US soyabean futures fell more than 1 percent on Tuesday, with the benchmark November contract on the Chicago Board of Trade hitting a one-month low on expectations of a bumper US harvest and uncertainty about demand, analysts said. Corn futures followed soyabeans lower while CBOT wheat steadied after a six-session slide pushed the December contract to its lowest in nearly six weeks.
As of 12:10 p.m. CDT (1710 GMT), CBOT November soya was down 11-1/2 cents at $8.36-3/4 per bushel after dipping to $8.35-3/4, its weakest level since hitting a contract low on July 16 at $8.26-1/4. CBOT December corn was down 2-3/4 cents at $3.58-3/4 a bushel while December soft red winter wheat was up 3 cents at $5.25-1/2.
Soya futures tumbled on outlooks for rising US supplies at a time when ongoing trade disputes with top buyer China have clouded export prospects. The Pro Farmer advisory service last week projected 2018 US soyabean production at a record 4.683 billion bushels, topping the US Department of Agriculture's forecast for 4.586 billion. Pro Farmer also projected a US corn yield of 177.3 bushels per acre, below the USDA's forecast of 178.4 but still a record high, if realized.
Others cited worries that outbreaks of African swine fever in China's hog herd could curb demand for soyameal, a key ingredient in hog feed. CBOT wheat futures firmed in what appeared to be a short-covering bounce after the December contract dipped below its 200-day moving average and hit $5.18-1/2 per bushel, its lowest since July 19.
The market drew support from news that Russian consultancy IKAR lowered its estimate of Russia's 2018 wheat harvest to 69.6 million tonnes, from 70.8 million previously. The firm left its Russian wheat export estimate unchanged at 32.5 million tonnes. Meanwhile, reacting to the recent fall in prices, Egypt's main state wheat buyer purchased 350,000 tonnes of wheat in an international tender, including 290,000 tonnes of Russian origin and 60,000 tonnes of Ukrainian wheat.
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