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Markets

C$ falls as retail sales rise is overshadowed by US data

The Canadian dollar fell against its U.S. counterpart on Thursday, as data showing a rise in Canadian retail sales w
Published April 18, 2019

The Canadian dollar fell against its U.S. counterpart on Thursday, as data showing a rise in Canadian retail sales was overshadowed by strong U.S. retail sales numbers that pointed to a relatively stronger U.S. economy.

At 9:54 a.m. EDT (1354 GMT), the Canadian dollar  traded about 0.4% lower at 1.3385 to the greenback, or 74.71 U.S. cents. The currency, which touched its strongest intraday level since March 21 on Wednesday at 1.3270, traded in a range of 1.3336 to 1.3399.

Canadian retail sales grew by 0.8% in February from January to C$50.62 billion ($37.85 billion), largely as a result of  higher sales at general merchandise stores, as well as motor vehicle and parts dealers, Statistics Canada said on Thursday.

Excluding the effects of price changes, retail sales increased 0.2% in volume terms.

"Today's retail sales number was good from (a)far but far from great," said Karl Schamotta, director of foreign exchange strategy and structured products at Cambridge Global Payments.

"At the headline level it looks quite promising but once you strip out the effects of price changes you are not looking at a report that dramatically alters where the Canadian dollar is heading," said Schamotta.

"What we are seeing here at the moment is the American consumer proving far more resilient than market participants have long expected," said Schamotta.

U.S. retail sales increased by the most in 1-1/2 years in March as households boosted purchases of motor vehicles and a range of other goods, the latest indication that economic growth picked up in the first quarter after a false start.

Oil prices shook off early weakness to edge higher on Thursday, boosted by a decline in U.S. inventories, even as traders worried that further gains for oil may be limited.

The Bank of Canada is expected to hold policy steady at its April 24 meeting and for the rest of this year, with calls for the next hike in early 2020 resting on a knife's edge, a Reuters poll showed, the latest dulling of rate expectations for a major central bank.

In the Canadian government bond market, the two-year  rose 3.5 Canadian cents to yield 1.640% and the 10-year climbed 40 Canadian cents to yield 1.777%.

Copyright Reuters, 2019
 

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