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Opinion » Articles

Fiscal mess - straighten the priorities
Articles

Fiscal mess - straighten the priorities

Budget-making is in the process. This one is a tough budget to make. Covid-19 demands stimulus; but the fiscal deficit is already too high. The government is asking for no new taxes and demanding stimulus for industries and vulnerable. The government want
Updated 31 May, 2020 08:04am
The challenge of SOEs
Articles

The challenge of SOEs

The 190 State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) comprising Public Sector Companies (PSCs), Development Finance Institutions (DFIs) and Authorities, employing a total of over 425,000 personnel, incur a colossal loss of around Rs 500 billion a year. In other words,
Published 30 May, 2020 12:06am
A tale of two horses
Articles

A tale of two horses

Unfortunately, the exact quote, which by the way succinctly brings out the message, cannot be published - blame it on the censor board. Be that as it may, the more refined version comes out thusly: you cannot ride two horses with one behind.
Published 30 May, 2020 12:06am
Global policy post-Covid-19
Articles

Global policy post-Covid-19

There were already discussions gaining momentum since the Global Financial Crisis 2007/08 in many policy corners of economy and politics globally - but still remained far from reaching any meaningful threshold in terms of consequences on three main areas
Updated 13 Jun, 2020 09:49pm
Tripartite social dialogue
Articles

Tripartite social dialogue

According to ILO's definition, Social Dialogue means the practice of Tripartism between governments and the representative organizations of workers and employers to achieving solutions and to building up social cohesion and the rule of law through, among
Published 29 May, 2020 12:05am
Agricultural autarky via atoms
Articles

Agricultural autarky via atoms

What is common between the disinfected mummy of Ramses II, and a well acclimatized shiny spike silver boll of cotton? Nothing much, apparently. But if one scraps the surface a little, one can find both benefitting from radiations in some way.
Published 28 May, 2020 12:03am
Lockdown - A tale of other diseases
Articles

Lockdown - A tale of other diseases

Lock down or die. Lockdown or economy. Lockdown or jobs. Lockdown or lives. These were the debates prevalent. World over and in Pakistan, from experts to individuals, the over whelming discussion was on the necessity of lockdown to defeat a virus that was
Published 28 May, 2020 12:03am
The GDP growth rate
Articles

The GDP growth rate

The Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) has revealed the final estimate of the GDP growth rate for 2018-19 and the preliminary estimate of the GDP growth rate for 2019-20. This is contrary to the past practice whereby GDP estimates were included in the Pa
Published 27 May, 2020 12:06am
Housing - a fundamental human right
Articles

Housing - a fundamental human right

Article 25 of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights recognizes the right to housing as part of the right to an adequate standard of living. Article 11(1) of the International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights (ICESCR) also guarantees th
Published 27 May, 2020 12:06am
Sugar inquiry: Fix the illness not the symptoms
Articles

Sugar inquiry: Fix the illness not the symptoms

The sugar inquiry report did not focus on the structural problems creating the 'economic rents'. Rather the energies are expended on chasing the rentiers. And the media eyes are on personalities. The study dealt with the tactical issues - nothing on fixin
Published 24 May, 2020 12:01am
The final step of your business's journey!
Articles

The final step of your business's journey!

Running a business on any scale requires careful planning and the ability of its managers to capitalize on all opportunities presented, while also finding the best solutions to all the challenges that arise in the business landscape. Every economy in the
Published 24 May, 2020 12:01am
What's up?
Articles

What's up?

WhatsApp is a pun on What's Up, in case you didn't get it yet - actually, that was a sudden but rational guess made whilst dreaming up the title for today's write up; now it is knowledge confirmed from WhatsApp web page. Cool!
Published 23 May, 2020 12:06am
Will Covid-19 deal US malls a mortal blow?
Articles

Will Covid-19 deal US malls a mortal blow?

As they gradually reopen, US shopping malls are requiring masks and implementing social distancing policies in hopes of convincing customers that they can shop safely in the coronavirus era.
Published 23 May, 2020 12:06am
Pakistan's human capital conundrum
Articles

Pakistan's human capital conundrum

In 1986, the Journal of Political Economy (JPE) published a paper ('Increasing returns and long run growth') by a relatively unknown economist. The same person, Paul Romer, got another one published in 1990 ('Endogenous technical change'), which had manag
Published 23 May, 2020 12:06am
Budgets 2020 amid Covid-19 crisis - II: Need for paradigm shift
Articles

Budgets 2020 amid Covid-19 crisis - II: Need for paradigm shift

In the present circumstances, in the forthcoming federal budget, the need for a fair and simple tax system, as elaborate in Towards Flat, Low-rate, Broad and Predictable Taxes [PRIME Institute, 2016] and referred to in PIDE Policy Viewpoint [16:2020] Doin
Published 22 May, 2020 12:03am
A looming debt crisis
Articles

