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Opinion » Articles

Fiscal mess - straighten the priorities
Articles

Fiscal mess - straighten the priorities

Budget-making is in the process. This one is a tough budget to make. Covid-19 demands stimulus; but the fiscal deficit is already too high. The government is asking for no new taxes and demanding stimulus for industries and vulnerable. The government want
Updated 31 May, 2020 08:04am
The challenge of SOEs
Articles

The challenge of SOEs

The 190 State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) comprising Public Sector Companies (PSCs), Development Finance Institutions (DFIs) and Authorities, employing a total of over 425,000 personnel, incur a colossal loss of around Rs 500 billion a year. In other words,
Published 30 May, 2020 12:06am
A tale of two horses
Articles

A tale of two horses

Unfortunately, the exact quote, which by the way succinctly brings out the message, cannot be published - blame it on the censor board. Be that as it may, the more refined version comes out thusly: you cannot ride two horses with one behind.
Published 30 May, 2020 12:06am
Global policy post-Covid-19
Articles

Global policy post-Covid-19

There were already discussions gaining momentum since the Global Financial Crisis 2007/08 in many policy corners of economy and politics globally - but still remained far from reaching any meaningful threshold in terms of consequences on three main areas
Updated 13 Jun, 2020 09:49pm
Tripartite social dialogue
Articles

Tripartite social dialogue

According to ILO's definition, Social Dialogue means the practice of Tripartism between governments and the representative organizations of workers and employers to achieving solutions and to building up social cohesion and the rule of law through, among
Published 29 May, 2020 12:05am
Agricultural autarky via atoms
Articles

Agricultural autarky via atoms

What is common between the disinfected mummy of Ramses II, and a well acclimatized shiny spike silver boll of cotton? Nothing much, apparently. But if one scraps the surface a little, one can find both benefitting from radiations in some way.
Published 28 May, 2020 12:03am
Lockdown - A tale of other diseases
Articles

Lockdown - A tale of other diseases

Lock down or die. Lockdown or economy. Lockdown or jobs. Lockdown or lives. These were the debates prevalent. World over and in Pakistan, from experts to individuals, the over whelming discussion was on the necessity of lockdown to defeat a virus that was
Published 28 May, 2020 12:03am
The GDP growth rate
Articles

The GDP growth rate

The Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) has revealed the final estimate of the GDP growth rate for 2018-19 and the preliminary estimate of the GDP growth rate for 2019-20. This is contrary to the past practice whereby GDP estimates were included in the Pa
Published 27 May, 2020 12:06am
Housing - a fundamental human right
Articles

Housing - a fundamental human right

Article 25 of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights recognizes the right to housing as part of the right to an adequate standard of living. Article 11(1) of the International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights (ICESCR) also guarantees th
Published 27 May, 2020 12:06am
Sugar inquiry: Fix the illness not the symptoms
Articles

Sugar inquiry: Fix the illness not the symptoms

The sugar inquiry report did not focus on the structural problems creating the 'economic rents'. Rather the energies are expended on chasing the rentiers. And the media eyes are on personalities. The study dealt with the tactical issues - nothing on fixin
Published 24 May, 2020 12:01am
The final step of your business's journey!
Articles

The final step of your business's journey!

Running a business on any scale requires careful planning and the ability of its managers to capitalize on all opportunities presented, while also finding the best solutions to all the challenges that arise in the business landscape. Every economy in the
Published 24 May, 2020 12:01am
What's up?
Articles

What's up?

WhatsApp is a pun on What's Up, in case you didn't get it yet - actually, that was a sudden but rational guess made whilst dreaming up the title for today's write up; now it is knowledge confirmed from WhatsApp web page. Cool!
Published 23 May, 2020 12:06am
Will Covid-19 deal US malls a mortal blow?
Articles

Will Covid-19 deal US malls a mortal blow?

As they gradually reopen, US shopping malls are requiring masks and implementing social distancing policies in hopes of convincing customers that they can shop safely in the coronavirus era.
Published 23 May, 2020 12:06am
Pakistan's human capital conundrum
Articles

Pakistan's human capital conundrum

In 1986, the Journal of Political Economy (JPE) published a paper ('Increasing returns and long run growth') by a relatively unknown economist. The same person, Paul Romer, got another one published in 1990 ('Endogenous technical change'), which had manag
Published 23 May, 2020 12:06am
Budgets 2020 amid Covid-19 crisis - II: Need for paradigm shift
Articles

Budgets 2020 amid Covid-19 crisis - II: Need for paradigm shift

In the present circumstances, in the forthcoming federal budget, the need for a fair and simple tax system, as elaborate in Towards Flat, Low-rate, Broad and Predictable Taxes [PRIME Institute, 2016] and referred to in PIDE Policy Viewpoint [16:2020] Doin
Published 22 May, 2020 12:03am
A looming debt crisis
Articles

A looming debt crisis

In his article in the New York Times on April 30, 2020, Prime Minister of Ethiopia and the 2019 Nobel Peace Prize winner Abiy Ahmed highlighted the fact that the temporary debt relief provided by G20 group of countries, however a welcome step, it was not
Published 22 May, 2020 12:03am
In the name of the poor
Articles

In the name of the poor

How easily our worldview mutates. How quickly our hierarchy of ambition gets rehashed and reset. All it takes is an invisible microbe.
Published 21 May, 2020 12:09am
Digital transformation in the time of Covid-19
Articles

Digital transformation in the time of Covid-19

Digital and IT transformations are the only way forward. Before the on-going pandemic, technology adoption was the only way ahead and this will not change once the world emerges from this crisis.
Published 21 May, 2020 12:09am
Europe's Franco-German 'motor' sputters back to life
Articles

Europe's Franco-German 'motor' sputters back to life

President Emmanuel Macron and Chancellor Angela Merkel have jump-started the Franco-German "motor" at the heart of Europe by jointly pitching a hugely ambitious economic recovery plan, even if it faces a bumpy road ahead.
Published 21 May, 2020 12:09am
Food security in the age of Covid-19
Articles

Food security in the age of Covid-19

There never was any lockdown in the country's agricultural sector. And from the way the NCC and NCOC have been carrying out, their respective efforts over the last two months at meeting the challenges of Covid-19, it appears that for lack of enough testin
Published 20 May, 2020 12:05am
Economic policy choices beyond immediate crisis - I
Articles

Economic policy choices beyond immediate crisis - I

The economic policy response to the coronavirus crisis by Pakistan has been significant. On the monetary policy side, the State Bank of Pakistan has taken aggressive action to loosen monetary conditions and provide desperately needed liquidity to business
Published 20 May, 2020 12:05am
The forthcoming budget
Articles

The forthcoming budget

The Federal and Provincial Budgets for 2020-21 are expected to be announced in the month of June, starting with the presentation of the Federal Budget on the 5th of June. These budgets come at a time when the economy has been badly hit by the COVID-19 and
Published 19 May, 2020 12:02am
Hedging oil
Articles

Hedging oil

.Oil prices have touched zero and became even negative recently. A debate has ensued in Pakistan that we should have bought cheaper oil. It is a different matter that around the same time, there was news of diesel shortages. Petroleum Division, probably,
Published 19 May, 2020 12:02am
Foreign exchange earnings
Articles

Foreign exchange earnings

Pakistan's foreign exchange reserves on 30 April 2020 as per the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) website were 12.329 billion dollars, a respectable amount given the ongoing global pandemic that has severely negatively impacted on our exports and is likely to
Published 18 May, 2020 12:06am
Will they...?
Articles

Will they...?

A new phase, a new reality. The virus is there to stay for sometime. Sometime can be spent on being locked down or locked in, but, not for long. Countries are grappling with the reality of the virus being a way of life and that life without a virus will n
Published 18 May, 2020 12:06am
The going gets tougher
Articles

The going gets tougher

As new data comes in, the bitter reality is sinking. The global economic slowdown is expected to be worse than what was earlier expected. There could be further downside risks to global economic growth outlook of minus 3 percent in 2020. No economist in t
Published 17 May, 2020 12:03am
Tobacco industry - Pakistan's Giffen Paradox?
Articles

Tobacco industry - Pakistan's Giffen Paradox?

Many governments around the world keep a close eye on the use of tobacco - mostly used in cigarettes. Many countries increase taxes over time to reduce its consumption - the classic demand theory where increase in price of a commodity decreases its demand
Published 17 May, 2020 12:03am
Diamer-Bhasha dam
Articles

Diamer-Bhasha dam

Finally, the commencement of much-awaited Bhasha dam has been formally announced. Prime Minister Imran Khan last Monday ordered immediate commencement of work on construction of Diamer-Bhasha dam, rightly describing water security as the foremost priority
Published 16 May, 2020 12:07am
The value of life
Articles

The value of life

If you party for four days, strict abstinence for the remaining three days will probably not get you off the hook. In substance, you have a lockdown or you don't - the virus is not going to take "off days" whilst its hosts go on a shopping spree, so this
Published 16 May, 2020 12:07am
Pandemic stirs Wall Street's social conscience
Articles

Pandemic stirs Wall Street's social conscience

Worker welfare is having a moment on Wall Street. The need to restart production lines and reopen offices idled by the coronavirus pandemic mean issues such as sick pay and working conditions are suddenly a top priority for the C-suite and, for some inves
Published 16 May, 2020 12:07am
A post-Covid-19 world
Articles

A post-Covid-19 world

Major wars and pandemics, are the sort of happenings that change the world as we know it before they have happened. The Black Death lead to massive deaths in the Middle Ages, also it broke the back of feudalism and created a working class. On the positive
Published 15 May, 2020 12:05am
The IPPs' curse
Articles

The IPPs' curse

The recent "un-official" release of the Report by the Muhammad Ali Khan Committee on Power Sector has given the scandal hungry predators another target to feast upon. This Report fits right into a certain political and some TV channels' populist narrative
Published 14 May, 2020 12:04am
Taking advantage of RMB to develop Pakistan's economy
Articles

Taking advantage of RMB to develop Pakistan's economy

As the Covid-19 is spreading quickly around the world, its effects on the world economy including that of Pakistan are profound, complex and far-reaching. In order to mitigate the adverse impacts and rescue the nosediving economic growth, almost all count
Published 14 May, 2020 12:04am
Unlocking economic value
Articles

Unlocking economic value

In a speech made to the House of Commons a little more than a century ago, Winston Churchill spoke of the significance of land, "It is quite true that land monopoly is not the only monopoly which exists, but it is by far the greatest of monopolies - it is
Published 14 May, 2020 12:04am
Budgeting for a life with Covid-19
Articles

Budgeting for a life with Covid-19

Two of the major burdens on the forthcoming federal budget are likely to be relatively lighter compared to what successive budgets had to bear under these heads over the last many decades. The first is the foreign debt, part of which, thanks to Covid-19,
Published 13 May, 2020 12:07am
Impending cotton disaster
Articles

Impending cotton disaster

Availability of high-quality cotton is fundamental to the textile value chain which for Pakistan, is responsible for the influx of billions of dollars in the form of exports. In this respect, it earns the befitting title of "White Gold". Cotton makes mark
Published 13 May, 2020 12:07am
Oceans play profound role in our lives
Articles

Oceans play profound role in our lives

Memories of idyllic beaches and sonorous waves may seem far away while we remain at home. Yet, we need not look far to appreciate the enduring history of the ocean in Asia and the Pacific. For generations, the region has thrived on our seas. Our namesake
Published 13 May, 2020 12:07am
Consumers taken for a ride?
Articles

Consumers taken for a ride?

In January 2020, The Competition Commission of Pakistan ("the Commission") approved the acquisition of Careem by Uber, transforming the duopolistic market of application-based ridesharing services into a monopolistic market. The Commission was established
Published 12 May, 2020 12:06am
Emerging trends
Articles

Emerging trends

The key macroeconomic variables of the national economy are beginning to show sharply divergent trends from those observed earlier since June 2019. This includes developments in the real economy, monetary sector, inflation, public finances and the balance
Published 12 May, 2020 12:06am
Soviet role in WWII
Articles

Soviet role in WWII

Rising coronavirus infections forced Russia on May 9, 2020 to curtail its celebrations marking the 75th anniversary of the victory over Nazi Germany. Russia usually holds grand military parades to commemorate the event. This year's 75th anniversary was pl
Published 12 May, 2020 12:06am
Covid-19: Impact on oil sector
Articles

Covid-19: Impact on oil sector

Recent key developments in Pakistan's oil sector underscore that there is always a need for the country to maintain its strategic oil reserves.
Published 12 May, 2020 12:06am
Eighteenth Amendment: Why has it become controversial?
Articles

Eighteenth Amendment: Why has it become controversial?

Asif Ali Zardari as President signed two documents much appreciated at the time that have become the subject matter of intense politicking in recent months notably the seventh National Finance Commission (NFC) award and the eighteenth constitutional amend
Published 11 May, 2020 12:04am
Challenging the leadership mettle
Articles

Challenging the leadership mettle

Tough situations do not last, tough leaders do. In case of coronavirus crisis the tough situation seems to last indefinitely. That is why the bigger challenge, with the threat of Corona lurking around is what can leaders do to save people's lives, livelih
Published 11 May, 2020 12:04am
Attempting to demystify mafia
Articles

Attempting to demystify mafia

I only write this article because the most overused term on the media of Pakistan is the word 'Mafia'. Sheikh Rashid, the Nostradamus of Pakistan, starts and ends his interviews with this word. The citizens of this hapless country have been overexposed to
Published 11 May, 2020 12:04am
To lockdown or not? an economic perspective
Articles

To lockdown or not? an economic perspective

The handling and effectiveness of the lockdown depends on the healthcare system and testing capacity of the country, which has unfortunately been plagued by confusion amidst a debate, or rather indecisiveness as to whether we must lockdown the country or
Published 10 May, 2020 12:02am
GDP estimates: Between a rock and a hard place
Articles

GDP estimates: Between a rock and a hard place

Provincial GDP figures for 2019-20 will be announced. The official number is likely to remain in the range of negative 0.6 percent to 0.7 percent. The IMF projection is of negative 1.5 percent, and SBP's latest estimation is similar. This could be the fir
Updated 10 May, 2020 06:00am
The failure of Pakistan's power policies
Articles

The failure of Pakistan's power policies

The recently released report on IPPs by a government sanctioned commission brought not only the power producers into the limelight, but also the design of the previous power policies. While the final verdict on the report is still awaited, especially give
Published 10 May, 2020 12:02am
Partly Facetious: The corona challenge
Articles

Partly Facetious: The corona challenge

"Low income countries must ensure that Covid-19 containment strategies include the poor continuing to earn a living and access food. So in other words, these countries must ensure that some sectors remain open for the daily wage earners who in Pakistan ar
Published 09 May, 2020 12:06am
Formal and non-formal education
Articles

Formal and non-formal education

The World Bank is reported to have stated that it will assist Pakistan in developing a new model of non-formal education which, it said, would combine literacy, labour market skills and life skills development for uneducated and illiterate children, youth
Published 09 May, 2020 12:06am
Free market tanks
Articles

Free market tanks

"A quarter of French adults smoke. Many people were surprised, therefore, when researchers reported late in April that only 5% of 482 Covid-19 patients who came to the Pitié-Salpêtrière hospital in Paris between February 28th and April 9th were daily smok
Published 09 May, 2020 12:06am
Back to school? Officials move warily as challenges loom
Articles

Back to school? Officials move warily as challenges loom

Authorities worldwide face the formidable challenge of returning millions of children to classrooms shut due to the coronavirus outbreak, weighing the need to limit the educational damage against the risks of fuelling a surge in new cases.
Published 09 May, 2020 12:06am
Biden allies told to attack Trump's stimulus as 'cronyism'
Articles

Biden allies told to attack Trump's stimulus as 'cronyism'

Allies of presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden are being told to sharpen attacks on President Donald Trump's stimulus efforts as thinly veiled "cronyism," according to a memo being sent to Democratic officeholders and supporters on Friday
Published 09 May, 2020 12:06am
FBR: audit closure, capacity & legality
Articles

FBR: audit closure, capacity & legality

According to a Press report, the government of Pakistan Tehreek-i-Insaf (PTI) "has quietly closed over 310,000 tax audit cases that had been automatically selected from 2015 to 2017 due to the failure of taxpayers to timely file tax returns and pay due ta
Published 08 May, 2020 12:05am
Covid-19 and 'Green New Deal' - II
Articles

Covid-19 and 'Green New Deal' - II

The developing countries are not doing much different from the rest. There is no discussion to plan even reform and support packages that bail workers out on a large scale, and not the big businesses; a reform plan that revisits the economic model towards
Published 08 May, 2020 12:05am
From zero to hero: physical oil rally might be short-lived
Articles

From zero to hero: physical oil rally might be short-lived

From Kazakhstan to the North Sea and the United States, physical crude has jumped in value in recent days but the rally will likely be tactical and short-lived rather than signalling a proper recovery, according to traders and analysts.
Published 08 May, 2020 12:05am
The politics of employment
Articles

The politics of employment

Robust macroeconomic fundamentals lead to one ultimate goal: jobs. At least that is the theory. You go through the hoops of fiscal consolidation, current account balance, debt sustainability, and manageable inflation to get to sustained economic growth, t
Published 07 May, 2020 12:02am
Economy in a federal framework
Articles

Economy in a federal framework

When a federal state tries to manage its economy using a centrist financial system the result would certainly be no better than what Pakistan had experienced during its first 63 years leading to 2010 when the 7th National Finance Commission (NFC) Award wa
Published 06 May, 2020 12:04am
Covid-19 has killed the IMF backlash?
Articles

Covid-19 has killed the IMF backlash?

Just as Covid-19 may have killed the tech backlash (as reported in The Economist), it may have also killed the IMF backlash (on-going since August'19) in this country. The politicians, media, gurus, businessman and speculators are heaving a sigh of relief
Published 06 May, 2020 12:04am
IMF's optimism
Articles

IMF's optimism

Pakistan has been able to get access recently to the IMF's Rapid Financing Facility in light of the adverse impact of the Covid-19 on the 'lives and livelihoods' of the people in the country. This quick support from the IMF must be appreciated. The amount
Published 05 May, 2020 12:06am
Lives versus livelihoods
Articles

Lives versus livelihoods

The great dilemma for all governments in the thick of the COVID-19 pandemic is how to balance lives versus livelihoods. This dilemma is particularly acute for countries such as Pakistan, where the absence of universal healthcare and a social security syst
Published 05 May, 2020 12:06am
How commoners can cope with price hike
Articles

How commoners can cope with price hike

Even thinking or talking of any remedies how to grapple with the spiraling and uncontrollable price hike is a very tough ask, what to talk of actually implementing fanciful ideas and solutions for the rocketing prices indeed! While inflation is round-the-
Published 05 May, 2020 12:06am
Whither the budget deficit
Articles

Whither the budget deficit

There was intense speculation on the government's ability to meet the budget deficit target of 7.2 percent for the current fiscal year, the same as projected for 2018-19, agreed with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) even before the rampage wrought on
Published 04 May, 2020 12:07am
Humanity on profound trial
Articles

Humanity on profound trial

"Human Kind" and "Gentlemen" had become obsolete words in Pre-Corona era. Human beings were neither kind nor men / women were gentle to each other or to their habitat. The consequences of this cruelty and unkindness have never been more exposed as in the
Published 04 May, 2020 12:07am
Swiss soldiers fight Covid-19 armed with Bluetooth app
Articles

Swiss soldiers fight Covid-19 armed with Bluetooth app

Swiss army conscripts are taking the fight to the coronavirus pandemic by field-testing a Bluetooth-based smartphone app aimed at stopping a resurgence of COVID-19. The rapidly-created app traces people who have inadvertently crossed paths with someone in
Published 04 May, 2020 12:07am
Shrinking banking spreads
Articles

Shrinking banking spreads

It's a known fact that banks in Pakistan are not doing their supposed financial intermediation business of routing savings of large pool to lending businesses and consumers. In the developed world, big corporates and governments do not really rely on bank
Published 03 May, 2020 12:05am
Covid-19: A call for regional cooperation
Articles

Covid-19: A call for regional cooperation

As of April 30th, 2020 the total cases affected with Covid-19 in South Asian region were 58,854 - a mere 1.8% of the global toll of 3,220,970 - despite the fact that South Asia has a 25% share in world's population. Infection fatality ratio of South Asia
Published 03 May, 2020 12:05am
Report on IPPs
Articles

Report on IPPs

The report on the conduct of IPPs has indeed triggered extensive criticism on the profits made by Independent Power Producers (IPPs) in the last four decades and witnessed an extensive media bashing of IPPs on their conduct with an equally-hyped condemnat
Published 02 May, 2020 12:08am
Nine lives
Articles

Nine lives

Ramazan Mubarak, Dear Readers. As the nation continues to battle it out with the coronavirus, the experts warn that the Virus War will be entering a critical phase by the time this article is published. May Allah SWT protect our nation and give strength a
Published 02 May, 2020 12:08am
Crew of 'clean' US warship in coronavirus limbo
Articles

Crew of 'clean' US warship in coronavirus limbo

On any given day, the U.S. aircraft carrier Harry S. Truman can be found off the Atlantic coast of the United States, probably somewhere between Virginia and Florida. Its crew would love to come home to their families. But they can't. They're just too val
Published 02 May, 2020 12:08am
Covid-19: economic & tax reliefs
Articles

Covid-19: economic & tax reliefs

Pakistan is facing the brunt of Coronavirus outbreak as the country is in a partial lock down. This has had a negative impact on businesses. Initial estimates show that the economy will witness sluggish growth in services, manufacturing and agriculture se
Published 01 May, 2020 12:54am
Covid-19 and 'Green New Deal' - I
Articles

Covid-19 and 'Green New Deal' - I

The multiple failings of neoliberal agenda since its beginnings in the late 1970s - manifested in economic policies, including those of structural adjustment programmes by multilateral institutions like International Monetary Fund (IMF) and backed by mani
Published 01 May, 2020 12:54am
Sugar scandal: Who is the real culprit?
Articles

Sugar scandal: Who is the real culprit?

