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Print Print 2020-02-17

Brazil's real rebounds from record low

Brazil's real rose on Friday and recorded its first weekly gain in seven, supported by the central bank's move to stem a selloff in the currency, while other Latin American assets came under pressure from concerns around the coronavirus epidemic.
Published 17 Feb, 2020 12:00am

Brazil's real rose on Friday and recorded its first weekly gain in seven, supported by the central bank's move to stem a selloff in the currency, while other Latin American assets came under pressure from concerns around the coronavirus epidemic.

The real firmed 1.26%, its biggest daily gain in two months, a day after as the central bank sold $1 billion in foreign exchange swaps in its first market intervention in almost three months.

Data showed economic activity in Brazil fell more than expected in December, tying in with other indicators that pointed to a slowdown in Latin America's largest economy at the end of last year.

The real, which was also battered in 2019 by failed oil auctions, has already lost more than 6% this year and is among the worst performing regional currencies against the dollar. "In the short-term, it (the intervention) can certainly help the BRL, but it's hard to see a sustainable rally from the intervention alone," said Gordon Bowers, emerging markets fixed income analyst at Columbia Threadneedle.

"For the currency to outperform, we need growth data to pick up." The epidemic has prompted economists to cut growth forecasts for China's GDP in the first quarter and sparked a flight from assets in Brazil, among the main iron ore exporters to China. Brazilian equities fell 1.1% on Friday, sliding for the second straight session.

Health authorities reported about 5,000 new cases of the deadly virus on Friday, dashing earlier hopes that the outbreak was peaking. But global stock markets inched higher as policymakers pledged more monetary stimulus to limit its economic fallout.

The Mexican peso added about 0.2%, a day after Mexico's central bank cut its benchmark interest rate for a fifth consecutive time in the wake of a stagnating economy and slightly above-target headline inflation. Colombia's peso slid 0.5%, while the Chilean peso edged higher.

Copyright Reuters, 2020

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