Copper rose 1.4 percent on Thursday as fading concerns over the prospect of a trade war between China and the United States sparked a bounce in cyclical assets, driving European stocks up more than 2 percent. Equity markets rebounded from the previous session's two-month low after the United States indicated it was willing to negotiate a resolution to the trade spat between the world's two biggest economies.
Investors had sought nominally safer assets earlier this week after a US proposal for tariffs on $50 billion in Chinese goods prompted Beijing to respond that it would target key American imports in retaliation. "The positive (factor) today is that there are possible talks on (averting) a trade war, and a possible de-escalation," ABN Amro analyst Casper Burgering said. "Copper is a very cyclical metal, and it tends to react very swiftly to macroeconomic events."
Copper remains undervalued given its underlying fundamentals, he added. "From the data I've received there is still no real shortage in the copper market, but given the projections for this year and next, it appears to be heading for a deficit," he said. London Metal Exchange copper closed at $6,816 a tonne, up 1.4 percent. The metal is recovering from a three-month low of $6,532 hit on March 23.
World stocks rose as investors dipped back into riskier assets after signs that Sino-US trade tensions are easing, while the recovery in equities helped lift the dollar index to a two-week high. The Shanghai Futures Exchange is closed on Thursday and Friday for China's national Tomb Sweeping Day holiday. "Since Chinese markets will be closed for the rest of the week because of the Qingming festival, impetus for the metals markets will come only from the US," Commerzbank said in a note.
Shanghai Futures Exchange aluminium stocks fell for the first time in more than nine months, giving the market faint hopes of a drawdown on record inventories of the metal in China, the world's biggest aluminium producer and consumer. LME aluminium ended the day 0.9 percent higher at $2,009 a tonne. Headline zinc inventories in LME warehouses fell 2,175 tonnes to 207,325 tonnes, exchange data showed, but on-warrant stocks - those not earmarked for delivery and therefore available to the market - surged 16 percent to 166,650 tonnes, their highest since mid-March.
LME zinc finished 0.6 percent lower at $3,237 a tonne. LME lead closed up 0.4 percent at $2,381 a tonne, while nickel ended 1.3 percent higher at $13,325 and tin finished 0.7 percent higher at $21,050.
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