Yet another scandal, and yet another burst of public outcry. Financial scams now seem to be part and parcel of our governance. However, the most surprising aspect about the recent revelations contained in the FIA report is that it's a surprise at all! The
Published 30 Apr, 2020 12:07am
Budget-making in a pandemic
Articles

Budget-making in a pandemic

Pakistan's economy which was already in the intensive care unit (ICU), has since February this year gone into a tailspin deepening further the on-going recession induced earlier by an IMF- driven austerity program launched in April last year.
Published 28 Apr, 2020 11:42pm
A spring in the town
Articles

A spring in the town

The doctrine of separation of powers, having its origin in the classic work of Montesquieu's Spirit of Laws, and articulated into a constitutional principle, to safeguard liberties from the Government, in the US constitution, has no textual basis in our c
Published 28 Apr, 2020 11:42pm
Social and economic trends
Articles

Social and economic trends

The Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) has recently released the key findings from two major surveys - the Pakistan Social and Living Standards Measurement Survey (PSLSMS) and the Household Integrated Economic Survey (HIES) - of 2018-19. These efforts at
Published 28 Apr, 2020 12:54am
The coronavirus pandemic, clerics, and terrorism
Articles

The coronavirus pandemic, clerics, and terrorism

The whole ongoing kerfuffle about how to combat the coronavirus pandemic is not unique to Pakistan. Even the developed world is groping its way through the fog of incomprehension, misconception and feeble, halting measures. In Pakistan, the Pakistan Tehre
Published 28 Apr, 2020 12:54am
Critical appraisal of SBP report
Articles

Critical appraisal of SBP report

The State Bank of Pakistan's (SBP) report for the first half of the current financial year reiterated its unconditional support for the International Monetary Fund (IMF) programme conditions - a pledge restated in the one-page Monetary Policy Committee st
Published 27 Apr, 2020 02:51am
Mind your distance
Articles

Mind your distance

Man is a social animal. Social isolation causes depression. Human interaction can never be replaced with machine interaction. Facebook can never substitute face to face. Virtual is not real. Human touch cannot to be compared with touch screen. And so on a
Published 27 Apr, 2020 02:51am
Is the cement 'cartel' back?
Articles

Is the cement 'cartel' back?

It is widely argued that historically cement cartel existed in Pakistan. It appears that the 'cartel' is back. Last week, reportedly, there was a meeting of cement companies to jack up prices in North. Some say that how can a cartel persist with around tw
Published 25 Apr, 2020 09:49pm
Implementation of consumer laws big challenge
Articles

Implementation of consumer laws big challenge

There is a famous Latin term 'Caveat venditor' which means 'let the seller beware'. This phrase is in stark contrast with the widely known and used contractual phrase 'Caveat emptor' that solely puts the burden of quality and suitability of the goods befo
Published 25 Apr, 2020 09:49pm
Does sunlight rapidly destroy the coronavirus?
Articles

Does sunlight rapidly destroy the coronavirus?

Does sunlight rapidly destroy the coronavirus? A White House presentation on a mysterious government study says so - but some scientists have called for caution as we await more evidence.
Published 25 Apr, 2020 09:49pm
Power sector: What went wrong?
Articles

Power sector: What went wrong?

It was way back in 1958 that Wapda was established in Lahore to electrify the rural and urban areas, stretching from one end of the country to the other, except Karachi which was electrified by Karachi Electric Supply Company (KESC) - the first IPP in the
Published 25 Apr, 2020 06:43am
Free cheese in a mouse trap
Articles

Free cheese in a mouse trap

Sitting down to write this week's column, I am rather confused; are we or are we not in a lockdown. Whilst the Islamabad city administration has been performing admirably in an extremely challenging time, the current extension order is a complicated, if n
Published 25 Apr, 2020 06:43am
Unprecedented global oil market turmoil and Pakistan
Articles

Unprecedented global oil market turmoil and Pakistan

Global lockdowns have resulted in a drastic reduction in oil demand. A long and painful deliberative process to cut the global supply of oil by OPEC+ group of major oil exporting countries, each vying for greater oil revenues and lesser proportion of cutt
Published 24 Apr, 2020 02:52am
A simple tax bailout
Articles

A simple tax bailout

As mentioned in the last column [Tax bailout for economic revival, Business Recorder, April 17, 2020], all businesses-badly hit by lockdown in the wake of Covid-19 epidemic and due to sluggish economic activities, high utility bills and markup rate-are de
Published 24 Apr, 2020 02:52am
Your weekly columnist: an endangered species?
Articles

Your weekly columnist: an endangered species?

Once upon a time there was news; compact and closely orchestrated by the Ministry of Information and Broadcasting. Fake news was unheard of; just plain vanilla dispensed by the government. The newspapers read like compendia of badly drafted government han
Published 23 Apr, 2020 02:53am
Lives versus livelihoods?
Articles

Lives versus livelihoods?

Nobody would have ever thought to face a terrible trade-off, like we, to either baldly damage our livelihoods through prolonged lockdowns, or to sacrifice the lives of thousands, if not millions, to this pandemic COVID-19.This article is an attempt to eva
Published 23 Apr, 2020 02:53am
Bringing state back into public service
Articles

Bringing state back into public service

All these years it has been the working classes of the world who have been carrying on their fragile shoulders the ever mounting load of opulence of the rich. But the slowdown of the wheels of the national economies following lockdowns of varying degrees
Published 22 Apr, 2020 02:52am
IPP enquiry report
Articles

IPP enquiry report

The IPP enquiry report has surfaced after equally contentious Wheat and Sugar report. It is a good omen that questions are being asked and the system is not afraid of the powerful. Irrespective of the outcome, the transparency and fearlessness of the GoP
Published 22 Apr, 2020 02:52am
Provincial impact of coronavirus
Articles

Provincial impact of coronavirus

All parts of Pakistan have been hit by the Corona Virus. The pandemic continues to spread rapidly and the, more or less, partial lockdown persists throughout the country. Already, the negative economic consequences are becoming visible. The federal and th
Published 21 Apr, 2020 03:03am
Healthcare, social security systems needed
Articles

Healthcare, social security systems needed

With all its tragedies, unprecedented complexities and uncertainties, the coronavirus pandemic should focus minds on the inadequacies in our healthcare and social security systems that need rectification at the earliest. Consider.
Published 21 Apr, 2020 03:03am
Certainties in uncertain times
Articles

Certainties in uncertain times

Firefighting. Trapped. Blind Alley. Emotionally exhausted. Mentally fatigued. Search overload. Day-to-day. These are some of the feelings expressed by people who are going through life in the time of Covid-19. With a world shut down as never before this s
Published 20 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Challenge of conflict of interest in sugar industry and PM
Articles

Challenge of conflict of interest in sugar industry and PM

With the inquiry report on sugar price hike has landed the next challenge for PM Imran Khan; taking action against those benefitting from the sugar exports and price hike saga. Imran Khan while taking credit of making the investigation report public as it
Published 20 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Policy rate cut
Articles

Policy rate cut

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) met for the third time in less than one month on 16 April 2020 and reduced the rate to 9 percent - from 13.25 percent effective 20 July to 16 March, 12 .5 percent from 17 March to 23 March and 11 percent effective 24 Ma
Published 20 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Ali Suleman Habib remembered
Articles

Ali Suleman Habib remembered

I remember the succinct and focused advice Ali sule gave me in one of my very first presentations to Habib family about the possible vision and direction of Habib University. After I finished laying the case for creating a new university in Karachi, Ali h
Published 19 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Time to negotiate IPP contracts
Articles

Time to negotiate IPP contracts

The report on Power Sector by M. Ali and team touched the IPPs where it hurts the most. The reaction of Independent Power Producer Association (IPPA) and a letter by the sitting Petroleum Advisor to PM (who is a shareholder in an IPP and ex-chairman IPPA)
Published 19 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Covid-19 crisis - Philanthropy's response in Pakistan
Articles

Covid-19 crisis - Philanthropy's response in Pakistan

The Covid-19 has confronted the world with a new and emerging challenge whose complete scale and magnitude are yet to be properly understood and established. The Federal and provincial governments have taken a number of measures to further counter the spr
Published 19 Apr, 2020 12:00am
IPPs in the dock?
Articles

IPPs in the dock?

PM Imran Khan vowed in the midst of recent sugar, wheat and other commodities shortage and hoarding crisis that he would not spare the cartels and hoarders and take them to task.
Published 18 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Revenge of the fallen
Articles

Revenge of the fallen

As the country gets ravaged by the Virus Wars, with the situation getting worse day by day, let us start once again with a prayer that Allah SWT alleviates the hardship of our beloved nation soon.
Published 18 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Fast-fashion nightmare for Bangladeshi clothes makers
Articles

Fast-fashion nightmare for Bangladeshi clothes makers

One day Parvin was toiling to meet the fast-fashion demands of European capitals, the next she was among hundreds of thousands of Bangladeshi clothes workers made instantly jobless as the coronavirus pandemic struck.
Published 18 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Tax bailout for economic revival
Articles

Tax bailout for economic revival

According to various Press reports, all businesses in Pakistan, as elsewhere, badly hit by lockdown in the wake of Covid-19 epidemic, are demanding a comprehensive tax bailout claiming that loan facility announced by State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) to pay sa
Published 17 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Global economic prospects under Covid-19 crisis
Articles

Global economic prospects under Covid-19 crisis

Covid-19 has badly exposed the lack of interdisciplinary approach of mainstream economics - the theoretical basis for widely practiced economic policy, both at the level of most countries and multilateral institutions - whereby, as a result, the economic
Published 17 Apr, 2020 12:00am
In Britain, virus hits ethnic minorities hardest
Articles

In Britain, virus hits ethnic minorities hardest

When Amer Awan's father died of coronavirus, mourners congregated with little thought of social distancing. But cultural practices alone do not explain why Britain's ethnic minorities have been hardest hit by the outbreak.
Published 17 Apr, 2020 12:00am
The growing costs of indecisiveness
Articles

The growing costs of indecisiveness

Would it be stating the obvious to say the fear of economic losses is hand-wrestling with the fear of losing lives? The see-saw of living and making a living is leaving us paralysed? As Ezra Klien quipped, it is hard to decide which is scarier: conversati
Published 16 Apr, 2020 12:00am
World's reset button has been firmly pressed
Articles

World's reset button has been firmly pressed

The World, as we knew it, has changed. The global pandemic of the new coronavirus (COVID-19) is a major paradigm shift in all spheres of human activity - from economic to political to societal. Regardless of whether this passes relatively quickly or linge
Published 16 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Angry Trump denies plan to axe Dr Fauci
Articles

Angry Trump denies plan to axe Dr Fauci

A furious, aggrieved President Donald Trump dismissed rumors Monday that he was going to fire his top medical advisor on the coronavirus pandemic but launched new fights with the Democrats and the media ahead of the high-stakes reopening of the shuttered
Published 16 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Costliest war, ever
Articles

Costliest war, ever

The Covid-19 has proved to be a great leveler. The pandemic does not discriminate between the rich and the poor, mighty and the weak, left and right, between religious and ethnic divides, between the erudite and the ignorant and; it is totally blind to th
Published 15 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Flawed power sector strategy
Articles

Flawed power sector strategy

The government is focusing on wrong policy initiatives due to which the circular debt is ever increasing. In fact the recoveries of past years have been shown as increased collection when the regulator adjusted and allowed prior year adjustments in the di
Published 15 Apr, 2020 12:00am
The real pandemic - fake news
Articles

The real pandemic - fake news

As the COVID-19 pandemic rages, lets inject a dose of reality into it. So far, only 1 lakh deaths. Last year, there were 1.5 million deaths in the USA through automobile accidents alone. Worldwide, 3 million traffic-related deaths. Opioids (in various for
Published 15 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Revisiting economic impact of coronavirus
Articles

Revisiting economic impact of coronavirus

In an earlier article on the subject carried by the Business Recorder on 30th March we dwelt on the economic impact of the Coronavirus on Pakistan's economy consequential to the disruption of normal economic activities.
Published 14 Apr, 2020 12:00am
There's a silver lining even in Covid-19 disaster
Articles

There's a silver lining even in Covid-19 disaster

Pakistan has the silver lining of being down the line of domino of countries affected by the health and economic fallout the virus has had on the world so far. This gives corporate Pakistan with the advantage of learning from businesses and economy lockd
Published 14 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Sugar under greater focus
Articles

Sugar under greater focus

While the poor and the vulnerable continue to grapple with the serious implications of the Coronavirus that has compromised their ability to feed their families prompting the government to disburse cash to meet their daily needs the media and peoples' rep
Published 13 Apr, 2020 12:00am
A silver lining in the Covid-19 clouds
Articles

A silver lining in the Covid-19 clouds

Clouds obscure the sun. The horizon becomes grey and dark. It seems all ominous. However, rays of sunlight do break through eventually to make the world seem brighter. While Covid-19 has darkened the lights and sounds of the hustling bustling world, it ha
Published 13 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Oil prices, virus, instability put Algeria on edge
Articles

Oil prices, virus, instability put Algeria on edge

Algeria faces economic and social turmoil if crude prices continue to collapse, experts have warned, with the oil-dependent country reeling from a year of popular protests, political turmoil and now, coronavirus.
Published 13 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Lockdown dilemma
Articles

Lockdown dilemma

We live in a guess world. It's a health crisis and there is no scientific study to tell when the COVID spread is going to be over. In countries like Pakistan, the situation is even worse where testing is limited and unknown is bigger. Therefore, it is har
Published 12 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Drowned out by pandemic, a muted victory for Joe Biden
Articles

Drowned out by pandemic, a muted victory for Joe Biden

Barack Obama celebrated the kickoff of his "historic" White House challenge before thousands of ecstatic supporters. Hillary Clinton also marked her "milestone," as the first woman nominee of a major US party, to thunderous applause.
Published 12 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Virus appears to strike men, overweight people harder
Articles

Virus appears to strike men, overweight people harder

In the emergency rooms of virus hotspots around the world, medical staff are seeing a greater number of men than women suffering severe symptoms of COVID-19, with obesity emerging as another potentially aggravating factor. But experts are still unsure why
Published 11 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Partly Facetious:  A scientific approach?
Articles

Partly Facetious: A scientific approach?

"The Khan administration, I will have ye all of little faith know, is assessing the on-the-ground situation every day before tweaking if required its strategy on a daily basis on how to deal with the Coronavirus..."
Published 11 Apr, 2020 12:00am
The right incentives
Articles

The right incentives

Nowadays, sitting down to write a column, the beginning inevitably is a prayer that by the time it gets published we have won the Virus Wars; a developing country like Pakistan cannot withstand any kind of war for long. And we are probably reaching our li
Published 11 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Economic crisis in developing countries: some solutions
Articles

Economic crisis in developing countries: some solutions

While the developed countries are feeling the heat in terms of meeting public-health needs with regard to COVID-19, the developing countries were a lot less prepared for the pandemic. With narrow social safety net programmes, both in terms of coverage and
Published 10 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Self-isolated reflections: export prospects
Articles

Self-isolated reflections: export prospects

Several years ago a zealous head of Export Promotion Bureau (EPB) decided to emblazon all EPB ads with the logo "Export or perish". His boss, the Commerce Secretary, thought that was going over the top and the logo was withdrawn.
Published 09 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Corona, faith and science
Articles

Corona, faith and science

The spread of a virus named Covid-19 in this age of mass and fast communication has apparently brought faith(s) and science face to face. People of science do not believe in miracles or spiritual healing. In their world, the law of cause and effect govern
Published 09 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Stayhome Gulf influencers take the glamour factor indoors
Articles

Stayhome Gulf influencers take the glamour factor indoors

From extravagant trips to the Amalfi Coast and sunset photoshoots on Dubai's beaches to an almost complete lockdown - the coronavirus has forced the Gulf's social media "influencers" indoors but hasn't lowered their glamour factor.
Published 09 Apr, 2020 12:00am
A self-sufficient economic model
Articles

A self-sufficient economic model

It is time to strike a strategic balance between public and economic health for the maximum economic good of masses at large, especially the have-nots. As such, while extreme physical austerity needs to be observed in social interactions, we do need a non
Published 08 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Gender, security and development - II
Articles

Gender, security and development - II

Many African and Latin American states have faced these crises. Presently, the Indian policies of repression in Jammu and Kashmir are a vivid example of women torture, rape and widowhood. The whole family structure is suffering behind Indian policies of r
Published 08 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Targeting the poor and vulnerable
Articles

Targeting the poor and vulnerable

The Coronavirus is going to have an adverse impact on the living standard of millions of families in Pakistan. Households which are already poor will suffer further deprivation. As the GDP growth rate plummets and actually falls in absolute magnitude, the
Published 07 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Beaten all ends up: Humanity dumbfounded against coronavirus
Articles

Beaten all ends up: Humanity dumbfounded against coronavirus

It seems that the entire world has come to a standstill with uncertainty and fear ruling the roost. Even a light sneeze is enough to cause panic among people, who have never seen such times before ever, and it does seem as if we have come to the end of ti
Published 07 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Spending without due process not advised
Articles

Spending without due process not advised

Primary deficit of 0.6 percent with singular lack of focus on the fiscal deficit (7.2 percent was set as the target for 2019-20 - identical to what the authorities erroneously claimed was the projected deficit for 2018-19) was an International Monetary Fu
Published 06 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Stock values vs human values
Articles

Stock values vs human values

Dow Jones is down. Nasdaq is nose-diving. PSX is declining. Stock values are crashing. The world is talking about recession, deficits and bankruptcies. Since it is an invisible virus, and thus a natural calamity, most people feel nobody could have foresee
Published 06 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Construction package: cautious optimism
Articles

Construction package: cautious optimism

Building housing was one of the main pillars of PTI's 100-day agenda. This push was earlier seen in previous two governments (PMLN's and PPP's) but which died down in the respective regimes' very first year. The efforts were fizzling out during the curren
Published 05 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Formidable challenge
Articles

Formidable challenge

Coronavirus has severely impacted the human lives and the economies the world over in a profound manner. The trauma of loss of human lives will be followed by loss of jobs, food shortages and depleted health facilities - just to name a few of them.
Published 04 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Time to rise
Articles

Time to rise

That the country is on economic roller coaster is perhaps an understatement.
Published 04 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Covid-19 pandemic, leadership & apathy
Articles

Covid-19 pandemic, leadership & apathy

In a country of about 210 million people, about 10,000 individuals, prominent in business or profession or holding key positions in state institutions, think they know each and everything and can fix the multiple and complex problems faced by Pakistan, ei
Published 03 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Coronavirus and economic policy
Articles

Coronavirus and economic policy

First of all it makes sense to realize that the COVID-19 just did not hit the world from out of the blue. In fact, according to a research article 'Coronavirus: a paradigm of new emerging zoonotic diseases' which was recently published in February 2020, i
Updated 03 Apr, 2020 09:22am
The good go early
Articles

The good go early

The world was fixated with Coronavirus, computing human and economic losses. For Mansoor Hassan Siddiqui summons from the Almighty came in a different form: a weird gas explosion at home. He was rushed to PIMS and the Doctors there did all they could but
Updated 27 Nov, 2022 07:11pm
When challenges offer opportunities - II
Articles

When challenges offer opportunities - II

The PTI government, compelled to borrow more at high interest rate, does not know that billions are lying unpaid with industrial undertakings/employers. Thus the issue is not that of funds but getting due taxes/levies from the wealthy and tax evaders and
Published 02 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Public health vs economic health
Articles

Public health vs economic health

Focusing exclusively on public health rather than trying to strike a balance between human and economic health, China seems to have succeeded by March 15, in preventing, to a large extent, Covid-19 spreading exponentially in the mainland since it first st
Published 01 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Discount rate at 11 percent - is that enough? - II
Articles

Discount rate at 11 percent - is that enough? - II

The reported claim by the SBP Governor and Dr Hafeez Sheikh that the main selling point for a high discount rate is its linkage to the rate payable by the National Savings Centres (NSCs) to domestic savers (widows and pensioners) is also challengeable. Tr
Published 01 Apr, 2020 12:00am
Coronavirus: Economic impact and relief package
Articles

Coronavirus: Economic impact and relief package

The Coronavirus has already spread to 199 countries. The worst hit countries have been the EU countries, the US, China and Iran. The consequences are that normal economic activity, both in the domestic economy of these countries and their external economi
Published 31 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Origins and challenges of coronavirus pandemic
Articles

Origins and challenges of coronavirus pandemic

The current COVID-19 illness gripping the world is caused by the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2, the second severe acute respiratory syndrome virus to emerge since 2002. As a result of its rapid spread, whole cities, regions, even countries are in lockdown, with
Published 31 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Discount rate at 11pc - is that enough? - I
Articles

Discount rate at 11pc - is that enough? - I

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting chaired by Governor State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) Dr Reza Baqir held on 17 March 2020 decided to reduce the discount rate by 75 basis points drawing the ire of industrialists and economists alike who cited the ne
Published 30 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Coronavirus war - the mental battle
Articles

Coronavirus war - the mental battle

The mind hates uncertainty. The mind dislikes lack of clarity. Uncertainty and un- clarity create fear of the unknown. Fear creates anxiety and anxiety corrodes positivity, creativity and growth. The biological battle of fighting the virus is in full swin
Published 30 Mar, 2020 12:00am
'Corona' realities
Articles

'Corona' realities

The world seems to be changing permanently. COVID-19 is bigger than 9/11 or 2008 global financial crisis. World living population hasn't seen such a catastrophe. It is a health crisis and has long-lasting physiological and economic implications. Global fi
Published 29 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Hot money and high interest rates: trade-offs?
Articles

Hot money and high interest rates: trade-offs?