A looming debt crisis

In his article in the New York Times on April 30, 2020, Prime Minister of Ethiopia and the 2019 Nobel Peace Prize winner Abiy Ahmed highlighted the fact that the temporary debt relief provided by G20 group of countries, however a welcome step, it was not
Published 22 May, 2020 12:03am
In the name of the poor
Articles

In the name of the poor

How easily our worldview mutates. How quickly our hierarchy of ambition gets rehashed and reset. All it takes is an invisible microbe.
Published 21 May, 2020 12:09am
Digital transformation in the time of Covid-19
Articles

Digital transformation in the time of Covid-19

Digital and IT transformations are the only way forward. Before the on-going pandemic, technology adoption was the only way ahead and this will not change once the world emerges from this crisis.
Published 21 May, 2020 12:09am
Europe's Franco-German 'motor' sputters back to life
Articles

Europe's Franco-German 'motor' sputters back to life

President Emmanuel Macron and Chancellor Angela Merkel have jump-started the Franco-German "motor" at the heart of Europe by jointly pitching a hugely ambitious economic recovery plan, even if it faces a bumpy road ahead.
Published 21 May, 2020 12:09am
Food security in the age of Covid-19
Articles

Food security in the age of Covid-19

There never was any lockdown in the country's agricultural sector. And from the way the NCC and NCOC have been carrying out, their respective efforts over the last two months at meeting the challenges of Covid-19, it appears that for lack of enough testin
Published 20 May, 2020 12:05am
Economic policy choices beyond immediate crisis - I
Articles

Economic policy choices beyond immediate crisis - I

The economic policy response to the coronavirus crisis by Pakistan has been significant. On the monetary policy side, the State Bank of Pakistan has taken aggressive action to loosen monetary conditions and provide desperately needed liquidity to business
Published 20 May, 2020 12:05am
The forthcoming budget
Articles

The forthcoming budget

The Federal and Provincial Budgets for 2020-21 are expected to be announced in the month of June, starting with the presentation of the Federal Budget on the 5th of June. These budgets come at a time when the economy has been badly hit by the COVID-19 and
Published 19 May, 2020 12:02am
Hedging oil
Articles

Hedging oil

.Oil prices have touched zero and became even negative recently. A debate has ensued in Pakistan that we should have bought cheaper oil. It is a different matter that around the same time, there was news of diesel shortages. Petroleum Division, probably,
Published 19 May, 2020 12:02am
Foreign exchange earnings
Articles

Foreign exchange earnings

Pakistan's foreign exchange reserves on 30 April 2020 as per the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) website were 12.329 billion dollars, a respectable amount given the ongoing global pandemic that has severely negatively impacted on our exports and is likely to
Published 18 May, 2020 12:06am
Will they...?
Articles

Will they...?

A new phase, a new reality. The virus is there to stay for sometime. Sometime can be spent on being locked down or locked in, but, not for long. Countries are grappling with the reality of the virus being a way of life and that life without a virus will n
Published 18 May, 2020 12:06am
The going gets tougher
Articles

The going gets tougher

As new data comes in, the bitter reality is sinking. The global economic slowdown is expected to be worse than what was earlier expected. There could be further downside risks to global economic growth outlook of minus 3 percent in 2020. No economist in t
Published 17 May, 2020 12:03am
Tobacco industry - Pakistan's Giffen Paradox?
Articles

Tobacco industry - Pakistan's Giffen Paradox?

Many governments around the world keep a close eye on the use of tobacco - mostly used in cigarettes. Many countries increase taxes over time to reduce its consumption - the classic demand theory where increase in price of a commodity decreases its demand
Published 17 May, 2020 12:03am
Diamer-Bhasha dam
Articles

Diamer-Bhasha dam

Finally, the commencement of much-awaited Bhasha dam has been formally announced. Prime Minister Imran Khan last Monday ordered immediate commencement of work on construction of Diamer-Bhasha dam, rightly describing water security as the foremost priority
Published 16 May, 2020 12:07am
The value of life
Articles

The value of life

If you party for four days, strict abstinence for the remaining three days will probably not get you off the hook. In substance, you have a lockdown or you don't - the virus is not going to take "off days" whilst its hosts go on a shopping spree, so this
Published 16 May, 2020 12:07am
Pandemic stirs Wall Street's social conscience
Articles

Pandemic stirs Wall Street's social conscience

Worker welfare is having a moment on Wall Street. The need to restart production lines and reopen offices idled by the coronavirus pandemic mean issues such as sick pay and working conditions are suddenly a top priority for the C-suite and, for some inves
Published 16 May, 2020 12:07am
A post-Covid-19 world
Articles

