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Markets

Stocks rally wanes, dollar recovers before Fed decision

LONDON: A stock markets rally waned Thursday, with eurozone shares hit as the European Union warned of slowing growt
Published November 8, 2018

LONDON: A stock markets rally waned Thursday, with eurozone shares hit as the European Union warned of slowing growth across the single currency bloc.

London managed to stay in positive territory on hopes that a Brexit deal would soon be announced, dealers said.

Asian stock markets closed mixed, while oil prices edged up.

The dollar recovered from Wednesday's selloff in the wake of US midterm elections and as traders awaited the outcome of the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy meeting later Thursday.

Global stock markets had mostly rallied on Wednesday after the US midterm elections produced no major surprises but the dollar had retreated as experts said the result could see the Fed lessen the pace of expected interest rate hikes.

"The post-election bounce was strong (for stocks) but short-lived, with US futures slightly in the red ahead of the open as traders turn their attention to today's central bank announcement," said Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at Oanda trading group.

With the Fed not expected to raise interest rates Thursday, investors will be looking for clues regarding the pace of future hikes -- an outlook clouded by Tuesday's midterm elections.

The result -- which saw the Democrats regain control of the House of Representatives and President Donald Trump's Republican party widening its majority in the Senate -- could mean lower pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise US interest rates more aggressively, taking some heat out of the dollar, according to analysts.

While the vote was broadly in line with forecasts, the outcome means Trump faces a tough two years before his 2020 re-election bid, with Democrats appearing ready to fight against his tax-cutting, deregulation agenda while boosting oversight of the president's administration.

In Europe meanwhile, the EU on Thursday said growth in the eurozone would slow in 2019 and beyond, citing global uncertainty and heightened trade tensions.

The European Commission warned also that Italy's deficit would balloon in 2019 owing to a spending boost planned by Rome's populist government that blatantly defies EU rules on expenditure.

Elsewhere, oil prices edged up slightly but remain subdued after data showing a surge in US energy stockpiles, although they have been given support from reports OPEC may reduce output again next year.

The cartel had started opening the taps again this year after a long-running cap agreement with Russia, which had boosted prices, ended.

But with production now rising globally again -- and the Iran sanctions seemingly having little impact owing to US waivers -- Bloomberg News said ministers meeting in Abu Dhabi this weekend were considering the reduction.

"Saudi Arabia and Russia have increased production, and prices have come down $15 a barrel," Hossein Kazempour Ardebili, Iran's representative to OPEC, said. "They have over-balanced the market" and have no choice but to cut about one million barrels a day.

- Key figures around 1200 GMT -

London - FTSE 100: UP 0.3 percent at 7,137.52 points

Frankfurt - DAX 30: DOWN 0.2 percent at 11,558.43

Paris - CAC 40: DOWN 0.1 percent at 5,135.24

EURO STOXX 50: DOWN 0.1 percent at 3,241.86

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: UP 1.8 percent at 22,486.92 (close)

Hong Kong - Hang Seng: UP 0.3 percent at 26,227.72 (close)

Shanghai - Composite: DOWN 0.2 percent at 2,635.63 (close)

New York - Dow: UP 2.1 percent at 26,180.30 (close)

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.1409 from $1.1434 at 2200 GMT

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.3104 from $1.3130

Dollar/yen: UP at 113.69 yen from 113.53 yen

Oil - Brent Crude: UP one cent at $72.08 per barrel

Oil - West Texas Intermediate: UP 17 cents at $61.84 per barrel

Copyright AFP (Agence France-Press), 2018
 

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