Since the beginning of March'20, Pakistan's economy witnessed three economic disturbances and one expected policy revision: a) net outflow of US$ 1.3 billion from treasury bills (dubbed as 'hot money') out of the total inflow of US$ 3.43 billion inflow of
Published 29 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Opportunities for Pakistan
Articles

Opportunities for Pakistan

International Monetary Fund (IMF) President Kristalina Georgieva warned this week that she expects a global recession this year due to the Coronavirus (Covid-19) outbreak. In a statement released by her office in Washington, the IMF chief said that since
Published 28 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Calamity
Articles

Calamity

Praying that by the time this article gets published, miraculously, the world has found a cure for the corona virus, and/or Pakistan has been able to control the epidemic.
Published 28 Mar, 2020 12:00am
COVID-19 and bankers
Articles

COVID-19 and bankers

The world still hasn't quite come to terms with the outbreak of COVID-19. World governments have made extensive preparations, implementing total lockdowns and encouraging people to practice social distancing to curb the spread of the virus. As major organ
Published 28 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Coronavirus and debt relief
Articles

Coronavirus and debt relief

The Managing Director (MD) of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Kristalina Georgieva, recently made a statement in the meeting G20 finance ministers and central bank governors, in which she highlighted the severe impact of the virus in terms of human
Published 27 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Exports in the time of coronavirus
Articles

Exports in the time of coronavirus

While we can't quite decide if we are too worried about coronavirus or not worried enough, the Government knows which way Exports are heading. Adviser Commerce, who last month was celebrating that month's growth numbers, is now projecting negative growth.
Published 26 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Need for all-out reforms - II
Articles

Need for all-out reforms - II

The main aim of judicial reforms should be elimination of unnecessary litigation and facilitating smooth running of affairs between the State and its citizens. Once both learn to act within the four corners of law, there would be drastic reduction in liti
Published 26 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Coronavirus redraws battle lines on airline emissions
Articles

Coronavirus redraws battle lines on airline emissions

European airlines crippled by the coronavirus have demanded lasting relief from environmental taxes - in a move that pits their immediate survival against longer-term emissions goals. The looming tax tussle underscores shifting environmental battle lines
Published 25 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Partly Facetious : The Covid-19 challenge
Articles

Partly Facetious : The Covid-19 challenge

"The Prime Minister should have informed the nation that the military had been called in aid of civil institutions to ensure that his directions were being followed by the public. I mean in a democracy..."
Published 25 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Caring for the poor and vulnerable
Articles

Caring for the poor and vulnerable

The Pakistan Institute of Development Economics (PIDE), an official socio-economic think tank has voted for lockdown arguing that vacillation would not be able to contain the spread of the disease and its consequences on the economy would be unbearable in
Published 25 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Gender, security and development - I
Articles

Gender, security and development - I

February 8, 2020 was celebrated as International Women's Day. Women marches were held throughout the world and in Pakistan's major cities in highlighting the growing awareness of women's role in national life. Any nation comprising half of the global popu
Published 25 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Analysis of monetary policy statement
Articles

Analysis of monetary policy statement

The much-awaited Monetary Policy Statement (MPS) of the SBP was released a few days ago. It contains a review of the state of the economy and an assessment of the short-run prospects, based on which the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has decided on the p
Published 24 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Pakistan Day musings
Articles

Pakistan Day musings

Pakistan Day, March 23, 2020, passed this year in novel fashion. The coronavirus pandemic caused the cancellation of the traditional military parade on the day as well as the proliferation of symposia to reflect on the importance of the anniversary of the
Published 24 Mar, 2020 12:00am
How serious is the coronavirus crisis in Iran?
Articles

How serious is the coronavirus crisis in Iran?

Even according to official figures, the coronavirus epidemic has killed over 1,800 people in Iran, prompting unprecedented measures that have included closing holy Shiite shrines. But could the authorities in the Islamic republic be underplaying the sever
Published 24 Mar, 2020 12:00am
World economy
Articles

World economy

With COVID-19 unleashing devastation across the globe, around 170 countries and territories have registered over 140,000 confirmed cases as of 19 March, 2020. Many countries announced strict restrictions on immigration and air, sea and land travel among m
Published 23 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Restoring planetary balance
Articles

Restoring planetary balance

"We are living on the planet as if we have another one to go to." Terry Swearingen. A statement that is apt to our attitude about planet earth. The only problem is that we can no longer fly to another place that is safe and sound. The Coronavirus crisis i
Published 23 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Lock it down, now!
Articles

Lock it down, now!

There is no other option but to partially lock down big cities. Period. It must be done in a phased and sustainable manner for several weeks. Unless the government acts immediately, law of probability indicates that the virus is going to hit most of us. V
Published 22 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Turning the tide for water conservation
Articles

Turning the tide for water conservation

The every drop counts hashtag has garnered immense public following. In many ways, the UN's declaration of 2018-2028 as the International Decade for Conservation of Water is shaping public discourse on the globally critical need for taking effective measu
Published 22 Mar, 2020 12:00am
PSM problem: a workable solution
Articles

PSM problem: a workable solution

Pakistan Steel Mills (PSM) Board of Directors' incumbent Chairman is reported to have stated last week that PSM is in the process of revival and recovery. According to him, it needs to reinvent itself as a new organization.
Published 21 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Need for all-out reforms - I
Articles

Need for all-out reforms - I

Every now and then, we keep on hearing from higher judicial echelons that the federal and provincial governments must run the affairs in accordance with the Constitution of Islamic Republic of Pakistan [the Constitution] and applicable laws/rules/regulati
Published 20 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Public service reforms - IV
Articles

Public service reforms - IV

In the spirit of e-governance, and interconnectedness through the use of IT, public service officers should have a 'standardized online account.' The account should be maintained by Nadra (National Database and Registration Authority), and levels of acces
Published 20 Mar, 2020 12:00am
No debt fictional world
Articles

No debt fictional world

Imagination precedes invention - sure there have been accidental discoveries, but even in such cases, ultimately, someone was pursuing their imagination, albeit for some other objective.
Published 19 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Employment through digitalization of economy
Articles

Employment through digitalization of economy

It is needless to emphasize the significance of employment generation in the existing economic scenario of upward prices, shrinking demand, and public's inability to provide with sustenance to family. Although promises of employment to youth have not been
Published 19 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Oil crash piles pressure on virus-hit Saudi economy
Articles

Oil crash piles pressure on virus-hit Saudi economy

From empty hotels to shuttered beauty salons, oil-dependent Saudi Arabia is bracing for a coronavirus-led economic slump on top of possible austerity measures as crude prices go into free fall. Huge losses are expected after the Arab world's biggest econo
Published 19 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Cost of illicit cigarette trade
Articles

Cost of illicit cigarette trade

According to a UN 'doom's day scenario' the global economy faces a 'US$ 2 trillion' hit in view of the devastation being caused by the novel coronavirus pandemic. But even this figure is only tentative. Seemingly almost the entire world is gradually movin
Published 18 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Need for new income tax law - II
Articles

Need for new income tax law - II

Administrative reforms The administration of a tax system is highly complex. No doubt, a proper bureaucratic input is vital for making the system successful, but it is equally necessary to take all the stakeholders on board and laws are made and
Published 18 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Budgetary outcome in 2019-20
Articles

Budgetary outcome in 2019-20

The Mid-term Budget Review of 2019-20 was presented recently to the National Assembly. The outcome in the first six months reveals success in limiting the primary deficit and achieving the target agreed with the IMF. In fact, a primary surplus has been ac
Published 17 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Losses, only losses
Articles

Losses, only losses

Three bits of news last week became the focus of a lot of attention in the media, social media and public exchange. First came the news of the arrest by the National Accountability Bureau (NAB) of Mir Shakilur Rehman, owner and Editor-in-chief of the Jang
Published 17 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Few US shale firms can withstand prolonged oil price war
Articles

Few US shale firms can withstand prolonged oil price war

For the last five years, US shale oil producers have been battling suppliers for lower costs and running equipment and crews hard to drive drilling costs down by about $20 a barrel. The oil market rout last week, however, has left most shale firms facing
Published 17 Mar, 2020 12:00am
State of the economy
Articles

State of the economy

The debate on a charter of economy has resurfaced as the burden on the common man in terms of erosion of the rupee domestically (inflation rate remains at over 12 percent) and internationally (the rupee reached a high of 159 rupees to the dollar this week
Published 16 Mar, 2020 12:00am
World on a pause
Articles

World on a pause

Rushed. Speed of light. Sprinting. Marathon. Racing ahead. These are some of the oft-repeated descriptors of today's business and life. Life was spinning past. Business is moving fervently. Products were churning out faster than they were being consumed a
Published 16 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Unlike 2008, world's economic doctors feud over cure
Articles

Unlike 2008, world's economic doctors feud over cure

"I think the patient is stabilised," then US president Barack Obama declared after G20 powers prescribed unprecedented remedies to steady the crisis-wracked world economy just over a decade ago. Today, as the world fights to immunise global growth from th
Published 16 Mar, 2020 12:00am
PSL - a homegrown global brand
Articles

PSL - a homegrown global brand

PSL is a success story which every Pakistani should be proud of. Fifth season (PSL 2020) has been fully hosted in Pakistan with packed stadiums, although not any more due to COVID-19; but the journey was not as smooth as it appears today. It took years of
Updated 15 Mar, 2020 06:41am
South Sudan's road to peace marred by 'unconscionable' violence
Articles

South Sudan's road to peace marred by 'unconscionable' violence

The cattle rustlers were asleep, resting ahead of a raid, when automatic gunfire tore through their camp. Ambushed by rival herdsmen, encircled and outgunned, they were cut down, one by one. Koba Ngacho was lucky. Shot three times and left for dead, the y
Published 15 Mar, 2020 12:00am
'Super-spreaders': COVID19 myth or reality?
Articles

'Super-spreaders': COVID19 myth or reality?

Can a single COVID-19 patient infect dozens of others? Although transmission rates in the current outbreak appear to be far lower, a variety of factors can lead to an individual infecting many. The concept of so-called "super-spreaders" - patients who typ
Published 15 Mar, 2020 12:00am
OICCI's survey
Articles

OICCI's survey

The Overseas Investors Chambers of Commerce & Industry (OICCI) has rolled out key findings of its recently released 'Perception and Investment Survey - 2019'. The following are key punch lines of its survey:
Published 14 Mar, 2020 12:00am
The lucky economy
Articles

The lucky economy

About a decade or more ago, during a square table discussion, a comment was made that the economic success of the dictatorial government could only be attributed to luck; the almost immediate retort was short and simple - that being the case is it not stu
Published 14 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Shareholders pick holes in Europe's bank safety blanket
Articles

Shareholders pick holes in Europe's bank safety blanket

The euro zone followed Britain on Thursday with measures to support banks hit by the coronavirus pandemic but it offered little consolation to their long-suffering shareholders, faced with continued rock-bottom interest rates and a dire economic outlook.
Published 14 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Need for new income tax law - I
Articles

Need for new income tax law - I

When the government of General Pervez Musharraf decided to promulgate a new income tax law in 2000, we, amongst many others, opposed it strongly. Our main objection was that his regime had no mandate to enact any such law. The rule, "No taxation without r
Published 13 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Public service reforms - III
Articles

Public service reforms - III

In order to allow for the transition to a unified single public service, those who are currently working as civil servants will be automatically admitted into the fast stream. The proposed federal recruitment commission holds consultation with each civil
Published 13 Mar, 2020 12:00am
The challenge of COVID-19
Articles

The challenge of COVID-19

Vacant hotels, cancelled flights, and closed tourist sites due to spread of coronavirus (Covid-19) have adversely affected global tourism, with the estimation of US $80 billion in lost revenue for the tourism industry. On the other hand, the global automo
Published 13 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Discretion and its discontents
Articles

Discretion and its discontents

Administrative discretion is unavoidable. Problems, circumstances, administrators are all too complex to be straitjacketed into laws and regulations. "Where law ends (administrative) discretion begins" is how the father of administrative law Kenneth Davis
Published 12 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Changing dynamics of oil and gas industry
Articles

Changing dynamics of oil and gas industry

There is great opportunity for foreign exploration and production (E&P) companies as well as for domestic private sector business houses to participate in Oil & Gas ventures in Pakistan. Pakistan's oil and gas landscape is poised for tremendous growth.
Published 12 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Oil price crash: will it affect the move to green energy?
Articles

Oil price crash: will it affect the move to green energy?

The collapse in global oil prices may end up being bad news in the short term for the transition to green energy, as cheaper crude could see more use of cars and aircraft. But on the flip side, it could see companies move away from exploiting expensive fo
Published 12 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Don't sell family silver to foreigners
Articles

Don't sell family silver to foreigners

During the current year, two RLNG power plants, SME Bank, Services International Hotel, Jinnah Convention Centre, Islamabad and 27 other state-owned properties are being planned to be privatized.
Published 11 Mar, 2020 12:00am
US sanctions have idled a quarter of Iranian oil rigs
Articles

US sanctions have idled a quarter of Iranian oil rigs

At least a quarter of Iran's oil rigs are out of action as US sanctions strangle the Islamic Republic's vital oil industry, according to a Reuters review of financial documents and industry sources, dealing a potentially long-term blow to its oil industry
Published 11 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Dip in the rate of inflation
Articles

Dip in the rate of inflation

There has been a noticeable drop in the rate of inflation on a year-to-year basis. The national Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 14.6 percent in January 2020. It has fallen by 2.2 percentage points to 12.4 percent in February 2020. However, it is p
Published 10 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Women on the march
Articles

Women on the march

Despite the threats and attempted intimidation by the retrogressive forces in politics and society, the Aurat (Women's) march was held on March 8, 2020 in many cities throughout Pakistan. Rallies were held in Islamabad, Karachi, Lahore, Multan, Peshawar,
Published 10 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Coronavirus to drive European airline industry shakeout
Articles

Coronavirus to drive European airline industry shakeout

The coronavirus will accelerate a Darwinian shakeout in Europe's overcrowded airline industry that ultimately benefits Ryanair and British Airways owner IAG, industry experts predict. Nobody is exempt from the short-term pain that has already seen Flybe c
Published 10 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Inflation on a downward trajectory
Articles

Inflation on a downward trajectory

Nothing can erode a political government's popularity faster than a rise in inflation accompanied by an income raise lower than the rate of inflation. While the Khan-led administration did take politically extremely exigent decisions, many of which were c
Published 09 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Delhi 'HIV' virus
Articles

Delhi 'HIV' virus

While the world is obsessed with coronavirus another deadlier virus is spreading fast in the region. This virus is a lethal virus and has the capacity of being more devastating than covid-19, i.e., the Delhi 'HIV' or Hate induced Violence virus. While Tru
Published 09 Mar, 2020 12:00am
China exports plunge on coronavirus epidemic
Articles

China exports plunge on coronavirus epidemic

China's exports plummeted in the first two months of this year on the back of a coronavirus epidemic that forced businesses to suspend operations, disrupting the world's supply chains. Exports fell 17.2 percent from a year ago, the biggest drop since Febr
Published 08 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Global trade: Don't miss the bus again
Articles

Global trade: Don't miss the bus again

Back in days, the saying was "when the US sneezes, the world catches a cold"; today, coronavirus from China is pushing world economy in a recessionary phase. The economic woes travelled faster across global stock and commodity markets than the Covid-19 it
Published 08 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Antibiotics: precious life savers
Articles

Antibiotics: precious life savers

Beginning with the discovery of penicillin by Alexander Fleming in the late 1920s, antibiotics have revolutionized the field of medicine. Antibiotics not only have saved millions of lives each year these also alleviated pain and suffering and have even be
Published 08 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Minimal gains for Erdogan in Syria ceasefire deal
Articles

Minimal gains for Erdogan in Syria ceasefire deal

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan came home with the Syrian ceasefire he wanted from his meeting with Russia's Vladimir Putin, but the deal leaves key challenges unresolved, not the least the fate of a million displaced civilians still trapped in the warzone
Published 08 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Power emergency
Articles

Power emergency

It has been reported that National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (Nepra) has asked the Prime Minister to declare a national power emergency and take drastic steps for scaling down about Rs 1.93 trillion circular debt which, according to the regulato
Published 07 Mar, 2020 12:00am
The battle for interest
Articles

The battle for interest

If nothing else, we are a trail blazing nation. Perhaps for the first time in our history, at least if my memory serves me correctly, there is a likelihood that the legal profession, lawyers and judges, and not economists and nor the Central Bank, may end
Published 07 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Tax base and filers
Articles

Tax base and filers

According to a Press release of Federal Board of Revenue (FBR), it received "two million four hundred forty six thousand two hundred and ninety four (2,446,294) Tax Returns for Tax Year 2019 which increased by 45% compared to one million six hundred eight
Published 06 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Public service reforms - II
Articles

Public service reforms - II

Parliaments at the federal and provincial levels should make laws pertaining to the formulation of respective recruitment commissions (indicated in part-I of this series of articles by this writer) so that the needed shape and legitimacy could be obtained
Published 06 Mar, 2020 12:00am
The good, the bad, and the mysterious
Articles

The good, the bad, and the mysterious

The staff-level agreement with the IMF, the seemingly unstoppable coronavirus, and Khaqan Abbasi opening his heart out, have been hogging the media space. Together, it has been a spell-binding mystery novel that you rip through, developing your theories o
Published 05 Mar, 2020 12:00am
An open letter to PM Modi
Articles

An open letter to PM Modi

That I address you as a friend is no formality. I own no foes. My business in life has been for the past many years to enlist the friendship of the whole humanity by befriending mankind, irrespective of race, colour or creed.
Published 05 Mar, 2020 12:00am
'Shining India' - Sundowner
Articles

'Shining India' - Sundowner

Sundowner is a hangover of the British Raj, it's a drink taken at sunset - along with the Caramel Custard and the Mulligatawni Soup. In the heyday of the Raj, the Brits and their local friends would meet at the various clubs, watch the sun set and enjoy t
Published 04 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Economic dividends of peace deal
Articles

Economic dividends of peace deal

There are still a number of 'ifs' and 'buts' to the peace agreement signed by the US and Afghan Taliban on Saturday last (February 29, 2020). It would certainly take a lot of doing for the 40-year long bloodbath to turn into permanent peace giving rise ul
Published 04 Mar, 2020 12:00am
FBR revenue shortfall
Articles

FBR revenue shortfall

The shortfall in FBR revenues is likely to reach a record level this year. The magnitude of this shortfall will be the prime determinant of the extent to which the primary deficit in the budget diverges from the target level agreed with the IMF for 2019-2
Published 03 Mar, 2020 12:00am
An expedient deal
Articles

An expedient deal

The signing of the 'peace' deal between the US and the Taliban in Doha on February 29, 2020 has been touted by Pakistan as proof of its role as a peace maker and facilitator in ending the 19-year-old Afghan conflict. But even the quietly triumphant note i
Published 03 Mar, 2020 12:00am
The rationale for high discount rate
Articles

The rationale for high discount rate

The insistence by the State Bank of Pakistan to keep the discount rate at 13.25 percent since 20 July 2019, which implies a two to three percentage point higher lending rate by commercial banks, continues to generate controversy within the productive sect
Published 02 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Dealing with the deal
Articles

Dealing with the deal

Finally, the deal. The double TT, Ie, Trump and Taliban have both agreed and signed it. The rest of the world is keeping their fingers crossed - not only that they sign it but also that the deal does not become too much to deal with. 19 years of live and
Published 02 Mar, 2020 12:00am
Keeping Orange Line alive
Articles

Keeping Orange Line alive

Lahore Orange Line (train) rapid transit system is in the process of test run with commercial operations to commence by June 2020. This is second of four planned mass transit systems of Lahore. Green Line metro bus system is in operation for seven years,
Published 01 Mar, 2020 12:00am
IMF lending - Pakistan vs Egypt
Articles

IMF lending - Pakistan vs Egypt

Ever since the IMF rolled out its current programme in Pakistan, the global lending agency's programme for Egypt has been under intense discussions. The IMF rolled out, in 2016, a programme in Egypt. There are striking similarities between Egypt's and Pak
Published 29 Feb, 2020 12:00am
The pyramid
Articles

The pyramid

In a rare moment of weakness-laziness with zero options on the entertainment side being the causation - broke my resolve and switched to the news channels on the idiot box. I am unhappy to report that nothing has changed; the usual suspects still continue
Published 29 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Despite virus rout on markets, hygiene firms clean up
Articles

Despite virus rout on markets, hygiene firms clean up

This week's virus-related markets slump has hammered companies worldwide but some winners have emerged as an anxious public clamours for face masks, hand sanitizers and cleaning products. Thermal imaging cameras are also proving hot as authorities step up
Published 29 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Existing tax structure and fiscal restraints
Articles

Existing tax structure and fiscal restraints

Presently, all broad-based and buoyant sources of revenue are with the federal government and contribution of provinces in total tax revenues is merely 6 percent-in overall national revenue base (tax and non-tax revenue) it is around eight percent. This h
Published 28 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Public service reforms - I
Articles

Public service reforms - I

In 1871, President Ulysses S. Grant of the US appointed Dorman B. Eaton as the chair of the first Civil Service Commission, who later went to England in 1875 to study the civil service system of Britain. Upon conclusion of his studies, Eaton produced a re
Published 28 Feb, 2020 12:00am
What goes around comes around
Articles

What goes around comes around

"Who so diggeth a pit shall fall therein: and he that rolleth a stone, it will return upon him" (Bible 26:27) It is pertinent to remind our politicians, busy digging holes and throwing stones, of this eminently sensible biblical proverb. Will they ever le
Published 27 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Issues in energy for development
Articles

Issues in energy for development

The welfare of humanity has critically depended on our ability to harness and use energy. Development in Pakistan has similarly faced huge obstacles resulting largely from our inability to organise the availability of energy at a reasonable cost in a worl
Published 27 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Qatar eyes diplomatic win with US-Taliban deal
Articles

Qatar eyes diplomatic win with US-Taliban deal

Providing neutral space for talks on ending Afghanistan's 18-year conflict has boosted Qatar's international profile and helped it defy a painful embargo enforced by neighbours and former allies. After quietly brokering dialogue between the warring sides
Published 27 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Tax challenges of digital economy
Articles

Tax challenges of digital economy

Pakistan is too small player - in fact, an insignificant player in the new global game called digital economy, advancing fast in the wake of fourth industrial revolution (4IR). Therefore, instead of rushing thoughtlessly into a world that is being trodden
Published 26 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Retrieving untaxed/ill-gotten assets - II
Articles

Retrieving untaxed/ill-gotten assets - II

A breakthrough was made by media showing that investment in Dubai alone by Pakistanis during the past 10 years was in billions, yet instead of taking actions against the offenders, the government of PTI also extended asset whitening scheme, the details of
Published 26 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Coronavirus fears loom over giant US toy show
Articles

Coronavirus fears loom over giant US toy show

There is no China Pavilion at this year's Toy Fair owing to the new coronavirus outbreak, and the travails of the world's second-biggest economy hang over the giant trade show. Output in China - by far the world's biggest maker of toys - has slowed to a t
Published 26 Feb, 2020 12:00am
State of public finances
Articles

State of public finances

The previous financial year closed with the largest ever budget deficit. The magnitude was Rs 3,445 billion, equivalent to 8.9 percent of the GDP. The increase in relation to 2017-18 was 2.3 percent of the GDP. This severe deterioration in the state of pu
Published 25 Feb, 2020 12:00am
An ephemeral peace
Articles

An ephemeral peace

The partial truce/ceasefire in Afghanistan that kicked in on February 22, 2020, if it holds, is expected to lead to the signing of a deal between the US and the Taliban on February 29, 2020 to allow the withdrawal of US forces from their longest foreign w
Published 25 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Ideology versus technocracy
Articles

Ideology versus technocracy

The debate on whether to employ a technocrat, with no party affiliations, over and above an ideologue, who supports the party's ideology, was never under serious debate on Pakistan's political scene - be they military adventurers or civilian governments.
Published 24 Feb, 2020 12:00am
40 years of Pakistani hospitality
Articles

40 years of Pakistani hospitality

Welcome to the unwelcomed is the lost spirit of giving refuge to the displaced. Consider a lost soul- they are those who are runaways, those who are strangers, those who are unwanted, those who have no identity, those who have no houses, those who have no
Published 24 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Virus hits shipping, spreading global economic strain
Articles

Virus hits shipping, spreading global economic strain

Sea freight transport, the lifeblood of trade and a bellwether of the global economy, has been blown off course by the new coronavirus, sparking general alarm. As analysts pore over charts to gauge just how badly Chinese mega-factories have been hit, figu
Published 24 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Justice Rana Bhagwandas remembered
Articles

Justice Rana Bhagwandas remembered

It was 2007 - a year of upheavals and an extremely tumultuous time in the country's political and judicial history. Each day brought with it disturbing reports of disorder, chaos and new high-profile cases while the rumor mills worked overtime to add to t
Published 23 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Cars and competition disruption
Articles

Cars and competition disruption

Nothing is better than competition. Pakistan's automotive industry is going through a transition phase. For the last thirty years, three Japanese assemblers dominated the passenger car segment. Localization of parts never happened to the liking of policym
Published 23 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Mid-year budget review - 2019-20
Articles

Mid-year budget review - 2019-20

The Federal Ministry of Finance has formulated the mid-year budget review 2019-20. Subject to its review by the Federal Cabinet and the National Assembly the report would be rolled out soon. One important aspect of the report is the fiscal risk analysis a
Published 22 Feb, 2020 12:00am
What women want?
Articles

What women want?