A post-Covid-19 world

Major wars and pandemics, are the sort of happenings that change the world as we know it before they have happened. The Black Death lead to massive deaths in the Middle Ages, also it broke the back of feudalism and created a working class. On the positive
Published 15 May, 2020 12:05am
The IPPs' curse
Articles

The IPPs' curse

The recent "un-official" release of the Report by the Muhammad Ali Khan Committee on Power Sector has given the scandal hungry predators another target to feast upon. This Report fits right into a certain political and some TV channels' populist narrative
Published 14 May, 2020 12:04am
Taking advantage of RMB to develop Pakistan's economy
Articles

Taking advantage of RMB to develop Pakistan's economy

As the Covid-19 is spreading quickly around the world, its effects on the world economy including that of Pakistan are profound, complex and far-reaching. In order to mitigate the adverse impacts and rescue the nosediving economic growth, almost all count
Published 14 May, 2020 12:04am
Unlocking economic value
Articles

Unlocking economic value

In a speech made to the House of Commons a little more than a century ago, Winston Churchill spoke of the significance of land, "It is quite true that land monopoly is not the only monopoly which exists, but it is by far the greatest of monopolies - it is
Published 14 May, 2020 12:04am
Budgeting for a life with Covid-19
Articles

Budgeting for a life with Covid-19

Two of the major burdens on the forthcoming federal budget are likely to be relatively lighter compared to what successive budgets had to bear under these heads over the last many decades. The first is the foreign debt, part of which, thanks to Covid-19,
Published 13 May, 2020 12:07am
Impending cotton disaster
Articles

Impending cotton disaster

Availability of high-quality cotton is fundamental to the textile value chain which for Pakistan, is responsible for the influx of billions of dollars in the form of exports. In this respect, it earns the befitting title of "White Gold". Cotton makes mark
Published 13 May, 2020 12:07am
Oceans play profound role in our lives
Articles

Oceans play profound role in our lives

Memories of idyllic beaches and sonorous waves may seem far away while we remain at home. Yet, we need not look far to appreciate the enduring history of the ocean in Asia and the Pacific. For generations, the region has thrived on our seas. Our namesake
Published 13 May, 2020 12:07am
Consumers taken for a ride?
Articles

Consumers taken for a ride?

In January 2020, The Competition Commission of Pakistan ("the Commission") approved the acquisition of Careem by Uber, transforming the duopolistic market of application-based ridesharing services into a monopolistic market. The Commission was established
Published 12 May, 2020 12:06am
Emerging trends
Articles

Emerging trends

The key macroeconomic variables of the national economy are beginning to show sharply divergent trends from those observed earlier since June 2019. This includes developments in the real economy, monetary sector, inflation, public finances and the balance
Published 12 May, 2020 12:06am
Soviet role in WWII
Articles

Soviet role in WWII

Rising coronavirus infections forced Russia on May 9, 2020 to curtail its celebrations marking the 75th anniversary of the victory over Nazi Germany. Russia usually holds grand military parades to commemorate the event. This year's 75th anniversary was pl
Published 12 May, 2020 12:06am
Covid-19: Impact on oil sector
Articles

Covid-19: Impact on oil sector

Recent key developments in Pakistan's oil sector underscore that there is always a need for the country to maintain its strategic oil reserves.
Published 12 May, 2020 12:06am
Eighteenth Amendment: Why has it become controversial?
Articles

Eighteenth Amendment: Why has it become controversial?

Asif Ali Zardari as President signed two documents much appreciated at the time that have become the subject matter of intense politicking in recent months notably the seventh National Finance Commission (NFC) award and the eighteenth constitutional amend
Published 11 May, 2020 12:04am
Challenging the leadership mettle
Articles

Challenging the leadership mettle

Tough situations do not last, tough leaders do. In case of coronavirus crisis the tough situation seems to last indefinitely. That is why the bigger challenge, with the threat of Corona lurking around is what can leaders do to save people's lives, livelih
Published 11 May, 2020 12:04am
Attempting to demystify mafia
Articles

Attempting to demystify mafia

I only write this article because the most overused term on the media of Pakistan is the word 'Mafia'. Sheikh Rashid, the Nostradamus of Pakistan, starts and ends his interviews with this word. The citizens of this hapless country have been overexposed to
Published 11 May, 2020 12:04am
To lockdown or not? an economic perspective
Articles

To lockdown or not? an economic perspective

The handling and effectiveness of the lockdown depends on the healthcare system and testing capacity of the country, which has unfortunately been plagued by confusion amidst a debate, or rather indecisiveness as to whether we must lockdown the country or
Published 10 May, 2020 12:02am
GDP estimates: Between a rock and a hard place
Articles

