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Markets

Sterling stands tall after jobs data; Brexit delay eyed

LONDON: The pound held firm near the day's highs on Tuesday after data showed British employers ramped up their hiri
Published March 19, 2019

LONDON: The pound held firm near the day's highs on Tuesday after data showed British employers ramped up their hiring at the fastest pace in three years though broad uncertainty on Brexit negotiations kept investors sidelined.

While the pound has been little moved by British economic data in recent weeks, preferring to focus on the progress of Brexit negotiations, the data offered investors an excuse to consolidate their positions after a late selloff on Monday.

The number of people in work surged by 222,000, helping to push down the unemployment rate to 3.9 percent, its lowest since the start of 1975, official data showed.

The British currency got off to a volatile start to the week, shedding half a percent in late London trading on Monday, after John Bercow, the speaker of Britain's parliament, said Prime Minister Theresa May's Brexit deal could not be voted on again unless a different proposal was submitted.

The pound's fall on Bercow's ruling was quickly reversed, partly on confusion over the next direction and a reluctance to take directional bets but also because there was little disturbance to the running market assumption of "deal or delay".

"The predominant notion adopted by the market is that as long as the worst case scenario of hard Brexit is avoided by delaying Brexit, the pound is a buy on dips," Rabobank strategists said in a note.

That view was shared by Morgan Stanley strategists who said the pound remained a buy on dips. The U.S. bank's positioning tracker showed broader market positions on the pound was broadly neutral.

Against the dollar, the pound firmed 0.1 percent higher at $1.3270 and just below a day's high of $1.3282.

It rallied to a 9-month high against the greenback to nearly $1.34 last week and is down less than a percent from those highs.

Against the euro, the pound was broadly steady at 85.55 pence.

Despite the latest political developments, various gauges of volatility indicators for the pound ticked lower on Tuesday, reflecting a broader drop in currency market volatility.

Copyright Reuters, 2019
 

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