Apart from Imran Khan, that is! Or George Clooney. Most women are smitten by IK, except the two Maryams (Aurangzeb and Nawaz). Women now comprehend him as a great reformer and leader. I shall go along with them, till history proves otherwise. But George C
Published 22 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Retrieving untaxed/ill-gotten assets - I
Articles

Retrieving untaxed/ill-gotten assets - I

In the Supreme Court of Pakistan, Suo Motu Case No. 2 of 2018 re 'Maintaining of Foreign Accounts by Pakistani Citizens Without Disclosing the Same/Paying Taxes', is still pending for adjudication. It started on February 1, 2018 and after many hearings, f
Published 21 Feb, 2020 12:00am
The cost of confused macroeconomic policy
Articles

The cost of confused macroeconomic policy

It seems to be a chicken and egg situation: inflation will fall first; only then will State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) lower its policy rate, or the policy rate will drop before inflation rate falls. In other words, it is impossible to decide which of two thi
Published 21 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Collective amnesia to controlled minds
Articles

Collective amnesia to controlled minds

The country will soon be 73 years old. That's the age you enter a room looking for something and forget what you had come looking for. Your memory becomes more selective, more nostalgic, more wanting to believe what you want to and not the inconvenient tr
Published 20 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Trading in the age of automation
Articles

Trading in the age of automation

As Pakistan tries to regain its foothold in the world export market, the global export scenario is undergoing a drastic disruption. Suddenly it is not cheap labour that the manufacturers are looking for but smart labour, well-versed in new tech skills, au
Published 19 Feb, 2020 12:00am
IMF second review
Articles

IMF second review

The IMF staff review of the Extended Fund Facility has been completed and a press statement issued. There is need to appreciate efforts of the government in meeting all the six performance criteria again as was the case in the first programme review. This
Published 18 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Now censorship of social media
Articles

Now censorship of social media

The insecurity and paranoia of the establishment increasingly on display is about to 'conquer' new heights (or lows, if you prefer). Having muzzled and gagged the mainstream media through financial strangulation (reduction of government advertising) and '
Published 18 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Clock's ticking for Nissan boss Uchida to show he has a plan
Articles

Clock's ticking for Nissan boss Uchida to show he has a plan

Nissan's new CEO Makoto Uchida doesn't have time to work his way into the job. He is effectively on probation and has a matter of months to show he can revive the ailing automaker, according to three people familiar with the thinking of some on the compan
Published 18 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Truths, half truths and then...
Articles

Truths, half truths and then...

The unchallenged legacy of Donald Trump's presidency has been an almost routine fact-check of all statements he makes. This exercise has become increasingly relevant in assessing the grandiose claims by stakeholders, including Pakistani federal ministers.
Published 17 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Lessons from Turkey
Articles

Lessons from Turkey

"Istanbul a couple of decades ago was more like an African city than a European city", said one of the Pakistanis living in Turkey for 30 years. Hard to imagine as you come out of the largest airport hub in the world where Turkish airlines has overtaken E
Published 17 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Miners welcome South Africa's plans to open up power generation
Articles

Miners welcome South Africa's plans to open up power generation

South Africa's announcement that it will open up electricity generation to other players, effectively breaking Eskom's monopoly, has been welcomed by many, especially the mining industry, a key sector in Africa's most industrialised economy. President Cyr
Published 17 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Irked US squeezes Iraq with cash delays, short waivers
Articles

Irked US squeezes Iraq with cash delays, short waivers

Irked by Iraq's close ties to neighbouring Iran, Washington has begun following through on threats to squeeze Baghdad's fragile economy with delays to crucial cash deliveries and shortened sanctions waivers. This week, the US granted Iraq last-minute leav
Published 16 Feb, 2020 12:00am
IMF review: power remains the key
Articles

IMF review: power remains the key

The IMF second review is concluded. The staff-level agreement has not been reached; unlike in November review. That said, the tone was not negative. There might be some prior actions (such as increase in petroleum levy, increase in gas prices, pending fue
Published 16 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Pakistan's 40 golden years of hosting Afghan refugees
Articles

Pakistan's 40 golden years of hosting Afghan refugees

The world today is at crossroads of its history as humanity faces gigantic challenges. The biggest challenge for the world is unresolved conflicts and human displacement due to these wars. According to Dina Nayeri, it is the obligation of every person bor
Published 16 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Reforms in energy sector
Articles

Reforms in energy sector

The federal government has decided to set up Pakistan Petroleum Exploration and Production Authority as part of its plan to introduce reforms in the oil and gas sector. Presently, the energy ministry enjoys both the powers of policymaking and regulation.
Published 15 Feb, 2020 12:00am
What is wrong
Articles

What is wrong

Well, depends on who you listen too, or rather want to listen too. The IMF-led government version is that things are on track, thanks to the finance team, by and large, adhering to the structural reforms programme and good days are around the corner - wel
Published 15 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Portuguese communities lock horns with lithium miners
Articles

Portuguese communities lock horns with lithium miners

The lush, green hills where Paulo Pires has for years brought sheep to graze above his picturesque Portuguese village may soon be transformed by the race to power electric vehicles. Signs of change already give him sleepless nights. Hundreds of drill hole
Published 15 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Asian plane makers struggle to take off in crowded market
Articles

Asian plane makers struggle to take off in crowded market

Asian plane makers have thrown huge sums at building jets but flagship projects have suffered repeated setbacks, and they face a tough time breaking into a market dominated by established players. The Asia-Pacific region is the world's biggest aviation ma
Published 15 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Dealing with 'debtocracy'
Articles

Dealing with 'debtocracy'

Total debt servicing increased by around 57 percent during FY 2018-19 compared with last fiscal year which was driven by higher domestic interest payments (on account of rise in domestic interest rates) while external debt repayments increased significant
Published 14 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Policy imperatives for equitable growth and human well-being
Articles

Policy imperatives for equitable growth and human well-being

No doubt, the current account deficit has tremendously narrowed down on the back of drastic decline in imports. That allows build-up of reserves and so does the increase in portfolio investment that is witnessing an upward trend over the last few months l
Published 14 Feb, 2020 12:00am
All roads lead to Beijing
Articles

All roads lead to Beijing

There is one area where all are on the same page: Export growth. Everyone is for it. The trouble is not everyone reads the page the same way. How else do you explain the numbers? The tug of war within the government is quite apparent: the pious part promi
Published 13 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Restructuring of FBR - the only way forward!
Articles

Restructuring of FBR - the only way forward!

Due to inherent weaknesses in the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR), successive governments have tried to expand the tax base of the country, fix excessive scope of discretion and rent-seeking behaviour, eliminate corruption, tax evasion, complex and non-tra
Published 13 Feb, 2020 12:00am
A social worker in the court of free market
Articles

A social worker in the court of free market

"We came to power for the welfare of the poor. We have no right to continue staying in power if we don't care about them," Prime Minister Imran Khan said the other day while presiding over a meeting to review the rising prices of essential commodities.
Published 12 Feb, 2020 12:00am
The coronavirus challenge
Articles

The coronavirus challenge

Chinese scholars such as Liu Kan and Lu Chuanying of SIIS gave three major views, both in China and abroad, about the negative impacts of the 2019-nCov epidemic on China's economy. The "critical impact" assessment goes like that it will have serious effec
Published 12 Feb, 2020 12:00am
IMF's projections
Articles

IMF's projections

The article last week by me had assessed the projections made for 2019-20 by the IMF staff following the First Review. This article analyses the projections for the last two years of the Program, 2020-21 and 2021-22. The IMF projections for the next two y
Published 11 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Maulana's 'assurance'
Articles

Maulana's 'assurance'

Maulana Fazlur Rehman, chief of the Jamiat-i-Ulema-i-Islam-Fazl (JUI-F), is a frustrated man. Two rounds of a sit-in in Islamabad and highly ambitious attempted blockage of highways throughout the country last year failed to find traction and had to be ab
Published 11 Feb, 2020 12:00am
No phones, no leaks: How Lagarde is making her mark on ECB
Articles

No phones, no leaks: How Lagarde is making her mark on ECB

Gathered in a German mountain castle last November a/for an evening retreat that ended with a whiskey-tasting, rebel European Central Bank policymakers and Christine Lagarde, their newly confirmed president, made a pact. Lagarde pledged to spend more time
Published 11 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Data integrity remains an issue
Articles

Data integrity remains an issue

Prime Minister Imran Khan's signature Ehsaas programme launched on 27 March 2019 with his Policy Statement uploaded on the website highlights the need for data integrity though it is unclear if implementation has begun.
Published 10 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Coronavirus outbreak
Articles

Coronavirus outbreak

If you want an infection virus to become an epidemic virus, press the panic button. Viruses need measured, scientific, thought through responses. Panic blocks the ability to think, measure and respond in a logical manner. The latest coronavirus issue is i
Updated 04 Mar, 2020 10:41am
As nations bicker, a greener future evolves in finance
Articles

As nations bicker, a greener future evolves in finance

Away from the toxic atmosphere at climate summit talks, in boardrooms, banks and trading houses, a transformation in green finance is under way. Its backers hope it could profitably help save the planet. Regardless of the politics of climate change, there
Published 10 Feb, 2020 12:00am
There's need for macro-fiscal unit
Articles

There's need for macro-fiscal unit

The Adviser to PM on Finance is in a tight spot. The IMF's second review is ongoing. All the binary targets are likely to be met. But the problem is to manage primary fiscal deficit targets in the quarters to come. Ambitious indicative tax revenue target
Published 09 Feb, 2020 12:00am
China turns to AI, data in fight against virus
Articles

China turns to AI, data in fight against virus

A man who had travelled to Wuhan - the central city at the heart of China's coronavirus crisis - was surprised when police showed up at his door after he returned home, asking to check his temperature. The man, who had quarantined himself at home in Nanji
Published 09 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Owl-right start for ECB's Lagarde in first 100 days
Articles

Owl-right start for ECB's Lagarde in first 100 days

Wearing an owl brooch to her January press conference, Christine Lagarde made clear her determination to run the European Central Bank differently from her predecessors as it hunts for a way out of crisis-management mode.
Published 09 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Coronavirus claims Hyundai car plant
Articles

Coronavirus claims Hyundai car plant

The most productive car factory in the world fell quiet on Friday as South Korea's Hyundai suspended operations at its giant Ulsan complex, hamstrung by a lack of parts with the coronavirus outbreak crippling China's industrial output.
Published 08 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Unrealistic IMF targets
Articles

Unrealistic IMF targets

Pakistan has once again requested the visiting International Monetary Fund (IMF) team to further reduce tax collection target. As reported in the media, in a meeting between a Pakistani team and the IMF mission for second review talks, the government info
Published 08 Feb, 2020 12:00am
No man can
Articles

No man can

A couple of days ago, sitting in the national airline's A320, waiting for it to take off from Islamabad and peeved by the condition of the cabin, impulsively retorted that if they gave me the airline it would become profitable within a couple of years.
Published 08 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Tax frauds, corruption & NAB
Articles

Tax frauds, corruption & NAB

In majority tax frauds, the usual parties are the official(s) and the taxpayer(s). Cases where unilateral tax fraud is committed are rare such as using fictitious bank account(s) to obtain fake refunds. But even in such cases, bank officials are involved
Published 07 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Global economic prospects and Pakistan
Articles

Global economic prospects and Pakistan

The United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA), along with some other related departments of the United Nations (UN) recently launched their flagship report 'World Economic Situation and Prospects 2020'. According to the Secretary-
Published 07 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Alice in Cuckoo Land
Articles

Alice in Cuckoo Land

Alice Wells is a professional diplomat, trained in the art of nuances. One would imagine the power she represents allows her to speak softly, without having to show the stick. Blustering Trump is no Theodore Roosevelt. His weapon of choice is brashness, n
Published 06 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Why exporters need more help?
Articles

Why exporters need more help?

An amalgam of economic distortions, inefficiencies and illogically inflated tariffs is resulting in immense pressure for the export-oriented sectors in Pakistan to remain competitive, and this by default will have grave consequences for our future. It sho
Published 06 Feb, 2020 12:00am
China's stuttering economy braces for impact of deadly virus
Articles

China's stuttering economy braces for impact of deadly virus

China's struggle to contain the deadly coronavirus is deepening concerns about the impact on the world's number-two economy, as factories stay closed and millions of consumers remain holed up at home. The epidemic, which has killed hundreds and infected m
Published 06 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Learning through technology
Articles

Learning through technology

Without adequate energy supplies, adequate capital and adequate availability of technology no country can stand on its own two feet and protect its sovereignty from being eroded by those on whom such countries, depend for dole.
Published 05 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Structured access to IMF
Articles

Structured access to IMF

The principle of international economic law prescribes foreign exchange stability of the member countries and it recognizes that the essential purpose of the international monetary system is to provide a framework that facilitates the exchange of goods, s
Published 05 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Coronavirus could also sicken global economy
Articles

Coronavirus could also sicken global economy

The rapid spread of a new coronavirus in China, the world's second largest economy, could rapidly weaken already fragile global growth as trade and oil demand slow, analysts say. The world economy could do without this new problem, after suffering from a
Published 05 Feb, 2020 12:00am
The price of defeat
Articles

The price of defeat

US Special Envoy for Afghan Peace and Reconciliation Zalmay Khalilzad is once more treading the well worn path of a political settlement of the Afghan war that would allow a defeated US a face-saving exit while saving as much of the Afghan government of A
Published 04 Feb, 2020 12:00am
IMF's projections for 2019-20
Articles

IMF's projections for 2019-20

The first review report prepared by the IMF staff became available in late-December 2019. This followed the successful completion by Pakistan of this review. All the performance criteria were met. This has improved perceptions about the extent of success
Published 04 Feb, 2020 12:00am
MPS 2020
Articles

MPS 2020

The first monetary policy statement (MPS) for the year 2020 announced by Governor State Bank of Pakistan maintained the discount rate at 13.25 percent (since July 2019) dashing hopes of a downward revision that independent economists as well as members of
Published 03 Feb, 2020 12:00am
FATF - financial politics
Articles

FATF - financial politics

"Money is the mother of all politics", Jesse. M. Unruh. A statement that has been debated but not disputed. This is visible in the classification of the world into the first world, third world or the developed Vs LDCs - less developed countries. The class
Published 03 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Identity crisis and extremism
Articles

Identity crisis and extremism

An identity crisis is a phenomenon where a people's identity is defined and manipulated in a particular way to exploit it for political advantages. Identity crisis then leads to extremism in politics and the dominating cult excludes others on untenable gr
Published 03 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Stay of recovery in tax matters - II
Articles

Stay of recovery in tax matters - II

It needs to be mentioned that the principle contained in Additional Collector-II Sales Tax, Lahore Vs M/s Abdullah Sugar Mills Ltd (2003 SCMR 1026) relied by Division Bench was misplaced, due to wrong inference drawn and after changes in law that are disc
Published 02 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Israeli Arabs fear for their future under Trump 'peace plan'
Articles

Israeli Arabs fear for their future under Trump 'peace plan'

In the Israeli Arab town of Umm al-Fahm residents are scared and angry over US President Donald Trump's peace plan which sees them as part of a future Palestinian state. At the same time, the "deal of the century" would give the Israel a green light to an
Published 02 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Understated GDP
Articles

Understated GDP

It's no news that informal economy is significant in Pakistan. What some would not know is that within documented economy, not everything is measured in GDP computation. It can be said with confidence that GDP is significantly understated in Pakistan. Onc
Updated 02 Feb, 2020 06:49am
A flawed approach?
Articles

A flawed approach?

Never before has the Corruption Perception Index (CPI) global rating by Transparency International (TI) invoked so much of controversy and confusion in Pakistan. In its recently published report, TI stated that Pakistan had scored 32 on the Corruption Per
Published 01 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Non-issues
Articles

Non-issues

Perhaps it is the lack of other forms of entertainment, or perhaps extreme polarisation is the cause, but whatever the case may be, we as a nation are infatuated with non issues. Essentially, if it is only about the economy, which it is, it is utterly rem
Published 01 Feb, 2020 12:00am
China's achievement on anti-coronavirus R&D
Articles

China's achievement on anti-coronavirus R&D

The World Health Organisation announced on Jan 12, 2020 that it has received information from China on a novel coronavirus gene sequence detected from unexplained viral pneumonia cases in Wuhan. Then around seven Chinese biotech companies started developi
Updated 04 Mar, 2020 10:53am
Fake news: A conundrum that demands serious discourse
Articles

Fake news: A conundrum that demands serious discourse

Much of the discourse on 'fake news' conflates three notions. Misinformation which is unintended, or an accidental mistake in narration. Disinformation is fabricated or intentionally modified content to maliciously harm a person. Mal-information is based
Published 01 Feb, 2020 12:00am
Stay of recovery in tax matters - I
Articles

Stay of recovery in tax matters - I

In tax disputes the principles relating to stay of recovery in appropriate cases with or without condition, whether provided statutorily or as a matter of inherent jurisdiction, are well-established. The highest court of the country, the Supreme Court of
Published 31 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Banking for children
Articles

Banking for children

How our kids can miraculously contribute to national savings and resource mobilization towards a better and brighter Pakistan! It is a test of the will, vision and vitality of people at the helm of banking affairs to revitalize school banking and initiate
Published 31 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Economy: the speech we won't hear
Articles

Economy: the speech we won't hear

Independent Economists tell us situation is dire. The government tells us we are well on our way. Economists do not see an early possibility of growth if current policy direction persists. The government insists stabilization now secured we are ready to t
Published 30 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Poverty, unemployment, some other grim realities
Articles

Poverty, unemployment, some other grim realities

With the advent of Naya Pakistan came a promise to create 10 million new jobs within a 5-year term. This was not an unreasonable target. According to a 2018 Human Development Report for Pakistan by the United Nations Development Program (UNDP), 1.5 millio
Published 30 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Palestinians left with few options against Trump plan
Articles

Palestinians left with few options against Trump plan

Palestinians have rejected US President Donald Trump's peace proposals but may struggle to push back if Israel launches the plan on the ground by annexing settlements and keys parts of the West Bank. Trump's initiative grants Israel full control of Jerusa
Published 30 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Trade deficit - an equitable analysis
Articles

Trade deficit - an equitable analysis

Trade deficit is good if it generates the required value addition within an economy, and results in a good exploitation of trade through productive investments that enhance the industrial sector's capacity for future consumption and productivity. As a res
Published 29 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Virus crisis adds pressure on slowing Chinese economy
Articles

Virus crisis adds pressure on slowing Chinese economy

Cinemas empty, high-speed train trips cancelled, tourist sites closed, an entire province shut down: The extraordinary measures taken by China to contain a deadly coronavirus threaten to dent an already fragile economy.
Published 29 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Stepping out of the rut
Articles

Stepping out of the rut

In times of severe economic down-turn resource short countries like Pakistan need to practice punishing austerity - punishing specially for the haves as the have-nots have been already going through such austerity for ages - to enhance rates of savings an
Updated 29 Jan, 2020 05:00am
Contamination reduces cotton value
Articles

Contamination reduces cotton value

Cotton is considered to be a resilient and reliable lifeline of Pakistan's economy; however, the reduction in its productivity over several years has negatively impacted performance of the entire economy. Importance of the cotton crop can be gauged from t
Published 28 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Will Brexit see European division at the UN Security Council?
Articles

Will Brexit see European division at the UN Security Council?

In a recent UN Security Council vote on extending cross-border aid to Syria, Britain aligned with the United States and abstained in a rare split with its European partners that could herald others to come after Brexit. Some diplomats played down the Janu
Published 28 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Inflow of external financing
Articles

Inflow of external financing

Pakistan's external debt and liabilities first crossed the level of $100 billion in March 2019. Consequently, the external debt to GDP ratio reached the peak of over 36 percent. Bulk of this debt is public in nature and accounts currently for almost 80 pe
Updated 28 Jan, 2020 04:57am
The pro-poor policies of PM
Articles

The pro-poor policies of PM

Prime Minister Imran Khan is undoubtedly deeply committed to ensuring that the poor and the vulnerable are provided state support (our tax rupees). Disturbingly, he does not reportedly question the pace of implementation with respect to his policy stateme
Published 27 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Pakistan and Malaysia - dissimilar similarities
Articles

Pakistan and Malaysia - dissimilar similarities

Nation building is a continuous struggle. Many nations that in one century ruled were ruled by others in another century. In fact in modern times, with pace of change faster than speed of light, countries rise and fall in a matter of decades. The rise of
Published 27 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Need for timely currency adjustments
Articles

Need for timely currency adjustments

Political pressures are mounting on PM Imran Khan to control inflation and create new jobs. Coalition partners are flexing muscles to get MNAs'/MPAs' funds, seeing that members within PTI clan are voicing concerns now. A government with a razor-thin major
Published 26 Jan, 2020 12:00am
IR discipline needs revamping
Articles

IR discipline needs revamping

International Relations (IR), as a separate discipline, is almost 100 years old but in Pakistan its academic life is nearly 50 years. Mostly promoted by US and Britain as major powers, it drew its roots from the discipline of Political Science and Area St
Published 26 Jan, 2020 12:00am
A welcome step
Articles

A welcome step

Prime Minister Imran Khan has vowed to facilitate the business community in a meaningful manner. While chairing a meeting on the licensing regime in Pakistan last week, he directed to abolish unnecessary taxes and inspections. Around 150 licences are requ
Published 25 Jan, 2020 12:00am
In Davos, the spectre of a tech cold war
Articles

In Davos, the spectre of a tech cold war

China and the United States may have laid down their arms for now in a trade truce, but their technological rivalry is still raging, raising the spectre of a high tech cold war. The coming battle played out this week in the corridors of the World Economic
Published 25 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Locusts the latest curse of East Africa weather extremes
Articles

Locusts the latest curse of East Africa weather extremes

Billions of locusts swarming through East Africa are the result of extreme weather swings and could prove catastrophic for a region still reeling from drought and deadly floods, experts said Friday. Dense clouds of the ravenous insects have spread from Et
Published 25 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Subverting tax tribunals
Articles

Subverting tax tribunals

"The raison d'être of establishing special tribunals has been to dispense better quality of justice where people, better trained in particular fields and disciplines could provide quality decisions and resolution of disputes... . Appointing members to the
Published 24 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Price rationalization - II
Articles

Price rationalization - II

The proposed Price Commission for Agricultural Sector (PCAS) should also try to ensure minimization of price shocks related with commodity supply chain disruptions - both voluntary (hoarding practices) and involuntary (climate change).
Published 24 Jan, 2020 12:00am
What's with the Police anyways?
Articles

What's with the Police anyways?

