powell on Tuesday hailed a "remarkably positive outlook" for the US economy that he feels is on the verge of a "historically rare" era of ultra-low unemployment and tame prices.

The Fed last Wednesday raised interest rates as expected and said it foresees another rate hike in December, three more next year and one in 2020.

The dollar is outperforming as US growth remains strong while economic data in other large economies including the eurozone has come in below expectations.

"One of the reasons we think why the dollar has been so bid in the last several months has been because the US economy has been performing reasonably well, whereas we've seen a material slowdown in terms of data coming out of the eurozone and Japan and other large economies," said Rai.

The euro is also being hurt by uncertainty surrounding Italy's debt, fiscal plans and future ties with Europe, which have unnerved markets and exacerbated tensions with other eurozone leaders.

The euro has been testing key technical support at $1.510-$1.508, which was a temporary low set in June.

"This MUST hold on a closing basis for an overall upside bias to remain intact," Karen Jones, an analyst at Commerzbank wrote in a report on Wednesday.

A break below this level would be viewed as bearish and likely result in further weakness to around $1.13, said Jones, which was a one-year low reached in August.

Copyright Reuters, 2018
 

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