Palladium soared to a record on Tuesday, fuelled by a sustained deficit and speculative interest for the autocatalyst metal, briefly surpassing bullion, which scaled a more than five-week as the dollar slid. Spot gold rose 0.6 percent to $1,238.54 per ounce at 11:05 a.m. EST (1605 GMT), after earlier hitting $1,241.86, the highest since Oct. 26. US gold futures were up 0.4 percent at $1,244 per ounce.
Palladium climbed 2.3 percent to $1,231.60 per ounce, having earlier jumped to an all-time high of $1,239.50. "We have a tight fundamental market, flat supplies, rising demand and on top of that, undoubtedly some speculative interest which has helped drive prices to all-time record highs," Mitsubishi analyst Jonathan Butler said.
"For the moment, we don't see anything changing; the metal remains in demand for industrial uses, speculators are covering their positions, lease market is very tight, and palladium forwards are in backwardation. We could see some higher prices from here in the very short term." The metal, used mainly used in emissions-reducing auto catalysts for vehicles, has gained about 49 percent since mid-August.
"Palladium continues to fire long signals on all indicators and to make new highs, and is now challenging gold as reduced auto tariffs from China boost demand expectations in an already tight market," analysts at TD Securities said in a note. The metal's 14-day relative strength index (RSI) was around 77. An RSI above 70 indicates a commodity is overbought and could lead to a price correction.
Meanwhile, gold prices were on track for a second straight session of gains as the dollar continued to be pressured after the United States and China agreed to hold off on fresh trade tariffs for 90 days. "Primarily it is the weaker dollar that is providing assistance and that will be the key driver in the short term," Capital Economics analyst Ross Strachan said.
However, interest rate futures traders are now pricing in only one rate increase during 2019, below Fed projections of three, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool. Meanwhile, spot silver jumped 1.4 percent to $14.57 per ounce, while platinum dipped 1.2 percent to $796.49.
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