Between a Khawaja and an Imam Sindh Government has lost more than face. Government's writ stands challenged. It brings into question the provincial government's right to control, direct, and hold accountable its civil servants, including those placed at i
Published 23 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Criticality of competitive electricity pricing
Articles

Criticality of competitive electricity pricing

The export-oriented sectors of Pakistan have shown marked resilience over the past decades, having weathered the storms of economic uncertainty, severe energy shortages, overvalued currency and delayed refunds. Aided by policy initiatives of the governmen
Published 23 Jan, 2020 12:00am
BlackRock coal divestment welcomed, scrutinised by insiders
Articles

BlackRock coal divestment welcomed, scrutinised by insiders

Investment behemoth BlackRock's decision to divest holdings in companies reliant on coal may encourage more climate-friendly finance but raises questions over how investors prioritise the future of the planet, analysts and industry insiders said Wednesday
Published 23 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Limits of capitalism
Articles

Limits of capitalism

The PTI-led coalition government that came to power about 17 months ago promising change (Tabdeli) has so far followed almost the same failed economic model that the successive governments, both civil and military, have been pursuing over the last 40 year
Published 22 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Putting brokerage houses under financial strain
Articles

Putting brokerage houses under financial strain

The Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) has issued a notification recently for the change of Brokerage Regime for Capital Markets. Under the proposed regime SECP intends to increase the Capital and Net worth requirements of TC Holders ma
Published 22 Jan, 2020 12:00am
The wide and deep slowdown
Articles

The wide and deep slowdown

The process of slowdown of the economy continues in an uninterrupted manner. The initial signs of a loss of momentum in economic activity first became visible from December 2018 onwards. The leading sector in experiencing a decline in production has been
Published 21 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Another headache for fruitwallas and sabziwallas?
Articles

Another headache for fruitwallas and sabziwallas?

On July 22, 2019 the FBR issued Circular No. 1/2-STB/2019 which was supposed to clarify the provision in the finance act regarding collection of CNIC from consumers on specific transactions. Sadly, as with most things the FBR is prone to put out, this cir
Published 21 Jan, 2020 12:00am
At 50, Davos matures beyond corporate 'speed dating'
Articles

At 50, Davos matures beyond corporate 'speed dating'

Like others approaching middle age, the World Economic Forum turns 50 insisting it has matured, that it has moved on from hard partying and wants more meaningful relationships. The focus for this week's annual meeting in Davos will be as much on hearing f
Published 21 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Tweaking policies need of the hour
Articles

Tweaking policies need of the hour

The Pakistan Muslim League Nawaz (PML-N) is at pains to point out the unprecedented rise in unemployment and inflation during the nearly seventeen month tenure of the Pakistan Tehrik-i-Insaaf (PTI) government, twin indicators that determine any government
Published 20 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Battle of diplomacy
Articles

Battle of diplomacy

Soft power is the best repellant for war and conflict. As they say prevention is better than cure, similarly diplomacy is better than enmity. We are living in turbulent times where it is increasingly difficult to live peacefully and progressively. Nations
Published 20 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Law on compulsory receipts sets Germans grumbling
Articles

Law on compulsory receipts sets Germans grumbling

In January it became law in Germany that retailers must print a receipt for every last transaction in a bid to fight tax evasion, but shopkeepers, customers and industry groups are already bucking against the scheme. "Small shops' cash registers already h
Published 20 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Open up imports to expand exports
Articles

Open up imports to expand exports

There are signs of shift in economic thinking from 'inward oriented' to 'outward oriented'. Dr Reza Baqir presented the case at a conference last week. Pakistan consumption based growth averaging at 3.5-4 percent (2001-18) is similar to top 25 percent eme
Published 19 Jan, 2020 12:00am
'Hunarmand Pakistan' programme
Articles

'Hunarmand Pakistan' programme

Prime Minister Imran Khan, flanked by Federal Education Minister Shafqat Mehmoud, launched on January 9, 2020 the Hunarmand Pakistan programme - the country's largest-ever skilled development programme aimed at enhancing the skills of youth through qualit
Published 18 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Taming the untamable
Articles

Taming the untamable

The problem with writing a regular column is that even at times when you are not at your best, to put it mildly, you still have to write and submit something; and after rereading last week's submission - clearly, that was one of those times. The objective
Published 18 Jan, 2020 12:00am
A rejoinder
Articles

A rejoinder

In response to our article (Unconstitutional taxation by provinces, Business Recorder, January 3, 2020), a letter was published on January 9, 2020 titled 'Unconstitutional' taxation by provinces: SRB's response' that raised some questions and made a few o
Published 17 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Price rationalization - I
Articles

Price rationalization - I

Prices determine the level of affordability for consumers, and work as an incentive for producers. Market imperfections deter goods, commodities and services from reaching true price signals. Given these imperfections, governments need to intervene in mar
Published 17 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Is errant leadership alone to blame?
Articles

Is errant leadership alone to blame?

Theories abound why the government is directionless. Little gets done, notwithstanding government's stirring renewals of resolve. Gap between promise and performance is growing. A Government's real currency is its credibility. It has got sharply devalued.
Published 16 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Manufacturing, exports under the government spotlight
Articles

Manufacturing, exports under the government spotlight

No government has focused more on manufacturing and exports since the 1960s than ours; Prime Minister Imran Khan remarked during a recent interaction with business leaders. For sure, he must be having some solid reasons to claim so. However, irrespective
Published 16 Jan, 2020 12:00am
The ME conundrum
Articles

The ME conundrum

I am not the Oracle of Delphi. Nor am I Mehwish Hayat who tweets on every subject. Perhaps if she were to show more skin, people might take note. The current developments have a background - historical, geo-strategic, economic and personal. Since time imm
Published 16 Jan, 2020 12:00am
A broken economic system
Articles

A broken economic system

Only the rich countries can afford the luxury of free market economy (FME). Indeed, FME is a luxury the rich countries have enjoyed to the hilt over the last 40 years while the not-so-rich and the poor suffered horrendously from this system. Whatever weal
Published 15 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Beating the odds: growth in global recession
Articles

Beating the odds: growth in global recession

A few days into the new year, Pakistan has been faced with lowered growth rate projections for the current fiscal year as well as the next two years according to the World Bank, factoring in tighter monetary policy and fiscal consolidation. Although this
Published 15 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Dichotomy or political consensus?
Articles

Dichotomy or political consensus?

The year 2020 will be critical for both the government and the opposition. This will be the year in which our country can be put on the path of prosperity provided the right attitude towards governing can take shape. Furthermore, the opposition must provi
Published 15 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Food inflation rises to 22pc!
Articles

Food inflation rises to 22pc!

The Sensitive Price Index (SPI) for the first full week of 2020 ending on the 9th of January has been released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS). Credit must be given to the PBS for, more or less, immediate release on a weekly basis of informatio
Updated 14 Jan, 2020 06:13am
Iraq warns of 'collapse' if Trump blocks oil cash
Articles

Iraq warns of 'collapse' if Trump blocks oil cash

Iraqi officials fear economic "collapse" if Washington imposes threatened sanctions, including blocking access to a US-based account where Baghdad keeps oil revenues that feed 90 percent of the national budget.
Updated 14 Jan, 2020 06:16am
Australia's bushfire crisis turns off tourists
Articles

Australia's bushfire crisis turns off tourists

Families grieving for lost homes and loved ones, burned koalas rescued from charred forests: The devastation of Australia's bushfire crisis has tainted the country's reputation as a safe and alluring holiday destination.
Updated 14 Jan, 2020 06:32am
Pakistan's monetary policy
Articles

Pakistan's monetary policy

A central bank's primary responsibility as per the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is to conduct monetary policy to achieve price stability (low and stable inflation) and to help manage economic fluctuations. Interestingly in 2017-18, when Pakistan was
Updated 13 Jan, 2020 06:39am
Economics of wars
Articles

Economics of wars

"All war is a symptom of man's failure as a thinking animal," John Steinbeck. Wars are dangerous, costly, destructive and inhuman. Yet history shows how they are a political indulgence many politicians find irresistible. Power and superpower are the main
Updated 13 Jan, 2020 06:45am
US-China trade deal a mixed success for Trump
Articles

US-China trade deal a mixed success for Trump

President Donald Trump is set to sign a trade deal with China on Wednesday that he will trumpet as a major victory, but it comes at a steep cost after a bitter two-year standoff between the world's two top economic powers. "The hard issues between the Uni
Updated 13 Jan, 2020 06:55am
Prioritize gas consumption
Articles

Prioritize gas consumption

Lately, there is a rift between Federal and Sindh governments on natural gas supply and pricing. The Centre's desire is to have weighted average gas price formula of natural gas in Sindh by inclusion of RLNG in supply, whereas the Sindh government is aski
Updated 13 Jan, 2020 07:05am
The corrupt, tax cheats, 'secrecy' & RTI - II
Articles

The corrupt, tax cheats, 'secrecy' & RTI - II

The passing of Foreign Assets (Declaration and Repatriation) Act, 2018, the Voluntary Declaration of Domestic Assets Act, 2018, promulgation of the Assets Declaration Ordinance, 2019 and later enacted as the Assets Declaration Ordinance, 2019 as part of F
Updated 13 Jan, 2020 07:10am
India in trouble
Articles

India in trouble

An economic downturn, if not meltdown, appears inevitable in India. India's economy is witnessing degradation in many sectors. India seems to have come full circle. It was in 1991 that India faced a severe financial crisis on account of balance of payment
Updated 13 Jan, 2020 08:04am
Uncertain
Articles

Uncertain

At the end of the day, despite all our technological advances, we sure live in a messed up, uncertain world. Considering what happened yesterday (in the context of when the article is written and not when it is published), following which everyone is hopi
Updated 13 Jan, 2020 07:23am
Perils of life outside royal fold for Harry and Megan
Articles

Perils of life outside royal fold for Harry and Megan

Prince Harry and his wife Megan will attempt to go their own way in a bid for financial independence, with one foot in and one out of the British royal family. But recent royals who have left the fold or tried to forge an independent life outside the mona
Updated 14 Jan, 2020 04:38am
River people: Life along Asia's key waterways
Articles

River people: Life along Asia's key waterways

From the flood-ravaged banks of the Brahmaputra to the disappearing wetlands of the Mekong, Asia's main waterways - and the people that live along them - are fighting for survival. Climate change, international politics, spiralling population growth, and
Published 11 Jan, 2020 12:00am
The corrupt, tax cheats, 'secrecy' & RTI - I
Articles

The corrupt, tax cheats, 'secrecy' & RTI - I

2020 has started and apparently everyone has forgotten what the Supreme Court desired in Suo Muto Case No. 2 of 2018, started on February 1, 2018, and what happened thereafter. The last hearing in this case, which is still pending, was held on January 14,
Published 10 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Commercializing Pakistan Railways - II
Articles

Commercializing Pakistan Railways - II

A 'line-of-business' structure is generally adopted by commercial railways to align markets in the rail industry towards achieving utmost customer- both passenger and freight related- satisfaction. Under this structure, while there may be one organization
Published 10 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Islamabad: is the fog lifting?
Articles

Islamabad: is the fog lifting?

Is it for real? Does 2020 promise the tabdeeli we had all given up on? Well, not quite the tabdeeli that was made a song and dance of around the container, but sleeping with the enemy one. Suddenly, the screams of thieves and dacoits from one side and sho
Published 09 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Reforming FBR
Articles

Reforming FBR

It comes as no surprise that the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) is in need of serious reform. However, the means of going about the said reform require pondering and speculation. Pakistan's tax problems are often lamented, but without attempting to truly
Published 09 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Foreign firms wary as China launches investment law
Articles

Foreign firms wary as China launches investment law

Accustomed to unfulfilled promises from the Chinese government, foreign businesses are keeping a wary eye on a nascent law aimed at addressing their long-standing grievances about unfair treatment in the world's second largest economy.
Published 09 Jan, 2020 12:00am
'Political' versus 'liberal' capitalism
Articles

'Political' versus 'liberal' capitalism

Pakistan's economy has always remained in a state of confusion. Except for the first decade or so when we went for import substitution our attempts to set our economy on an even keel that would take us to what we could rightly claim to be a social-welfare
Updated 08 Jan, 2020 05:01am
Revisiting macro-economic policy
Articles

Revisiting macro-economic policy

The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), in its recent First Quarterly Report 2019-20, has stated that the policy mix adopted so far, "appears adequate to address the macroeconomic imbalances and push the economy towards stability." Two words in the above statem
Updated 08 Jan, 2020 04:48am
Economic outlook for 2020
Articles

Economic outlook for 2020

The single most important development in 2019 on the economic front was the entry by Pakistan into a three year Extended Facility with the IMF. The Program envisages very intensive and fast moves to achieve a big reduction in the current account deficit i
Published 07 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Destination 2020
Articles

Destination 2020

Guess which is the top tourist destination to visit in 2020. France, wrong. Malaysia, wrong, Maldives, wrong. India, absolutely wrong. It is Pakistan, yes, believe it or not, but Pakistan it is. This is something we all have dreamt and talked about for de
Published 06 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Overload on train to IOK's internet oasis
Articles

Overload on train to IOK's internet oasis

Every day the train to occupied Kashmir's remote cyber oasis Banihal is packed as people travel for hours to get online in the disputed region where internet has been cut for five months. The mountain town of fewer than 4,000 people has six internet cafes
Published 06 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Legacy power contracts
Articles

Legacy power contracts

As reported by the press, NEPRA Chairman Tauseef H. Siddiqui stated last month that Pakistan is being held to an expensive electricity 'ransom' whereby the government "purchases electricity at Rs 24 per unit and sells it to consumers at Rs 15 -16 per unit
Published 06 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Energy security
Articles

Energy security

2020 dawned with war fears. The US-Iran tensions are mounting in the region. Michael Kugelman wrote earlier this week that Pakistan and India are edging closer to a war in 2020. Pakistan needs to have strategic petroleum reserves to combat any war like si
Published 05 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Turkish intervention risks Syria scenario for Libya: experts
Articles

Turkish intervention risks Syria scenario for Libya: experts

Turkey's decision to approve the deployment of troops to Libya risks plunging the North African nation deeper into a Syrian-style proxy war between regional powers including Russia, experts warn. Libya has been mired in conflict since a NATO-backed uprisi
Published 05 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Future looks bright
Articles

Future looks bright

The IMF recently released $452 million second tranche, bringing the total disbursements so far to about $1.45 billion. While doing so, the IMF in its first review of Pakistan's economic performance has acknowledged that the government reforms programme is
Published 04 Jan, 2020 12:00am
The Review
Articles

The Review

"We have no eternal allies, and we have no perpetual enemies. Our interests are eternal and perpetual, and those interests it is our duty to follow" Lord Palmerston speech, House of Commons, 1 March 1848.
Published 04 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Book Review: Blood Over Different Shades of Green
Articles

Book Review: Blood Over Different Shades of Green

It would be a tremendous understatement to say that Pakistan has had an eventful history, both in the years leading up to 1947 and the years hence; it is almost hard to believe that a nation-state at once so young - as far as nations go, anyways - should
Published 04 Jan, 2020 12:00am
'Unconstitutional' taxation by provinces
Articles

'Unconstitutional' taxation by provinces

The imposition of any kind of legislation that include levy of any tax or duty, cess etc having extraterritorial impact and involving entities operating on trans-provincial levels by any provincial assembly is patently against Article 141 of the Constitut
Published 03 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Commercializing Pakistan Railways - I
Articles

Commercializing Pakistan Railways - I

Pakistan Railways (PR), a State-Owned Enterprise (SOE) under the Ministry of Railways (MoR), which has been working as a natural monopoly has not been able to pay adequate attention to improving its service for consumers - passengers and freight - for the
Published 03 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Exports: the lesser god on govt's totem pole
Articles

Exports: the lesser god on govt's totem pole

The consensus opinion is that current account will rear its head again, sooner rather than later, if exports remain sluggish. We also hear Ministry of Commerce knows it and is expending a lot of energyto find a way for exports to climb the greasy pole.
Published 02 Jan, 2020 12:00am
2019: Review of PTI govt's fiscal measures - II
Articles

2019: Review of PTI govt's fiscal measures - II

FBR Year Book 2018-19 concedes that withholding taxes constitute 67% of the total collection of income tax (it was 65% last year). Out of total collection of Rs 1445.5 billion [it was Rs 1536.6 billion in 2017-18], Rs 39.2 billion [2.7%] received with
Published 02 Jan, 2020 12:00am
De-politicising interest rates - II
Articles

De-politicising interest rates - II

The second indicator is the sector-wise share for each type of loan. The share in total outstanding loans, as per the above named sectors, in June'18, was 6.5, 31.3 (textile as share of manufacturing), 7.1 and 7.3 percent. In Sept'19, the corresponding sh
Updated 02 Jan, 2020 06:50am
Tabdili? What Tabdili?
Articles

Tabdili? What Tabdili?

The Prime Minister is the only change that seems to have happened to Pakistan since the advent of the PTI government which came in riding Imran Khan's catchy slogan of 'Tabdili'. Everything else, from governance to economy, politics, foreign affairs, soci
Published 01 Jan, 2020 12:00am
Sense and sensibility
Articles

Sense and sensibility

Events of the past few weeks are of great legal and political importance. In an unprecedented trial former president General Musharraf was convicted in treason trial by a special court. Similarly, the Supreme Court intervened in a hitherto prohibited of d
Updated 01 Jan, 2020 08:17am
While the sun shines over our banking horizon
Articles

While the sun shines over our banking horizon

Amid much being pondered from customer care to customer nightmare in our banking sector, a ray of hope envisions and emanates towards customer-friendly and mutually rewarding bank reforms for a change. It is basically a question of slow and gradual transf
Published 01 Jan, 2020 12:00am
2019: Review of PTI govt's fiscal measures - I
Articles

2019: Review of PTI govt's fiscal measures - I

An unusual decline in revenue collection and steep rise in current expenditures caused a deterioration in all major fiscal indicators during FY19. The overall budget deficit during the year stood at a historic high of 8.9 percent of GDP, which was also in
Published 31 Dec, 2019 12:00am
Hosting VP of European Parliament
Articles

Hosting VP of European Parliament

We had the distinguished honour to host the youngest vice president in the history of the European Parliament, Fabio Massimo Castaldo, a true democrat, champion of human rights and a friend of Pakistan. He is one of those young and vibrant political leade
Published 31 Dec, 2019 12:00am
The first IMF review
Articles

The first IMF review

The first IMF Review on a quarterly basis has been completed of the three-year Extended Fund Facility to Pakistan. The second installment of approximately $450 million has also been received. The Government must be pleased for having met all the six perfo
Updated 01 Jan, 2020 07:56am
IMF's first review
Articles

IMF's first review

The first quarterly review report of the twenty-third International Monetary Fund (IMF) programme for Pakistan was uploaded on its website on 23 December, four days after Board approval that is a requirement for a tranche release prompting Pakistan's econ
Updated 30 Dec, 2019 06:10am
A movement unstoppable?
Articles

A movement unstoppable?

"Those who make peaceful revolution impossible, make violent revolution inevitable", JF Kennedy. Kashmir protests have now become India protests. From Delhi to Bhopal and from Kanpur to Goa streets are full of people aghast at Modi's audacity. Modi's reac
Updated 30 Dec, 2019 06:33am
The 'lathi': India's colonial vintage anti-protest weapon
Articles

The 'lathi': India's colonial vintage anti-protest weapon

As Indian protests against a new citizenship law have intensified, so has police use of "lathis", sturdy sticks used to whack, thwack and quell dissent since British colonial times - to sometimes deadly effect. At least 27 people have died in the past two
Published 30 Dec, 2019 12:00am
Dealing with the energy mess
Articles

Dealing with the energy mess

I have been saying for long that the energy sector mess alone can drag the economy down to abyss. The IMF in its latest review is giving a similar picture. The circular debt in the energy chain increased from Rs465 billion in 2013 to Rs1.7 trillion.
Updated 29 Dec, 2019 08:45am
India's protests: why now?
Articles

India's protests: why now?

Mumbai-based copywriter Sarah Syed says she was long alarmed by the Hindu nationalist direction of India under Prime Minister Narendra Modi but felt powerless to stop it - until now. Like many others taking part in the current wave of protests, the final
Published 29 Dec, 2019 12:00am
Survivors tell of France's 'dirty war' in Cameroon independence
Articles

Survivors tell of France's 'dirty war' in Cameroon independence

It was a "dirty war" waged by French colonial troops but it never made headlines and even today goes untold in school history books. The brutal conflict unfolded in Cameroon, which on January 1 marks its 60th anniversary of independence - the first of 17
Published 29 Dec, 2019 12:00am
Fury grows after protest deaths in Indian Muslim neighbourhood
Articles

Fury grows after protest deaths in Indian Muslim neighbourhood

Zaheer Ahmed had just returned home from work in northern India last Friday afternoon and stepped out for a smoke before lunch. Minutes later, he was dead, shot in the head. His death, and the killing by gunfire of four other Muslim men the same afternoon
Published 28 Dec, 2019 12:00am
De-politicising interest rates - I
Articles

De-politicising interest rates - I

The latest meeting of SBP policy rate committee, also known as Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) in November once again decided to hold the policy rate at 13.25%, inspite of political and non-political (gurus, media and trade lobbies) pressure on SBP to low
Published 28 Dec, 2019 12:00am
Ex post facto accountability
Articles

Ex post facto accountability

In times, when a major feud between two contestants was settled through a sword fight, if one of them fell down in the fight with the sword dislodged, the opponent would patiently wait for the fallen one to pick up the sword ready to fight back. This is c
Updated 28 Dec, 2019 05:08am
Don't grow?
Articles

Don't grow?

