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Markets

Oil prices turn lower on demand concerns after weak US retail sales

NEW YORK: Oil prices reversed direction and eased on Thursday after the steepest decline in U.S. retail spending sin
Published February 14, 2019

NEW YORK: Oil prices reversed direction and eased on Thursday after the steepest decline in U.S. retail spending since 2009 heightened investor fears of a global slowdown.

U.S. financial markets opened lower and global stock markets erased broad gains after retail sales in the world's largest economy recorded their biggest drop in more than nine years in December.

The U.S. economy's outlook was further dimmed by other data showing an unexpected increase in the number of Americans filing claims for unemployment benefits last week.

"Oil prices sold off in reaction to the very weak retail sales data in the U.S. that drove selling across-the-board," said John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital Management in New York.

"Once again, the weak demand narrative is outweighing some of the other supportive factors on the supply side."

Earlier in the session, international benchmark Brent crude reached its highest so far this year as prices drew support from investor optimism that the United States and China could resolve their trade dispute.

Brent futures were up 5 cents at $63.66 a barrel by 10:29 a.m. EST (1529 GMT), after hitting a 2019 high of $64.81, while U.S. crude fell 38 cents to $53.52 a barrel, down from a session high of $54.68.

The price of crude has gained nearly 20 percent this year, driven primarily by the prospect of a decline in oil supply from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other top exporters such as Russia.

The group of producers, known as OPEC+, has agreed to cut crude output by a joint 1.2 million barrels per day. Top exporter Saudi Arabia said it would cut even more in March than called for under the deal.

"While medium-term trends pose some challenges, we still see a balanced oil supply/demand outlook this year. Brent should average $70 in 2019, helped by voluntary (Saudi, Kuwait, UEA) and involuntary (Venezuela, Iran) declines in OPEC supply," Bank of America analysts said in a note.

Providing some support was also data showing a surprise increase in China's exports in January, as well as a sharp rise in imports of crude oil before the Lunar New Year holidays in early February.

However, in physical markets, the steep rise in availability of U.S. shale oil is leading not only to a build in domestic inventories of crude, but also in refined products.

Government data on Wednesday showed that U.S. crude stocks last week rose to their highest since November 2017 as refiners cut runs to the lowest since October 2017.

Copyright Reuters, 2019
 

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