GDP estimates: Between a rock and a hard place

Provincial GDP figures for 2019-20 will be announced. The official number is likely to remain in the range of negative 0.6 percent to 0.7 percent. The IMF projection is of negative 1.5 percent, and SBP's latest estimation is similar. This could be the fir
Updated 10 May, 2020 06:00am
The failure of Pakistan's power policies
Articles

The failure of Pakistan's power policies

The recently released report on IPPs by a government sanctioned commission brought not only the power producers into the limelight, but also the design of the previous power policies. While the final verdict on the report is still awaited, especially give
Published 10 May, 2020 12:02am
Partly Facetious: The corona challenge
Articles

Partly Facetious: The corona challenge

"Low income countries must ensure that Covid-19 containment strategies include the poor continuing to earn a living and access food. So in other words, these countries must ensure that some sectors remain open for the daily wage earners who in Pakistan ar
Published 09 May, 2020 12:06am
Formal and non-formal education
Articles

Formal and non-formal education

The World Bank is reported to have stated that it will assist Pakistan in developing a new model of non-formal education which, it said, would combine literacy, labour market skills and life skills development for uneducated and illiterate children, youth
Published 09 May, 2020 12:06am
Free market tanks
Articles

Free market tanks

"A quarter of French adults smoke. Many people were surprised, therefore, when researchers reported late in April that only 5% of 482 Covid-19 patients who came to the Pitié-Salpêtrière hospital in Paris between February 28th and April 9th were daily smok
Published 09 May, 2020 12:06am
Back to school? Officials move warily as challenges loom
Articles

Back to school? Officials move warily as challenges loom

Authorities worldwide face the formidable challenge of returning millions of children to classrooms shut due to the coronavirus outbreak, weighing the need to limit the educational damage against the risks of fuelling a surge in new cases.
Published 09 May, 2020 12:06am
Biden allies told to attack Trump's stimulus as 'cronyism'
Articles

Biden allies told to attack Trump's stimulus as 'cronyism'

Allies of presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden are being told to sharpen attacks on President Donald Trump's stimulus efforts as thinly veiled "cronyism," according to a memo being sent to Democratic officeholders and supporters on Friday
Published 09 May, 2020 12:06am
FBR: audit closure, capacity & legality
Articles

FBR: audit closure, capacity & legality

According to a Press report, the government of Pakistan Tehreek-i-Insaf (PTI) "has quietly closed over 310,000 tax audit cases that had been automatically selected from 2015 to 2017 due to the failure of taxpayers to timely file tax returns and pay due ta
Published 08 May, 2020 12:05am
Covid-19 and 'Green New Deal' - II
Articles

Covid-19 and 'Green New Deal' - II

The developing countries are not doing much different from the rest. There is no discussion to plan even reform and support packages that bail workers out on a large scale, and not the big businesses; a reform plan that revisits the economic model towards
Published 08 May, 2020 12:05am
From zero to hero: physical oil rally might be short-lived
Articles

From zero to hero: physical oil rally might be short-lived

From Kazakhstan to the North Sea and the United States, physical crude has jumped in value in recent days but the rally will likely be tactical and short-lived rather than signalling a proper recovery, according to traders and analysts.
Published 08 May, 2020 12:05am
The politics of employment
Articles

The politics of employment

Robust macroeconomic fundamentals lead to one ultimate goal: jobs. At least that is the theory. You go through the hoops of fiscal consolidation, current account balance, debt sustainability, and manageable inflation to get to sustained economic growth, t
Published 07 May, 2020 12:02am
Economy in a federal framework
Articles

Economy in a federal framework

When a federal state tries to manage its economy using a centrist financial system the result would certainly be no better than what Pakistan had experienced during its first 63 years leading to 2010 when the 7th National Finance Commission (NFC) Award wa
Published 06 May, 2020 12:04am
Covid-19 has killed the IMF backlash?
Articles

Covid-19 has killed the IMF backlash?

Just as Covid-19 may have killed the tech backlash (as reported in The Economist), it may have also killed the IMF backlash (on-going since August'19) in this country. The politicians, media, gurus, businessman and speculators are heaving a sigh of relief
Published 06 May, 2020 12:04am
IMF's optimism
Articles

IMF's optimism

Pakistan has been able to get access recently to the IMF's Rapid Financing Facility in light of the adverse impact of the Covid-19 on the 'lives and livelihoods' of the people in the country. This quick support from the IMF must be appreciated. The amount
Published 05 May, 2020 12:06am
Lives versus livelihoods
Articles

Lives versus livelihoods

The great dilemma for all governments in the thick of the COVID-19 pandemic is how to balance lives versus livelihoods. This dilemma is particularly acute for countries such as Pakistan, where the absence of universal healthcare and a social security syst
Published 05 May, 2020 12:06am