If there is one global ranking that Pakistan will surely top hands down, than it is the one for most potatoes in a year; due credit to an anonymous chap on Tweeter, and to understand what the ranking is all about, translate potato into Urdu.
Updated 28 Dec, 2019 05:12am
Nissan orders big spending cuts
Articles

Nissan orders big spending cuts

Japan's Nissan Motor Co has told its managers to slash non-essential spending as the automaker grapples with slumping car sales and tumbling profits, three company sources with knowledge of the matter told Reuters.
Published 28 Dec, 2019 12:00am
Conflict in IMF programme
Articles

Conflict in IMF programme

The report on the first review of the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) programme was launched by International Monetary Fund (IMF) recently, through which it expressed its satisfaction with the progress of the programme; releasing in turn a tranche to Pakista
Updated 27 Dec, 2019 09:02am
More Giddu Bandars, anyone?
Articles

More Giddu Bandars, anyone?

December was full of surprises but not surprising. We have to wait for the denouement of play called 'Institutions'. Curious tales in the twist are sure to follow; twists that could well make our real estate Mogul's unexplained wealth (frozen by UK's NCA)
Updated 27 Dec, 2019 09:07am
Shadows of fiscal stabilisation on trade and investment
Articles

Shadows of fiscal stabilisation on trade and investment

The most frequent term used in recent weeks called as "stabilisation" surely has a reassuring reflection on External Accounts of Pakistan after implementation of IMF stabilisation programme. However, trade and investment in the country is still, by and la
Published 26 Dec, 2019 12:00am
Glittering symbol of press, Newseum set to close its doors
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Glittering symbol of press, Newseum set to close its doors

Just steps from the US Capitol, the Newseum's gleaming glass-and-steel structure has for over a decade been a shining symbol for the press and free expression. But in a reflection of the woes facing the US media industry - which is itself struggling finan
Updated 27 Dec, 2019 09:18am
IMF no solution?
Articles

IMF no solution?

Pakistan will be entering the new calendar year with inflation and interest rates in double digit; growth rates both in agriculture and manufacturing declining, in fact the large scale manufacturing is experiencing negative growth to the tune of almost se
Updated 26 Dec, 2019 07:17pm
Be 'gas-wise' this winter
Articles

Be 'gas-wise' this winter

Pishin, Balochistan: After attending a wedding in Quetta, Asad Khan and his family returned home. Exhausted after a one-and-a-half hours journey by road, Khan and his family started preparing for bed to be up early next morning for work. Before tucking in
Published 25 Dec, 2019 12:00am
Fall in industrial output
Articles

Fall in industrial output

The fall in output of the large-scale manufacturing sector has become pervasive and persistent in nature. Given the strong backward and forward linkages of this sector with other sectors of the national economy this does not auger well for GDP growth in 2
Updated 24 Dec, 2019 06:07am
Framework for a sustainable economic future
Articles

Framework for a sustainable economic future

Pakistan is unique in many ways and possesses many attributes which should have made it an economic and political powerhouse. We possess immense potential in terms of natural resources, a budding youth population with potential to form an energetic workfo
Updated 24 Dec, 2019 09:56am
It's a dog's life
Articles

It's a dog's life

This story starts in Dallas, Texas. I don't travel much now - having spent part of my professional life on the Wright Brothers' invention. Hurtling along at 30,000 feet in an aluminum cylinder is not much fun. Despite the creature comforts and the comely
Published 24 Dec, 2019 12:00am
Human Development Report 2019
Articles

Human Development Report 2019

Pakistan was ranked 152 out of 189 countries on Human Development Index (HDI) as per the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) annual report. The index measures long-term progress on life expectancy, knowledge (number of years of schooling) and stan
Updated 23 Dec, 2019 06:51am
Modi's fascist secularism
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Modi's fascist secularism

"Arrogance is a killer,": Jack Welch. This statement from a World Corporate Guru is surely not just a good feel quote. This is true. When you see many world leaders around, you may question its pragmatism. Modi defenders, and there are many, will dismiss
Updated 23 Dec, 2019 07:01am
As US Congress delays on privacy, California law in focus
Articles

As US Congress delays on privacy, California law in focus

As US lawmakers head home without agreeing on consumer privacy legislation, a new California law is set to become the de facto national standard, potentially leaving consumers and businesses confused over rules for personal data collection and protection.
Updated 23 Dec, 2019 07:09am
'Unlocking exports'
Articles

'Unlocking exports'

In his op-ed titled "The only way forward: Unlocking exports" carried by Business Recorder yesterday, Ali Khizar has made a sardonic comment on the present government's approach to economic challenges. He seemed to have reached the conclusion that
Updated 23 Dec, 2019 07:49am
Chinese education diplomacy
Articles

Chinese education diplomacy

A record number of 4.8 million international students were enrolled in different Chinese institutions in 2019. Previously in 2000, only 0.5 million international students opted to study in China. The inbound and outbound academia-related migration is not
Published 22 Dec, 2019 12:00am
The only way forward: Unlocking exports
Articles

The only way forward: Unlocking exports

Pakistan economy is like an old car - it runs smoothly at slow pace and causes trouble at higher speed. The ADB in a recent working paper described this condition in terms of numbers. The paper estimates the balance of payment constrained growth at 3.8 pe
Updated 23 Dec, 2019 08:03am
Power sector
Articles

Power sector

The incumbent government adopted a focused and realistic strategy to tackle the gross mis-governance in the power sector and some success has been achieved in terms of improvements in receivables and arrest of power theft.
Updated 21 Dec, 2019 07:43am
How to grow
Articles

How to grow

Based on my limited experience of world economies, and based on other people's research, there does not exist a single recipe for growth. And recipe is the right world; given the right instructions even an idiot can boil an egg; unfortunately, however, no
Updated 21 Dec, 2019 07:59am
Protesters tweet and TikTok but New Delhi shows stubbornness
Articles

Protesters tweet and TikTok but New Delhi shows stubbornness

With the world's cheapest data, young Indians have lapped up Facebook, TikTok and WhatsApp. But when these toys are used as tools to organise protests or fuel unrest, the government gets scared. India is the world leader when it comes to cutting off acces
Updated 21 Dec, 2019 08:28am
Anything but a traitor ...
Articles

Anything but a traitor ...

Perhaps, never before in the last 72 years of our existence have we made our neighbor as much happy as we have done in the last eight weeks. We gave Diwali and post-Diwali presents to the Indians, who were first jubilant on the manner in which our current
Updated 21 Dec, 2019 08:33am
2020: main fiscal challenges
Articles

2020: main fiscal challenges

"An unusual decline in revenue collection and steep rise in current expenditures caused a deterioration in all major fiscal indicators during FY19. The overall budget deficit during the year stood at a historic high of 8.9 percent of GDP, which was also i
Updated 20 Dec, 2019 04:57am
A regulatory framework for Pakistan Railways - III
Articles

A regulatory framework for Pakistan Railways - III

Regulation is basically done through tools called 'regulatory instruments' where it is essential that proper mandate in this regard is provided in the underlying legislation that establishes the regulator of railways. The mandate should be in the shape of
Updated 20 Dec, 2019 05:24am
The Brits who won't Brexit
Articles

The Brits who won't Brexit

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson won a thumping election victory last week on a campaign to "get Brexit done," but not before some wealthy donors to his Conservative Party quietly took steps to stay inside the European Union.
Updated 20 Dec, 2019 05:34am
Police in full view
Articles

Police in full view

The Punjab Institute of Cardiology (PIC) rampage was more than a macabre act of certain insensitive specimens in black. It could be their idea of 'fun' that teetered over the bend, or a grotesque demonstration of 'one for all and all for one'. But it did
Updated 20 Dec, 2019 06:47am
Citizenship fears fuel anger among India's Muslims
Articles

Citizenship fears fuel anger among India's Muslims

Habib-ur-Rehman was locked up for four years after failing to prove he's Indian, and now worries he may be expelled. It's a fear shared by other Muslims under Hindu nationalist Prime Minister Narendra Modi. In recent days these worries have morphed into a
Updated 20 Dec, 2019 07:01am
Where's the risk? US fund managers bet on bull run in 2020
Articles

Where's the risk? US fund managers bet on bull run in 2020

With the UK election results giving some certainty to the Brexit process, a US-China trade deal all but signed and the Federal Reserve signaling that it will stand steady for the foreseeable future, there are three fewer hurdles standing in the way of glo
Published 19 Dec, 2019 12:00am
Tackling corruption globally
Articles

Tackling corruption globally

Corruption is an unavoidable side-effect that a society necessarily suffers from when it practises a no-holds-barred free market economy along with electoral democracy. Civilised societies do succeed, to some extent, in keeping the side-effects to a minim
Updated 18 Dec, 2019 07:54am
Sales Tax refunds: the fiasco unfolding
Articles

Sales Tax refunds: the fiasco unfolding

Since the 1st of July this year, an across the board sales tax of 17% has been imposed on most manufactured items. The exports which are "zero rated" all over the world are supposed to be zero rated in our country also. So the government has announced tha
Updated 18 Dec, 2019 08:02am
Exports: key to sustainable economy
Articles

Exports: key to sustainable economy

It is encouraging to see evidence that Pakistan is on the road to recovery in terms of economic stability and growth. With a26% quantitative increase in textile exports, the first current account surplus in decades amounting to $20 million, and a place am
Updated 17 Dec, 2019 10:04am
Human development in Pakistan
Articles

Human development in Pakistan

The Global Human Development Report (GHDR) of the UNDP was released recently in Islamabad. This report constructs a Human Development Index (HDI) for 189 countries. This ranking of countries has emerged as a key measure of the level of development in rela
Updated 17 Dec, 2019 09:24am
Economic predictions
Articles

Economic predictions

Predictions on the movement of key macroeconomic indicators based on policies under consideration/implementation are the norm as they provide a clear path to achieving specified desired targets. Multilateral agencies as and when they provide loans to supp
Updated 16 Dec, 2019 05:43am
Reversing the brain drain
Articles

Reversing the brain drain

Tania Adrius is back in Pakistan. This news has caught the media by storm in Pakistan. Why? Because very few top-notch Pakistanis working in top global companies leave it all for their country. Not entirely true. Many lesser known patriotic overseas Pakis
Updated 16 Dec, 2019 06:22am
In search of productive investment
Articles

In search of productive investment

It's an established fact that investment is low in Pakistan. With low investment, the deployment of capital is in less productive sectors. The economic returns in terms of employment generation and production efficiencies are sub-optimal. The barriers to
Updated 16 Dec, 2019 06:39am
'Brexit election' raises hopes and fears in Northern Ireland
Articles

'Brexit election' raises hopes and fears in Northern Ireland

Prime Minister Boris Johnson's crushing election victory gives Britain a chance to move past years of gridlock over Brexit - especially in Northern Ireland, where social and political divides run deep. "We're leaving limbo," said Orlaith McKeever, prepari
Updated 16 Dec, 2019 06:44am
UN expert report unmasks Libya arms embargo violations
Articles

UN expert report unmasks Libya arms embargo violations

From buying an Irish navy boat re-registered as a "pleasure yacht" to enlisting a Canadian firm to recruit Sudanese fighters - Libya's warring parties are running rings around a UN arms embargo. That's the upshot of a near-400-page report published this w
Published 15 Dec, 2019 12:00am
Economy on the move
Articles

Economy on the move

A number of global institutions has described country's current economic progress as satisfactory and encouraging. The Director General Central and West Asia, Asian Development Bank, Werner Liepach, on a visit to Pakistan last week, lauded the steps taken
Updated 14 Dec, 2019 08:04am
Looking good
Articles

Looking good

"Looking goof Billy Ray!" Louis, "Feeling good Louis!" Billy Ray-quotes from one of my favorite comedy movies of yester years, "Trading Places". With a very heavy heart, because of extenuating circumstances, the decision this week was to take a break from
Updated 14 Dec, 2019 07:37am
How Boris Johnson's election gamble paid off
Articles

How Boris Johnson's election gamble paid off

It was a straight forward message: "Get Brexit done." The mantra of British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and his Conservative Party during the national election campaign was aimed at harnessing voter frustration at a parliamentary logjam over Britain's ex
Updated 14 Dec, 2019 08:34am
World Bank-funded tax reforms
Articles

World Bank-funded tax reforms

The World Bank (WB), in an appraisal paper related to Pakistan Raises Revenue (PRR) has termed "vested interests lobbying for tax exemptions, internal tensions and wariness of change among the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) staff, and potential disputes a
Published 13 Dec, 2019 12:00am
A regulatory framework for Pakistan Railways - II
Articles

A regulatory framework for Pakistan Railways - II

Pakistan Railways (PR) has been working more or less like a monopoly with very little participation of private sector. Hence, there is very little competition being faced by PR. In these circumstances, it should be the responsibility of the proposed Econo
Published 13 Dec, 2019 12:00am
Chinese businesses boost self-reliance as trade war rolls on
Articles

Chinese businesses boost self-reliance as trade war rolls on

Whether Beijing and Washington reach a trade deal or not, China is already speeding up efforts to break its reliance on a country that is one of its biggest economic partners but also its biggest adversary. The effort has gained greater urgency for Beijin
Updated 14 Dec, 2019 08:47am
US Army will fund rare earths plant for weapons development
Articles

US Army will fund rare earths plant for weapons development

The US Army plans to fund construction of rare earths processing facilities, part of an urgent push by Washington to secure domestic supply of the minerals used to make military weapons and electronics, according to a government document seen by Reuters.
Published 12 Dec, 2019 12:00am
Refunds delayed is justice denied
Articles

Refunds delayed is justice denied

In Naya Pakistan you have to thank those who sit on your money and return it, in dribs and drabs, as and when it suits them. But lest you should forget, when you get your money back you have to make a public announcement of your gratitude by taking out an
Published 12 Dec, 2019 12:00am
High interest rates, low investments
Articles

High interest rates, low investments

Sustainable technology and Industry 4.0-enabled technologies, most recently presented at the ITMA 2019 in Barcelona, Spain, are taking the global textile industry by storm. The tech world is rapidly moving forward and R&D in textile machinery continues to
Updated 12 Dec, 2019 05:09am
Education challenge
Articles

Education challenge

It is time we declared education emergency in the country. In fact, we should have done this yesterday. An estimated 25 million of our schoolgoing children are out there on the streets or are already earning their keep for their families. Tragedy is, most
Updated 11 Dec, 2019 06:19am
FY19: FBR's dismal performance - II
Articles

FY19: FBR's dismal performance - II

Wholesale and retail trade sectors together paid Rs 48.2 billion: Large retail trade (Rs 7.9 billion), small retail trade (Rs 9.7 billion) and wholesale trade (Rs 25.1 billion).
Published 11 Dec, 2019 12:00am
Rising poverty
Articles

Rising poverty

The measurement of the number of poor in Pakistan has relied on different approaches. The most commonly used method is to derive a poverty line and determine the extent to which the per capita consumption expenditure of a family falls below this poverty l
Updated 10 Dec, 2019 05:24am
Hot money - the giant killer
Articles

Hot money - the giant killer

Over the years, persistent low investment rate is a worrying sign for Pakistan, and it has become challenging to compete with the emerging and developing economies, which are growing with much faster pace, making it an uphill task for the country. Structu
Updated 10 Dec, 2019 05:34am
External debt trap: the way out?
Articles

External debt trap: the way out?

Pakistan Tehrik-i-Insaaf (PTI) in government has taken a u-turn on several of its pre-election manifesto pledges in its sixteen months in power with the prime minister publicly acknowledging that he became the prime minister by taking a u-turn, perhaps a
Updated 10 Dec, 2019 06:39am
The 'knowledge factory'
Articles

The 'knowledge factory'

China is the world's manufacturing factory. However, the game is changing in China and most countries may not really know what to do when the full impact of this mass production converting to mass innovation takes place.
Updated 10 Dec, 2019 09:40am
Trump trial to sideline senators in presidential race
Articles

Trump trial to sideline senators in presidential race

Donald Trump's impeachment would not only trigger an extraordinary US Senate trial, it would ensnare - with potentially ruinous results - several of the candidates aiming to defeat the president at a critical time in the 2020 election process.
Published 08 Dec, 2019 12:00am
In search of exporting FDI
Articles

In search of exporting FDI

State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) governor Dr Reza Baqir lately said that focusing on export can take the country out of the boom bust cycle. That is a right approach as import compression is a stop-gap solution to avert the balance of payment crisis. Now with
Published 08 Dec, 2019 12:00am
UK election: parties take battle for ideas to social media
Articles

UK election: parties take battle for ideas to social media

At a dingy office space in north London, around 60 Labour activists busied themselves recently with the basics of modern campaigning before next week's general election. Far from traditional door-to-door canvassing, they were deployed on social media - a
Published 08 Dec, 2019 12:00am
Arbitration challenge
Articles

Arbitration challenge

How does Pakistan perform in international courts of justice? The answer is: it doesn't perform well. At least two cases strongly reflect successive Pakistani governments' approach to global litigation.
Published 07 Dec, 2019 12:00am
Neo
Articles

Neo

Imaginative, eye catching, column titles are good for business; but seriously those of you expecting a discussion on the Matrix trilogy, come on give me a break, this is a business publication!
Published 07 Dec, 2019 12:00am
Partly Facetious : 'Abdul Public'?
Articles

Partly Facetious : 'Abdul Public'?

"The Khan reckons that all is well and the problem is the failure of around 20 plus disseminators, read those dealing with the media, unable to convey to Abdul Public that his administration is doing an exemplary job in all areas of government activity an
Updated 06 Dec, 2019 07:07am
FY19: FBR's dismal performance - I
Articles

FY19: FBR's dismal performance - I

An unusual decline in revenue collection and a steep rise in current expenditures caused a deterioration in all major fiscal indicators during FY19. The overall budget deficit during the year stood at a historic high of 8.9 percent of GDP, which was also
Updated 06 Dec, 2019 07:21am
A regulatory framework for Pakistan Railways - I
Articles

A regulatory framework for Pakistan Railways - I

Pakistan Railways (PR) is a state-owned enterprise (SOE) under the Ministry of Railways (MoR). While up till the 1970s it operated as the main mode of transportation, both in terms of freight and passenger transport, but over the years since then, its det
Updated 06 Dec, 2019 07:19am
Inequality: the gaping hole in IMF template
Articles

Inequality: the gaping hole in IMF template

There is general consensus that the IMF programme is disruptive but necessary. Also, now that we are in it we should see it through. We need to fix our fiscal and external accounts before we can go for sustained growth. Growth driven by the politically ex
Updated 05 Dec, 2019 09:15am
Infrastructure development and innovative finance
Articles

Infrastructure development and innovative finance

Quality, sustainable and climate resilient infrastructure is a pre-requisite for accelerating and ensuring stability and equity of economic growth and social development. Over the years, infrastructure gap in Pakistan has grown to a great extent. Opportun
Updated 05 Dec, 2019 11:14am
Pakistan capital market reforms: The road ahead - II
Articles

Pakistan capital market reforms: The road ahead - II

Front-line regulator cost compensation: It should be noted that the primary objective of PSX, i.e., facilitating capital formation in the country, cannot really be achieved unless there is thriving trading activity that allows fair price discovery and suf
Updated 04 Dec, 2019 06:45am
In the world of knowledge economy
Articles

In the world of knowledge economy

We are almost in the midst of the age of knowledge economy. All around us, especially in our immediate east and up north, it is the knowledge economy that is driving progress and development. In Europe, North America and East Asia knowledge economy is lea
Updated 04 Dec, 2019 06:17am
Students' mobilization
Articles

Students' mobilization

An unprecedented in recent times countrywide mobilisation of students across the state-run and private elite institutions of higher education was witnessed on November 29, 2019. Some 60 cities and towns all over the country became the site of protest rall
Updated 03 Dec, 2019 09:19am
Understatement of the rate of inflation
Articles

Understatement of the rate of inflation

Pakistan has been experiencing double-digit inflation after a gap of eight years. This has motivated the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics to change the base year of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) from 2007-08 to 2015-16 so as to be able to monitor inflationa
Updated 03 Dec, 2019 05:51am
CPEC: Good or bad for Pakistan?
Articles

CPEC: Good or bad for Pakistan?

