The New Zealand dollar inched lower on Tuesday after the country recorded its biggest monthly trade deficit in more than 10 years, while the Australian dollar was a tad firmer ahead of the first House testimony by the new head of the Federal Reserve. The New Zealand dollar slipped 0.2 percent to $0.7291 after the country posted a deficit of NZ$566 million in January.
"The monthly trade figures are not typically a big market mover, but the surprise was unusually large this time," said Michael Gordon, senior economist at Westpac. Across the Tasman Sea, the Australian dollar was up 0.1 percent at $0.7858. The Aussie had rallied since end-2017 to reach a more than 2-1/2-year peak of $0.8136 last month. However, it failed to sustain at those levels and soon stumbled to $0.7759, the lowest since December. New Zealand government bonds were unchanged.
Australian government bond futures were mostly flat too, with the three-year bond contract down half a tick at 97.925 and the 10-year contract steady at 97.2350. To be sure, the monthly series is highly volatile, and compares with a surplus of NZ$596 million the previous month, which was the largest ever for any December. Investors now await Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's testimony on the central bank's semi-annual report on monetary policy and the economy later in the day. "If 'gradual' removal of accommodation remains the mantra, risk sentiment is likely to be supported," ANZ analysts wrote in a note to clients.
The Fed had caused a so called "taper tantrum" in May 2013 when it signalled it was time to stop pumping cash into the US economy, a move that created havoc in financial markets particularly Asia.
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