Ambassador Alice Wells, a frequent visitor to Pakistan in her capacity as Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for South and Central Asia, made some remarks at the renowned Woodrow Wilson Center on China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) that were promptly
Updated 02 Dec, 2019 05:01am
Intolerance without boundaries
Articles

Intolerance without boundaries

Intolerance does not have a religion; it is a state of mind and conduct existing in all countries and societies in different degrees. It is also a basic inhuman trait easily adopted by humans. Intolerance is supposed to be part of an extremist mindset. An
Updated 02 Dec, 2019 06:06am
No clear flight plan for Alitalia after rescue stalls
Articles

No clear flight plan for Alitalia after rescue stalls

Efforts to save loss-making Alitalia have reached an impasse after months of unsuccessful negotiations with potential buyers, leaving Italy's government undecided on the next move. The struggling carrier, which has been under special administration since
Updated 02 Dec, 2019 06:33am
The challenge of HCV and HBV
Articles

The challenge of HCV and HBV

Pakistan, a country where more than 15 million people are living with hepatitis B or C, is estimated to invest 3 billion dollars in efforts to eliminate the hepatitis C virus (HCV) and hepatitis B virus (HBV) by 2030. With the increasing number of tests a
Updated 02 Dec, 2019 09:30am
Rethink public accountability
Articles

Rethink public accountability

Last week, at a conference on innovative finance, Planning Minister Asad Umar commented on a question on risks associated with public private partnership (PPP) projects that when bad decisions are equated with criminal intent, the appetite of bureaucracy
Updated 02 Dec, 2019 06:36am
Demos and deals as Black Friday sweeps Europe
Articles

Demos and deals as Black Friday sweeps Europe

Climate activists staged protests across Europe on Friday to denounce the environmental toll of mass consumption, while shoppers hit the streets and the internet as retailers of all stripes touted pre-holiday bargains. The American "Black Friday" traditio
Published 01 Dec, 2019 12:00am
There's need to conserve gas
Articles

There's need to conserve gas

'Winter is coming' became a popular slogan from an English TV show for a number of years. However, it very aptly describes the situation that awaits Pakistani citizens, especially those residing in the northern areas. The arrival of the winter accompanies
Published 01 Dec, 2019 12:00am
Amid 'air apocalypse', mask-clad Lahore looks for answers
Articles

Amid 'air apocalypse', mask-clad Lahore looks for answers

When black smoke from burning rice stubble in nearby India swept into Lahore - one of Pakistan's largest and wealthiest cities - earlier this month, outraged residents declared an "air apocalypse" and the provincial government shut down schools.
Updated 30 Nov, 2019 06:52am
CPEC: Perception vs reality
Articles

CPEC: Perception vs reality

The trade war between China and the US is no longer limited to the two leading global economies, it has affected economies of Europe and is now influencing those of Asia. The other day, US Assistant Secretary of State Alice Wells, speaking at the Woodrow
Updated 30 Nov, 2019 06:37am
Strongman
Articles

Strongman

As to why this article is titled strongman, kindly read the last week's column; admittedly this may be an attempt to market my column, but hey, don't hold that against me. Everyone does that!
Updated 30 Nov, 2019 06:39am
Challenges on judicial front
Articles

Challenges on judicial front

The judiciary worked tirelessly to provide justice to the people with less resources. 3,100 judges worked hard and decided 3.6 million cases in a year. Judiciary decides all the cases on merit and does not differentiate between the rich and poor-Chief Jus
Updated 29 Nov, 2019 07:17am
Extirpate the income tax
Articles

Extirpate the income tax

The tax laws in Pakistan are flawed to a certain extent. There isn't a Pakistani who leads a life devoid from paying their fair share of taxes. There is tax on each and every commodity that a consumer consumes. There is tax on a can of soda, there is a ta
Updated 29 Nov, 2019 07:19am
There is room at the top
Articles

There is room at the top

We have no idea what the Maulana came to Islamabad for and what he went back with. No dearth of theories there, but none that are granulated with good evidence or credible accounts.
Updated 28 Nov, 2019 11:18am
Pakistan capital market reforms: The road ahead - I
Articles

Pakistan capital market reforms: The road ahead - I

With the Pakistan stock market rebounding over the last several weeks there is a sense of euphoria amongst market participants. And rightly so, as the long doldrums in the market appears to be over and improved macroeconomic fundamentals get factored into
Updated 28 Nov, 2019 11:20am
Blood Money
Articles

Blood Money

Some professions are directly linked to injury, or early death. In the late 1960s a family friend was a squadron leader in the Pakistan Air Force. He used to fly surveillance missions in the Northern Areas - where the Himalayas and the Hindu Kush meet. Th
Updated 28 Nov, 2019 11:25am
New Cold War?
Articles

New Cold War?

Both Pakistan and China have given a fitting reply to the uncalled for and ill-informed US criticism of and objection to the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). But more than the CPEC, the US appears to be too wary of China's One Belt One Road (OBOR)
Published 27 Nov, 2019 12:00am
What constitutes a responsible government?
Articles

What constitutes a responsible government?

A government is the most effective instrument contrived by the mankind to secure general welfare, blessings of liberties and happiness. To achieve all these ideals an efficient government needs to be installed as provided by the constitution and conventio
Published 27 Nov, 2019 12:00am
Pre-requisite for enhancing textile exports: long-term policy
Articles

Pre-requisite for enhancing textile exports: long-term policy

Pakistan was once the leading textile exporter and was considered the most efficient and technically advanced textile sector in the region. The sector gradually started losing its shine in the last two decades. The foremost reason behind this decline was
Published 27 Nov, 2019 12:00am
New Tariff Policy - a formidable challenge
Articles

New Tariff Policy - a formidable challenge

Federal Cabinet has approved National Tariff Policy 2019-24 to be implemented in a period of five years starting from the Budget 2020-21. Easy passing a policy but harder to put it in action. It is a major development to reduce the anti-export bias in our
Published 26 Nov, 2019 12:00am
Partly Facetious : 'NP' discrimination
Articles

Partly Facetious : 'NP' discrimination

"If I have a legal problem then I listen to my lawyer, if there is a medical problem I listen to the doctor, and if my tooth is hurting I go to the dentist..."
Published 26 Nov, 2019 12:00am
The downside of Pakistan's economy
Articles

The downside of Pakistan's economy

The government has recently been making frequent positive statements about on-going developments in the economy. Rightfully, success in the process of stabilization has been highlighted. The current account in the balance of payments was transformed into
Published 26 Nov, 2019 12:00am
War of words on CPEC
Articles

War of words on CPEC

US Assistant Secretary of State for South Asia Alice Wells virtually put the cat amongst the pigeons in a speech at the Wilson Center in Washington on November 22, 2019 in which she cautioned and warned Pakistan about the pitfalls of the China Pakistan Ec
Published 26 Nov, 2019 12:00am
Good or bad news on state of economy
Articles

Good or bad news on state of economy

Prime Minister Imran Khan has repeatedly appreciated the efforts of his economic team, led by Dr Hafeez Sheikh his Advisor on Finance and Dr Reza Baqir, Governor State Bank of Pakistan (SBP); more recently he gloated about the current account surplus, to
Updated 25 Nov, 2019 05:42am
100 days of imprisonment
Articles

100 days of imprisonment

100 days and running. In fact, stampeding. Kashmir remains under siege. Kashmir remains a civilization shutdown. Kashmir remains a land with no laws. Kashmir remains in news but with such stale familiarity of the state of oppression that futility is in da
Updated 25 Nov, 2019 06:59am
Catalysing change for gender equality
Articles

Catalysing change for gender equality

Great strides have been taken to empower women and girls in the Asia-Pacific region since the Fourth World Conference on Women in Beijing adopted an ambitious global agenda to achieve gender equality twenty-five years ago.Gender parity has been achieved i
Updated 25 Nov, 2019 07:17am
Good or bad news on state of economy
Articles

Good or bad news on state of economy

Prime Minister Imran Khan has repeatedly appreciated the efforts of his economic team, led by Dr Hafeez Sheikh his Advisor on Finance and Dr Reza Baqir, Governor State Bank of Pakistan (SBP); more recently he gloated about the current account surplus, to
Updated 25 Nov, 2019 10:52am
100 days of imprisonment
Articles

100 days of imprisonment

100 days and running. In fact, stampeding. Kashmir remains under siege. Kashmir remains a civilization shutdown. Kashmir remains a land with no laws. Kashmir remains in news but with such stale familiarity of the state of oppression that futility is in da
Updated 25 Nov, 2019 11:15am
Catalysing change for gender equality
Articles

Catalysing change for gender equality

Great strides have been taken to empower women and girls in the Asia-Pacific region since the Fourth World Conference on Women in Beijing adopted an ambitious global agenda to achieve gender equality twenty-five years ago.Gender parity has been achieved i
Updated 25 Nov, 2019 11:50am
C/A: Myths and realities
Articles

C/A: Myths and realities

"Damned if you do, damned if you don't," someone who should be credited for having current account surplus rightly said on the so-called media bashing upon having one-month current account surplus after four years. A few months back everyone was saying th
Published 24 Nov, 2019 12:00am
In quest of renewable power policy
Articles

In quest of renewable power policy

The use of fossil fuel is still the dominant source of power generation that accounts for around 65% globally. However, the tilt in favour of renewable resources is changing at a much faster pace than what was envisaged in the last decade. The driving for
Published 24 Nov, 2019 12:00am
Bombshell GM lawsuit has bribes, backdoor schemes
Articles

Bombshell GM lawsuit has bribes, backdoor schemes

General Motors' bombshell lawsuit against Fiat Chrysler reads like a crime novel, with jaw-dropping bribes, a custom-made Italian watch, and splurges on a luxury wedding and $7,000 feasts at upscale restaurants.
Published 24 Nov, 2019 12:00am
Herculean effort required
Articles

Herculean effort required

Prime Minister Imran Khan has hit nail on the head as he is reported to have stated that the manner in which the country is being run cannot lead to progress. He has also said the country will face severe financial difficulties if steps are not taken towa
Updated 23 Nov, 2019 07:41am
Intolerance
Articles

Intolerance

Approximately 3 to 4 years ago, sitting with a few friends at Bantas, I made a prediction, which practice, by the way, I generally shun, that by 2050, the world would have reverted to Monarchy, and democracy will have been buried. The obvious related effe
Updated 23 Nov, 2019 08:40am
Improving export performance
Articles

Improving export performance

Over the last 3 decades the export performance of Pakistan has remained abysmal as compared to other countries in the region with similar dynamics. The economy faced many internal and external challenges like currency devaluation, high cost of doing busin
Updated 22 Nov, 2019 05:19am
Foreign-funded tax reforms
Articles

Foreign-funded tax reforms

Fiscal consolidation should be as growth-friendly as possible. In general, tax base-broadening reforms are identified as growth-oriented reforms. To the extent that they reduce distortions to economic decisions on work, saving, investment and consumption,
Updated 22 Nov, 2019 06:05am
Approaching optimal SEZs - II
Articles

Approaching optimal SEZs - II

Pakistan is indeed fortunate to be a part of one of the main projects in the shape of CPEC (China Pakistan Economic Corridor) under the overall Belt and Road Initiative (BRI); especially in terms of evolving special economic zones (SEZs). This is because
Updated 22 Nov, 2019 06:29am
US flexes muscles in Gulf to reassure allies
Articles

US flexes muscles in Gulf to reassure allies

A US aircraft carrier's passage through the Gulf is the latest demonstration of the superpower's enduring military presence in the Middle East aimed at reassuring allies, experts and officials say.
Updated 22 Nov, 2019 05:15am
Karachi, the resilient city
Articles

Karachi, the resilient city

Either Commissioner Karachi, the right honourable Iftikhar Shalwani, is grossly underworked, or is living on steroids. How else do you explain the enormous creativity, a child of hours of serious reflection, which goes into adorning Karachi with all those
Updated 21 Nov, 2019 06:42am
Flawed tax reforms agenda - II
Articles

Flawed tax reforms agenda - II

In fiscal year 2018-19, total payment, as per budget documents, on account of debt servicing, was Rs 1,987 billion against the budgeted figure of Rs 1,620 billion. Allocation for the current fiscal year is Rs 2,891 billion, 78 percent higher than last yea
Updated 21 Nov, 2019 07:03am
Profundity of financial statements
Articles

Profundity of financial statements

The national bourse, Pakistan Stock Exchange (the 'PSX') has around 534* companies listed on it with several others in the pipeline for obtaining listing courtesy of government's confidence building measures for businesses resulting in take-off of economy
Updated 21 Nov, 2019 10:11am
Leapfrogging into circular economy
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Leapfrogging into circular economy

Pakistan, especially its cities and most noticeably its economic capital, Karachi, is drowning under piles and piles of garbage rendering the job of clearing the mounting rubbish clutter an ever more difficult and costlier exercise. But what is an even mo
Updated 21 Nov, 2019 10:02am
Power sector: Shahid Sattar and Asad Abbas
Articles

Power sector: Shahid Sattar and Asad Abbas

Power shortages and high power tariffs in Pakistan have been at the root of many problems faced by the Pakistan economy; substantial reduction in the rate of GDP growth, economic stagnation, slow job creation, increasing unemployment, serious adverse impa
Published 20 Nov, 2019 12:00am
Market matters: Price index and home planner
Articles

Market matters: Price index and home planner

If current market per kg price of onion is Rs 100, tomato Rs 280, garlic and ginger each around Rs 70 per quarter of a kg, coriander and mint Rs 10 apiece, it is a great challenge to meet cost of two meals a day for the hungry and hand-to-mouth poor amid
Updated 21 Nov, 2019 10:23am
One hundred days of suffocation
Articles

One hundred days of suffocation

Last Tuesday, as I participated in the 550th birthday celebrations ceremony of Baba Guru Nanak Dev Ji at Janam Asthan, Nankana Sahib in solidarity with Sikhs around the world, millions of innocent people entered into 100th day of isolated confinement coup
Updated 19 Nov, 2019 10:37am
Partly Facetious: The end of his moustache is tad lower
Articles

Partly Facetious: The end of his moustache is tad lower

"I would just like to bring it to the notice of The Khan that all is not lost in spite of appallingly poor economic data with respect to what matters to the public - inflation, utility prices, unemployment levels, and he can still make amends and..."
Updated 19 Nov, 2019 10:30am
Shooting oneself in the foot, repeatedly
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Shooting oneself in the foot, repeatedly

The Pakistan Tehreek-i-Insaaf (PTI) government of Imran Khan has shown a rare talent for shooting itself in the foot again and again. The whole handling of the Nawaz Sharif health issue is the latest and perhaps most egregious example of this habit. Despi
Updated 19 Nov, 2019 10:33am
Lower GDP growth rate in 2018-19
Articles

Lower GDP growth rate in 2018-19

The economy has been in a state of 'stagflation' for over a year now. The GDP growth rate has fallen while there has been a spurt in the rate of inflation. What is not generally realized is how wide and deep the decline in value added or production is in
Updated 19 Nov, 2019 10:24am
IMF loan a bitter pill: the bitter truth
Articles

IMF loan a bitter pill: the bitter truth

Pakistan is a perennial borrower of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) reflected by the fact that in our 72-year history the ongoing programme is the 23rd with an average duration of 3 years each (the current one is for 39 months), though not all were
Updated 18 Nov, 2019 07:06am
ECO - A market unexplored
Articles

ECO - A market unexplored

The world is getting smaller. Countries are trying to be part of something bigger to enjoy scale economies. Cooperation creates more benefit than competition. That is why from having regional alliances to having trading bloc alliances, the world is becomi
Updated 18 Nov, 2019 07:12am
Afghan pomegranate growers squeezed as prices drop
Articles

Afghan pomegranate growers squeezed as prices drop

Pomegranate farmers in southern Afghanistan - where growing the juicy fruit is an important alternative to opium poppy production - say they are feeling the squeeze this year, with business blemished by chilly weather, pests and export woes.
Updated 18 Nov, 2019 07:16am
Prisoners of elitism
Articles

Prisoners of elitism

Last week Dr Hafeez Sheikh was under public scrutiny for being oblivion to the rising price of tomatoes - being a finance minister, he should have knowledge of rising prices when price hike is the biggest headache for the government. The issue that needs
Updated 18 Nov, 2019 08:53am
SECP accelerates technology-driven solutions
Articles

SECP accelerates technology-driven solutions

Recently, the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP) conducted an online survey to obtain feedback about its services delivery and to seek out suggestions from its stakeholders. Though an overwhelming majority shared their satisfaction with
Published 17 Nov, 2019 12:00am
Football diplomacy with Qatar hints at Saudi 'peace' effort
Articles

Football diplomacy with Qatar hints at Saudi 'peace' effort

A Saudi-led bloc's decision to play a football tournament in rival Qatar could herald a rapprochement after a two-year stand-off, and signal Riyadh is tempering its muscular approach that stoked regional crises. Gulf powerhouse Saudi Arabia has adopted an
Updated 18 Nov, 2019 10:46am
IMF Programme well on track
Articles

IMF Programme well on track

A staff mission of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) concluded its visit to Pakistan last week; it was all praise for authorities for over-performing on first quarter targets under the $6 billion Extended Fund Facility to pave the disbursement of $45
Updated 16 Nov, 2019 05:20am
Counting trees
Articles

Counting trees

The capacity of pundits to continue debating on the economy week on week is confounding if not irritating; the GDP growth may have improved, or fallen, by 0.001 % since last week, but so what?
Updated 16 Nov, 2019 06:53am
Approaching optimal SEZs - I
Articles

Approaching optimal SEZs - I

The government intends to pick up the pace on Special Economic Zones (SEZs). This indeed is important for infusing energy into the lacklustre performance of both large-scale manufacturing and the stubbornly low and undiversified exports. Moreover, this wi
Published 15 Nov, 2019 12:00am
NY exhibition 'details' 10-year hunt for Osama
Articles

NY exhibition 'details' 10-year hunt for Osama

With a model of the Pakistani villa where he lived and a video of Barack Obama explaining his hesitancy about approving the raid, a new exhibition details the operation that killed 9/11 mastermind Osama bin Laden.
Updated 15 Nov, 2019 10:16am
Flawed tax reforms agenda - I
Articles

Flawed tax reforms agenda - I

Prime Minister Imran Khan's address to the top officials of Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) on November 13, 2019 showed that his three-year-long tax reforms plan, approved on October 3, 2019, lacks proper homework, pragmatic research and solid planning. Af
Updated 15 Nov, 2019 10:40am
Outsourcing the Government
Articles

Outsourcing the Government

Commerce is our most important Ministry; or should be. The case for Commerce's paramountcy in government's pantheon is self-evident. Trade balance, the Achilles' heel of our economy, depends on how Commerce acts or doesn't. Without a major breakthrough in
Updated 14 Nov, 2019 09:25am
Doing business report and beyond - III
Articles

Doing business report and beyond - III

Individual aspects of the Index for 2019 highlight, among other things, that within rule of law, all three factors - property rights (with score 41.5, where all scores are graded on a scale of 0 to100; representing a situation of completely unfree and tot
Updated 14 Nov, 2019 09:01am
Trade replacing Terror
Articles

Trade replacing Terror

In our own geopolitical interests, it is about time Islamabad closed our geo-economic ranks with Afghanistan by establishing a free trade zone (FTZ) along the Durand Line rather than erecting fences to unduly distance Pakistan from one of its closest neig
Updated 13 Nov, 2019 07:45am
Opening the corridors to peace
Articles

Opening the corridors to peace

"The certain pathway to all things that you want is through the corridor of joy," Esther Hicks. Kartarpur corridor has the potential of bringing joy to millions of spiritual followers of Baba Guru Nanak. Can it also act as a corridor of joy and a bridge o
Updated 13 Nov, 2019 09:15am
IMF first programme review
Articles

IMF first programme review

The IMF has recently released a press note following the completion of the first Programme Review by the IMF Staff Mission in its visit to Pakistan. The good news is that the review was successfully completed and agreement was reached with the Authorities
Updated 12 Nov, 2019 08:39am
A medley of concerns
Articles

A medley of concerns

Surveying the national and regional landscape yields a plethora of issues of concern with profound implications for the future. Let us take up the regional aspect first.
Updated 12 Nov, 2019 10:22am
Dealing with the disconnect
Articles

Dealing with the disconnect

The JUI-F dharna is making things move. Those who were convicted by courts or scrutinized by law enforcement agencies, including NAB, are getting out mainly on medical grounds. The government is on an ordinance passing spree. The IMF first review has been
Updated 11 Nov, 2019 12:01pm
Why are Republicans hell-bent on exposing Trump whistleblower?
Articles

Why are Republicans hell-bent on exposing Trump whistleblower?

An aggressive push by President Donald Trump's Republican allies to unmask an anonymous whistleblower who ignited the impeachment inquiry could help shore up voter support for Trump, as Congress enters a critical new phase of televised hearings, party off
Published 09 Nov, 2019 12:00am
Welcome to Punjab: the birthplace of Guru Nanak
Articles

Welcome to Punjab: the birthplace of Guru Nanak

Nothing is more satisfying than to be remembered as a peace maker in the world. But, peace with honor and integrity must be prioritized when dealing with an unruly neighbour. Lately, Prime Minister Imran Khan has emerged as a peace-maker in the South Asia
Updated 09 Nov, 2019 07:36am
FATF and global Politics
Articles

FATF and global Politics

Rarely does China express its opinions on global politics vocally. But in the case of politicization of FATF, it has minced no words. It strongly expressed its indignation over the blatant display of politics in FATF and pointed towards the USA and India
Updated 09 Nov, 2019 07:33am
Cities
Articles

Cities

Perhaps one of the most difficult thing in column writing is to continue from where you left off the previous week; which by the way is a consequence of another difficulty column writers struggle with regularly, managing your thoughts in the allotted spac
Updated 09 Nov, 2019 07:36am
Sales tax on restaurants through Finance Act
Articles

Sales tax on restaurants through Finance Act

The imposition of 7.5% sales tax on restaurants through the Finance Act 2019 by the National Assembly, energetically defended by the Chairman of Federal Board of Revenue (FBR), is patently unconstitutional being in violation of Article 142 of the Constitu
Updated 08 Nov, 2019 08:33am
Doing business report and beyond - II
Articles

Doing business report and beyond - II

Unlike the Doing Business Report of the World Bank, which primarily focuses on business regulations, the report, 'Index of Economic Freedom', produced by the Heritage Foundation, estimates the overall economic freedom index (EFI) of a country, covering mu
Updated 08 Nov, 2019 08:51am
Aftermath of IMF programme: some recommendations
Articles

Aftermath of IMF programme: some recommendations

After a decade of economic mis-management and mis-governance by successive governments, Pakistan's economy has landed in dire straits. By June 2018, Pakistan faced a serious balance of payments challenge with current account deficit reaching an all-time h
Published 08 Nov, 2019 12:00am
Dismal saving and investment rates
Articles

Dismal saving and investment rates

Much of Pakistan's current economic crisis revolves around the low savings and investment rates. This is the primary reason why Pakistan has been unable to compete with rest of the dynamic Asian region which has recorded phenomenal economic progress in th
Published 07 Nov, 2019 12:00am
European factories at risk in Peugeot-Fiat merger
Articles

European factories at risk in Peugeot-Fiat merger

Fiat Chrysler and Peugeot owner PSA's pledge not to close factories if they merge is likely to come under heavy strain as the combined group would have spare production capacity of almost six million vehicles in a slowing autos market.
Published 06 Nov, 2019 12:00am
Promoting culture of political integrity
Articles

Promoting culture of political integrity

What happens when a politician writing a law on garbage disposal happens to own shares in a company that specializes in disposing of garbage? Or, if that company has donated millions to the ruling party's election campaign? Or, if it has paid lobbyists to
Published 06 Nov, 2019 12:00am
Saudis scramble to raise cash for Aramco share sale
Articles

Saudis scramble to raise cash for Aramco share sale

From tapping lenders to selling personal assets, Saudis are scrambling to raise cash to invest in Aramco stocks after the oil giant announced its blockbuster market debut even as it offered few listing details. After years of delay and false starts, the s
Published 06 Nov, 2019 12:00am
Growth in FBR Revenues
Articles

Growth in FBR Revenues

The outcome in terms of the level and growth of revenues collected by FBR up to October has been made public recently. Apparently, during the first four months of the current fiscal year these revenues have shown a growth rate of 16 percent. This growth r
Published 05 Nov, 2019 12:00am
Sarfaraz Ahmed: Captaincy obituary
Articles

Sarfaraz Ahmed: Captaincy obituary

Sarfaraz Ahmed's stint as captain has come to an end and it is highly probable that the same can be said for his international career. While the Pakistan team under a new management setup is occupied with the ongoing tour of Australia, Sarfaraz has been l
Updated 05 Nov, 2019 12:20pm
State-owned entities
Articles

State-owned entities

State-owned entities (SOEs) continue to be a source of serious concern to not only the Khan administration, like its predecessors, but also to international financial institutions engaged in Pakistan through programme/budget support and/or project financi
Updated 04 Nov, 2019 10:43am
Dark and darker in Kashmir
Articles

Dark and darker in Kashmir

Cut off. Clamped down. Caged. These are the words to describe the world's largest human prison. 27th October 1947 was commemorated as the Black Day in Indian Occupied Kashmir. 27th October 2019 will go down as darkness unprecedented in Kashmir. This is no
Published 04 Nov, 2019 12:00am
China gets into blockchain race with US
Articles

China gets into blockchain race with US

China has launched an ambitious effort to challenge the US dominance in blockchain technology, which it could use for everything from issuing digital money, to streamlining a raft of government services and tracking Communist Party loyalty.
Published 04 Nov, 2019 12:00am
Stabilisation to last longer
Articles

Stabilisation to last longer

Pressure is mounting on the PTI government to come up with pro-growth policies sooner than later. However, the IMF and SBP are probably thinking that stabilization has just started and it would be too early to ease any kind of fiscal or monetary policy fo
Published 03 Nov, 2019 12:00am
Sir Sultan Mahomed Shah: Enriching lives through education
Articles

Sir Sultan Mahomed Shah: Enriching lives through education

While making the inaugural speech at the All India Mohammedan Educational Conference of 1911, Sir Sultan Mahomed Shah stated, "In order to raise our people to their legitimate sphere of power, influence and usefulness, we must have a serviceable and exten
Published 02 Nov, 2019 12:00am
My friend Yusuf Shirazi
Articles

My friend Yusuf Shirazi

I know the late Yusuf Shirazi very well. He was one of my closest friends. We had been friends for more than 60 years. Our families were friends, our children have been friends and even our grand-children are friends.
Published 02 Nov, 2019 12:00am
Modi's India on a larger canvas - III
Articles

Modi's India on a larger canvas - III

Will India ever be a 'superpower' as it has long aspired to be? The answer lies in the following facts: The late Atal Behari Vajpayee, the then Prime Minister of India, once voiced his concern that India, a country of over a billion people with world's la
Published 02 Nov, 2019 12:00am
Getting it wrong
Articles

Getting it wrong

Notwithstanding that staying up to date in a world where you are constantly bombarded by all kinds of information, including fake information, is a huge hassle, with which one in any case continues to struggle; I however seem to be getting bogged down wit
Published 02 Nov, 2019 12:00am
Doing business report and beyond - I
Articles

Doing business report and beyond - I

The World Bank launched its annual flagship 'Doing Business 2020' report, 17th edition in the series, which compares/ranks 190 economies in terms of 'ease of doing business', covering data up to May 1, 2019; broadly across 12 business regulations with sub
Published 01 Nov, 2019 12:00am
SMEs constitute real engine of growth
Articles

SMEs constitute real engine of growth

Our economic policies have remained skewed towards large scale vertically integrated industry owned by eminent business tycoons with experience in strong lobbying and pressure tactics. They have been major beneficiaries of government's concessional polici
Published 01 Nov, 2019 12:00am
Fazl takes on Imran
Articles

Fazl takes on Imran

Prime Minister Imran Khan faces the first major challenge to his leadership this week as a grey-bearded, orange-turbaned rival he calls "Maulana Diesel" marches to Islamabad with thousands of his supporters hoping to bring down the government.
Published 31 Oct, 2019 12:00am
Fixing Pakistan Steel: Trick or treat?
Articles

Fixing Pakistan Steel: Trick or treat?

Was the Secretary Industries and Production in the Halloween mood when he informed the Senate Committee that the government proposed to revive the Steel Mills (PSM) by giving minority shares and management control to the private sector, "on the same patte
Updated 31 Oct, 2019 08:51am
Why do we borrow?
Articles

Why do we borrow?

Economic development is said to be about taking the difficult but necessary steps to achieve sustained growth. For example, increasing domestic savings is very difficult, but imperative, maintains Yao Yang in one of his articles (The open secret of develo
Updated 30 Oct, 2019 08:10am
The Easterlin Paradox
Articles

The Easterlin Paradox

The whole world is in search of prosperity. All around the globe, ministries of finance, central banks, prime ministers, and president, promise to deliver growth, and governments rise and fall depending on the rate of GDP growth that they were able to del
Updated 30 Oct, 2019 05:23am
Big drop in industrial production
Articles

Big drop in industrial production

The information on the Quantum Index of Manufacturing (QIM) for the month of August 2019 has just been released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics. This has raised alarm bells. There has been a sizeable drop in production by the large-scale manufacturin
Updated 29 Oct, 2019 06:49am
The March and its fallout
Articles

The March and its fallout

Maulana Fazlur Rehman's 'Azadi' (Freedom) March is off and running. Starting from Sohrab Goth in Karachi, the Jamiat-i-Ulema-i-Islam-Fazl's (JUI-F's) rally set off for upcountry on October 27, 2019 as scheduled. Other opposition parties, including the Pak
Updated 29 Oct, 2019 07:21am
Ease of doing business is not standalone
Articles

Ease of doing business is not standalone

The World Bank ranked Pakistan as one of the top 20 improvers in Doing Business 2019 with a 28 point improvement - from 136 to 108 out of 190 countries. Prime Minister Imran Khan promptly tweeted that, "another of our manifesto commitments fulfilled, this
Updated 28 Oct, 2019 07:01am
Diplomacy at its royal best
Articles

Diplomacy at its royal best

Pakistan is fantastic! What a tagline. Not made by a stale advertising company. Not made by an emotional Pakistani. Not made by a magnanimous Chinese or Turkish friend but by Her Royal Highness Duchess of Cambridge Kate Middleton. That too in her first-ev
Published 28 Oct, 2019 12:00am
Kashmir row sparks Malaysia, India palm oil tensions
Articles

Kashmir row sparks Malaysia, India palm oil tensions

Malaysia's mammoth palm oil sector faces a new threat after Indian traders were asked to halt purchases amid a diplomatic row over Indian-occupied Jammu and Kashmir, piling further pressure on the industry as Europe also plans cutbacks.
Published 28 Oct, 2019 12:00am
Mexican town turned to war zone fears new era of narco violence
Articles

Mexican town turned to war zone fears new era of narco violence

The bullet holes splashed across the walls are an unnerving reminder to residents of Culiacan: There is no telling when the narco violence that terrorized the Mexican city last week could return. People in Culiacan are used to living alongside drug traffi
Published 27 Oct, 2019 12:00am
High stakes for army as protests engulf Lebanon
Articles

High stakes for army as protests engulf Lebanon

It's one of the iconic images of Lebanon's protests: the tears of a soldier torn between his duty and a loving crowd - the same dilemma now facing the national army. An unprecedented, cross-sectarian protest movement demanding the removal of an entrenched
Published 27 Oct, 2019 12:00am
FATF: Complacency not an option
Articles

FATF: Complacency not an option

On the external front, there are two kinds of diverging sentiments growing - one is emanating from the IMF/WB where an improved macro picture is well received in DC. On the flipside, recently concluded FATF session in Paris is portraying a rather bleak pi
Updated 27 Oct, 2019 07:40am
Modi's India on a larger canvas - II
Articles

Modi's India on a larger canvas - II

In the 2014 general elections, the business elites in India decided to stand behind BJP-nominee Narendra Modi, expecting favourable business policies for their fraternity. BJP did deliver much on that expectation during a good part of its last tenure. The
Updated 26 Oct, 2019 05:22am
Not a problem
Articles

Not a problem

Lack of natural resources is not a problem; Pakistan is blessed that way.
Published 26 Oct, 2019 12:00am
Jordan's 25-year peace with Israel 'cold and getting colder'
Articles

Jordan's 25-year peace with Israel 'cold and getting colder'

Twenty-five years after the signing of a landmark peace treaty, ties between Jordan and Israel mirror the ebbs and flows of a turbulent region, while many Jordanians still regard the Jewish state as an "enemy". The Wadi Araba Treaty, inked on 26 October 1
Updated 25 Oct, 2019 08:24am
From cell to where? New US focus on home post-prison
Articles

From cell to where? New US focus on home post-prison

Spare rooms are no longer just for guests and Airbnb. The lucrative room-letting business has inspired a new way of housing ex-inmates as the United States tests a raft of innovations to ease prisoner release, when a place to call home is a top priority y
Updated 25 Oct, 2019 06:02am
IMF's flagship economic surveys and Pakistan
Articles

IMF's flagship economic surveys and Pakistan

Recently, two flagship surveys were released by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Firstly, the World Economic Outlook (WEO) which usually appears in April and September/October. It presents IMF staff economists' analyses of global economic developmen
Updated 25 Oct, 2019 07:03am
We believe what's drummed into us
Articles

We believe what's drummed into us

Why do we have such firmly held beliefs that a discussion becomes a fight? Conversation so easily degenerates into an argument - 'us versus them' kind - with little room for the other point of view. Of course, matters of faith are incontrovertible and nee
Updated 24 Oct, 2019 07:24am
Economic impact of abolished zero-rating
Articles

Economic impact of abolished zero-rating

One of the most detrimental aspects of the federal budget FY20 has been the elimination of SRO 1125 and the imposition of General Sales Tax of 17% on the previously zero-rated export sectors. The immediate impact of the withdrawal of SRO 1125 is the trans
Updated 24 Oct, 2019 07:24am
Iraq's Mosul strains to revive manufacturing past
Articles

Iraq's Mosul strains to revive manufacturing past

Its wool could once be found in French marketplaces and its cement as far away as Singapore. But after years of fighting, Iraq's Mosul has yet to regain its former industrial glory. The city's factories were pulverised by Islamic State group jihadists and
Published 23 Oct, 2019 12:00am
The FATF tribulations
Articles

The FATF tribulations

The sword of FATF, it seems, will continue to hang over our heads until after February next year when we would know our fate: whether we continue to remain in the 'grey list' or are taken out of it or consigned to the 'black list'.
Updated 23 Oct, 2019 09:14am
The youth programme
Articles

The youth programme

The government has recently launched the Rs 100 billion 'Kamyab Jawan Programme' for youth. The primary focus is on providing opportunities for acquisition of skills and for access to subsidized credit for small projects to generate employment and incomes
Published 22 Oct, 2019 12:00am
Present times - some relevant thoughts
Articles

Present times - some relevant thoughts

In extolling prime minister Imran Khan's speech that he delivered in the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA), most of our media went on over-drive, almost celebrating as if Kashmir, with that one speech had been liberated. To undo great leaders, the me
Published 22 Oct, 2019 12:00am
Currency risks? US corporates yawn
Articles

Currency risks? US corporates yawn

Muted gyrations in foreign exchange markets has turned companies complacent about hedging currency risks, and as the third-quarter earnings season gets underway investors should brace for US companies to report sizeable negative impacts due to the stronge
Published 22 Oct, 2019 12:00am
Peace is greater than power
Articles

Peace is greater than power

In most parts of the word "Ethiopia" connotes famine, conflict and poverty. The image of a small, backward country with an undernourished population constantly at war and conflict cross border is how most people recall this country. All that was true in t
Updated 22 Oct, 2019 06:25am
Negative rates forever? Central bankers look for an exit
Articles

Negative rates forever? Central bankers look for an exit

The world's most powerful policymakers are struggling to alleviate the pain of a slowing global economy with few levers left to pull and growing concern that one of them, negative interest rates, already is creating problems of its own.
Updated 22 Oct, 2019 07:30am
Growth versus high discount rate
Articles

Growth versus high discount rate

Pakistan will experience the lowest growth rate in the region in fiscal year 2020 (ending 30 June 2020) at 2.4 percent, lower than Afghanistan's 3 percent, Sri Lanka's 3.3 percent, Maldives' 5.5 percent, Nepal's 6.4 percent and India's projected growth of
Updated 21 Oct, 2019 08:56am
'Miracle on Indus River' possible
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'Miracle on Indus River' possible

South Korea has the second-highest Human Development Index in Asia and a GDP per capita of over US$29,700. Just fifty years ago, South Korea's present situation seemed incredibly improbable. In 1963, it was a low income agrarian economy with a GDP per cap
Published 20 Oct, 2019 12:00am
Responsible citizenship
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Responsible citizenship

Unity is imperative to develop a progressive state that provides for the welfare of its people. Take the examples of Malaysia, Indonesia, or Bangladesh. Their limited resources did not hinder their quest for progress and instead these countries are far mo
Published 20 Oct, 2019 12:00am
Modi's India on bigger canvas - I
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Modi's India on bigger canvas - I

On August 5, 2019 the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in New Delhi announced the revocation of Article 370, a provision in the Indian constitution that governs the relationship of the disputed state of Jammu and Kashmir with India. Simultaneously, the
Updated 19 Oct, 2019 06:46am
What is the problem?
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What is the problem?

Remarkably, this is one of those rare times, the column sticks to its commitment and continues from where it left off last week, the Problem Statement. Last week, while highlighting the importance of a concise and precise problem statement, necessary for
Published 19 Oct, 2019 12:00am
Global Competitiveness Report and Pakistan - II
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Global Competitiveness Report and Pakistan - II

While Pakistan dropped three places from its 2018 GCI (Global Competitiveness Index) ranking of 107th to 110th, the region of South Asia (SA) as a whole could only improve its median competitiveness performance by 0.08% - the least improvement for any reg
Updated 18 Oct, 2019 05:29am
Textile sector in dire straits
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Textile sector in dire straits

The textile sector is on the verge of complete standstill due to the worst-ever financial crisis emanating from the imposition of the 17% sales tax, CNIC condition for transactions and high cost of bank borrowing. To further complicate the matter, delay i
Updated 18 Oct, 2019 07:59am
Pakistan's economy beyond the IMF
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Pakistan's economy beyond the IMF

Pakistan's economy is stuck between a rock and a hard place. On the one hand, historically poor domestic revenue generation by successive governments, excessive untargeted subsidies, poor governance and political imperatives in public sector units have le
Updated 17 Oct, 2019 06:14am
Senior Civil Service: Uncooperative or poorly led?
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Senior Civil Service: Uncooperative or poorly led?

Government is looking increasingly more dysfunctional. Part of the reason, we hear, is that the senior civil service is not putting its weight behind the government. It is not perceived to be a willing partner.
Updated 17 Oct, 2019 06:05am
London retains global finance throne amid Brexit chaos
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London retains global finance throne amid Brexit chaos

From the pinnacle of the City of London's largest skyscraper, Stuart Lipton is wagering a $1.2 billion bet that the British capital remains a master of the international financial universe no matter what happens with Brexit.
Updated 16 Oct, 2019 11:31am
Quota system - the death knell for competition
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Quota system - the death knell for competition

My first exposure to the quota system was under Zulfikar Ali Bhutto (ZAB). In 1968, I was a young officer with ICI (Pak) Ltd. A newly recruited officer from the then Dacca was assigned to Karachi for two years training, before going back to the ICI office
Updated 16 Oct, 2019 06:54am
Challenges confronting FBR
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Challenges confronting FBR

Pakistan's economy suffers from rampant tax avoidance and evasion. As a result, our informal economy, spurred by vested interests, has kept expanding by leaps and bounds defying efforts by successive governments to document the national economy. Similar e
Updated 16 Oct, 2019 06:52am
Prevalence of 'decent work'
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Prevalence of 'decent work'

The International Labour Organisation (ILO) has described 'decent work' as employment which, first, provides for adequate earnings, second, is completed in decent work time, third, ensures stability and security of work, fourth, provides for equal opportu
Updated 15 Oct, 2019 05:46am
Country's current cotton woes
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Country's current cotton woes

The current cotton arrival estimates fall far short of fulfilling domestic requirement of the textile industry. The share of cotton crop in agricultural GDP is 4.5 percent while its share in national GDP is 1 percent. Cotton being the basic raw material f
Updated 15 Oct, 2019 06:23am
Are US-Chinese tariffs on almost everything the 'new normal'?
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Are US-Chinese tariffs on almost everything the 'new normal'?

US President Donald Trump called his Phase 1 trade deal with China "by far, the greatest and biggest deal ever made," even though nothing was agreed on paper, and most of the tariffs set upon Chinese goods remain in place. While he lauded China for agreei
Updated 15 Oct, 2019 11:55am
Over-correction is bad economics
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Over-correction is bad economics

The day the Khan administration took over the reins of government on 20 August 2018 the budget deficit was under 6 percent of Gross Domestic Product (not at a danger level though it required belt tightening) while the current account deficit was a little
Updated 14 Oct, 2019 05:23am
Joint television channel
Articles

Joint television channel

Voice is power. The loudest and the most repetitive voices induce influence and action. In a world spilling with messages, advertisements, breaking news, statements, the mind is overloaded with information it can barely register and hardly remember. With
Updated 14 Oct, 2019 05:34am
Down on the farm, Brexit casts its shadow
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Down on the farm, Brexit casts its shadow

On the face of it, Ellie Woodcock's organic farm two hours south of London shouldn't be affected by Britain's impending departure from the European Union. "We don't export anything, so that wouldn't affect my farm. We sell very much directly to the Englis
Updated 14 Oct, 2019 06:15am
Resetting factory settings?
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Resetting factory settings?

Last week, a versatile group of businessmen met with army chief in a five-and-a-half-hour long meeting. The GHQ's message was clear - the present government will complete its tenure so strategize accordingly. Now this week, sentiment is fast changing - bo
Updated 14 Oct, 2019 06:57am
Embattled Trump takes victory lap on China trade deal
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Embattled Trump takes victory lap on China trade deal

Engulfed in an impeachment inquiry and other political turmoil, US President Donald Trump on Friday trumpeted the success of his hard-line stance with China, claiming to have scored a major win in the grinding trade war between the economic powers.
Published 13 Oct, 2019 12:00am
Rough road ahead for Abiy after Nobel triumph
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Rough road ahead for Abiy after Nobel triumph

Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed faces stark challenges on the very issues that earned him a Nobel Peace Prize on Friday, and analysts say the coming months may tell whether he can translate this early applause into concrete success.
Published 13 Oct, 2019 12:00am
The FATF challenge
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The FATF challenge

The FATF was formed by the 1989 G7 Summit in Paris to combat the growing problem of money laundering. The task force was charged with studying money laundering trends, monitoring legislative, financial and law enforcement activities taken at the national
Updated 12 Oct, 2019 05:00am
The problem statement
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The problem statement

As somebody wise once said, albeit I am not sure who, "If a problem does not have a solution, it is not a problem, it is a hard fact of life".
Updated 12 Oct, 2019 05:57am
For a few dollars more: global funds take on FX risk
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For a few dollars more: global funds take on FX risk

Some European and Japanese bond investors are taking on more currency risk by buying dollar debt without protecting themselves against potentially devastating exchange rate swings as they seek ways to compensate for sub-zero yields at home.
Published 12 Oct, 2019 12:00am
Global Competitiveness Report and Pakistan - I
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Global Competitiveness Report and Pakistan - I

The World Economic Forum (WEF) has launched the 2019 edition of the Global Competitiveness Report (GCR). The Report was first launched in 1979; its current edition analyzes the performance of 141 countries which, according to the Report, constitutes about
Updated 11 Oct, 2019 05:04am
Automation replaces cheap labour
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Automation replaces cheap labour

All through almost four decades of globalization era starting from late 1980s many countries with cheap labour willingly turned into sweat shops for the rich markets and within a decade or two many of these countries, mostly in East Asia, graduated into l
Published 09 Oct, 2019 12:00am
The end of Libor?
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The end of Libor?

On June 30, British bank NatWest sent out an arcane-sounding press release - bus operator National Express had become the first company to take out a loan based on Sonia, a replacement for scandal-hit interest rate benchmark Libor.
Published 09 Oct, 2019 12:00am
The transported: Kashmiri prisoners sent far from home
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The transported: Kashmiri prisoners sent far from home

One is a 19-year-old construction worker charged with aiding fighters against Indian troops, the other is one of occupied Kashmir's most prominent lawyers, accused of being "an incorrigible secessionist". Despite their different backgrounds, Uzair Maqbool
Published 09 Oct, 2019 12:00am
Rising food prices
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Rising food prices

Food prices have been rising rapidly in the last few months. According to the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the inflation rate in food prices was only 1.4 percent in the September 2018. A year later in September 2019 the rate of increase in food prices has
Published 08 Oct, 2019 12:00am
The winter of Discontent
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The winter of Discontent

The incoming winter of 2019 may be heading towards a winter of discontent as opposed to the winter of 2018 when expectations with respect to the newly-installed Khan administration were extremely and, albeit, unrealistically high.
Published 07 Oct, 2019 12:00am
Sustaining the Kashmir movement
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Sustaining the Kashmir movement

Round 1 and 2 go to Pakistan. But winning a couple of rounds and winning the match can be different. Pakistan has put up a great fight in two rounds of Pre-UNGA internationalization of Kashmir issue phase and UNGA itself. India has been on the defensive b
Published 07 Oct, 2019 12:00am
Profit and purpose
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Profit and purpose

In 1919, Henry Ford's attempt to lower car prices and increase wages of factory workers did not go down well with the company's shareholders. The move would have an adverse impact on short-term profits and dividends. The Dodge brothers, minority sharehold
Published 07 Oct, 2019 12:00am
Criticality of PPP
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Criticality of PPP

The interest rate was last up in Jul-19 with a clear signal of peaking; exchange rate has appreciated in the last quarter. Many pundits believe that things have bottomed; and recovery is imminent in a few months. The question is why the anxiety in the bus
Published 06 Oct, 2019 12:00am
Reforming SOEs in Pakistan - III
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Reforming SOEs in Pakistan - III

Here, it may also be indicated that the same EFF document indicates that Pakistan intends 'jumpstarting the privatisation process', but no details have been indicated as to whether the country will take the route of the so-called 'golden age of privatisat
Updated 08 Jul, 2020 12:17pm
It's all about economy
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It's all about economy

After his return from New York, prime minister Imran Khan rushed around visiting the earthquake-affected people of Azad Jammu and Kashmir, addressing the administrative issues of Punjab and seeking to address the concerns of businessmen.
Published 05 Oct, 2019 12:00am
It is easy
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It is easy

That was some speech. Kudos! To venture a guess, all the books about the best speeches in history, well if not the best, the most impactful, will need to be revised. The speech was impactful enough to be discussed in a column which at its core is absolute
Published 05 Oct, 2019 12:00am